@tar
I really wouldn’t care less for what you think. It’s people like you why I avoid public forums. But I see a genuine guy at his 60 trying to give free his experience, and I wouldn’t mind riding along with him in this Journey and try to take something out of it.
For everybody else that follows along with Mr. Forexmospherian, I am going to post three charts with a losing trade that I took on EUR on 28/5 and explain why had I followed Forexmospherian Charts I wouldn’t take the trade.
First thing I want to say that I do trade for a living nowadays, and although I am highly profitable at ES, I need to find my way on FX, and during that weekend I studied and understood some of the mistakes I had made on EUR, as I understood the significance of interim S&R. Don’t rush to come to fast conclusion for the way I trade because I can’t explain it nor articulate it.
Now on the following chart of 28/5 on 5 TF of EUR, the day started with a trading range, and I have learned to play this with limit orders, ie buying below bars, selling above bars and scalp. But although I do play that way the ES, the EUR have burned me a lot of times, so I had decided to wait for the trend to reveal itself and take a second entry from the MA.
So, after waiting for 4 hours, eventually it broke the trend line at “A”(I draw trendline for the session I am trading), and I was expecting to retest the previous high or the break point, but that thing kept going down. So I kept waiting until point B, where on the ES I would have sold with a limit order above the first bullish bar but as I told earlier I hate limit orders on EUR (until I put on my back some years of exp). After point B, it makes a LL and pulls back at the MA with a nice bear bar at point 1. Now from that new LL it is a first entry short, but at the same time it is a double top with point B and all double top or bottom are second entries. So I Placed a stop entry short one tick below that bear bar for a 14 tick scalp with an initial stop loss one tick above it (14 tick/pips). Now as soon as it filled me the next bar (entry Bar) reversed, so thinking I entered on a trap I moved my stop loss one tick above it once it closed, and took me out thereafter with a 5 tick loss.
Now I am going to mention again that these setups on the ES have a win percentage of >=60%. And the fact that we had I nice move down with no climatic bars, made me feel confident. But **** happens.
I kept debating with myself that it hadn’t properly tested the previous high after the break out or the break out point. And voila, as EUR does always the best levels that you wait to take the trade (the retest at least at of the break point at A), comes with a spike at news, which with a time based chart is impossible to take (Risk Wise). Ps,I really was so eager to short it that forgot the pending news
Along with the 5TF chart, I am attaching a 233tick chart (tick charts on futures have different setting from spot marlet), and a 1 Min chart with Forexmospherian LR, and ask you self if you would have taken that trade I took or waited for his TW, and Interim level at the break out point A to short up there for a swing.
Needless to say why together with the way I trade it helped me on Friday to collect some nice pips.
@Mr. Forexmospherian
Srry for taken space from your thread, but I wanted to show disbelievers how your method if you already have sound knowledge of PA, really helps a lot.
And I would take your offer, riding along with you.
Best Regards from Athens
JRA
PS: The charts are from EUR Futures and set up with chicago time RTH 07:20/14:00, ETH 17:00/16:00