Hot Forex - Market Analysis and News.

[HFM.]

Date : 8th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 8th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets were narrowly mixed. The Tokyo Stock Price Index closed at the highest level since 1991, while other indices hovered slightly below recent highs. The Dollar slipped on tax news, and oil prices fell back and UK100 and U.S. stock futures are in the red, while oil prices fell back below USD 56 per barrel. Time for stock taking it seems and yesterday’s late sell off on European bourses, which saw bond yields coming down sharply, it may be time for consolidation. There is not much else on the European calendar and French trade numbers are unlikely to attract too much attention.

Fed & BoC: Yesterday, Fed Chair Yellen stuck to the script on ethics in government and didn’t stray into policy or the economy when she accepted her shared Douglas award with former Fed Chief Bernanke from the University of Illinois. Therefore she did not attract much attention by the market. BoC’s Poloz also delivered a speech yesterday, in which he downplayed the recent “perk-up” in wages, saying last week’s job report was “an encouraging set of numbers.” However, the “trend-line for wages has been quite low” and it perked up in the last data point but we “need more data points to be assured of that.” On oil, he cautioned that the supply curve for oil is more elastic than in the past (quick supply response). In response to a question on NAFTA, he repeated his often aired view last month that the main impact on their thinking focuses on business investment, and the extent to which already raised expectations would be higher if not for the uncertainty surrounding the negotiations. On inflation, he said the “shortfall from target has been pretty modest. It is still within the bank’s target band. People still think 2% is the right number.

Main Macro Events Today

Non-Monetary Policy’s ECB Meeting – Governing Council of the ECB: non-monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt

Canadian Housing Data – Expectations – October housing starts at 215.0k from 217.3k in September and Building permits down to 1.0% m/m in September after the 5.5% drop in August.

Oil Inventories – Expectations – down to -2.8M from -2.43M last week.

RBNZ Rates & Monetary Policy statement – Expectations – no change to the current 1.75% policy setting.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 9th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 9th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets mostly moved higher. Japan under-performed and markets retreated in the afternoon from 25 year highs. A stronger Yen technically driven trading knocked indices and the Nikkei closed down -0.20%. News that the U.S. three-carrier strike group was conducting exercises off the Korean peninsular seemed to rattle some nerves in markets, prompting buying of the safe haven Japanese currency while pushing stocks — particularly markets in Japan and South Korea — off highs. Elsewhere markets closed higher. U.S. and UK100 futures are down, GER30 futures are pretty steady as markets await a number of key earnings reports, including Siemens and Deutsche Post, which could lift the GER30 to new record highs. Released overnight. Released overnight, the U.K. RICS house price balance came in weaker than expected. Still to come the ECB publishes its latest economic bulletin and the European Commission its updated set of forecasts.

Last night, RBNZ held rates steady at 1.75%, matching widespread expectations for no change to the Official Cash Rate. Governor Spencer said policy will remain accommodative for a considerable period. Hence no change is anticipated for an extended period, with the next move a rate increase late in 2018. Today, German trade surplus widened in Q3. Germany posted a sa trade surplus of EUR 21.8 bln in September, slightly higher than the EUR 21.3 bln in August. This is nominal data, which is impacted by currency and oil price fluctuations, but the numbers point to a positive contribution from next exports to overall trade.

Main Macro Events Today

Canadian NHPI- The new housing price index is projected to gain 0.1% m/m in September, matching the 0.1% rise in August.

US Unemployment Claims – rebound 6k to 233k for the November 11 week.

SNB, ECB & German President Speeches – ECB’s Coeure, Vice president Constancio , Lautenschlager, German Buda President Weidmann and SNB Chairman Jordan, all have speeches to deliver today.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 10th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: China outperformed and stocks head for the best week in three months, after an announcement that limits on foreign ownership of Chinese banks and asset managers will be removed. and while Chinese investors also propped up Hong Kong markets, elsewhere in Asia equities mostly declined, with Japan leading the way, following on from declines on Wall Street in Europe yesterday. U.S. tax concerns have spooked markets and the GER30 closed with a loss of -1.49% on Thursday, amid disappointing earnings reports, a stronger EUR and concerns about the prospects for U.S. tax reforms and while the index still remains at high level of over 13000 some are speculating on a broader correction from record levels. UK100 futures as well as DJ mini futures are posting marginal gains, but the UK100 already outperformed yesterday amid a weaker pound. Today’s calendar focuses on production data out of the U.K., France and Italy and the U.K. also has trade data for September and the NIESR GDP estimate in the afternoon.

FX Action: USDJPY has recovered poise in Asia after tumbling yesterday on news that the implementation of the Senate plan to cut corporate tax in the U.S. will be delayed by two years and the extent of some other taxes will be trimmed. The news sparked a steep sell-off in U.S. and global equity markets, driving demand for the yen, among other perceived safe haven currencies and assets. A subsequent report that Republican Senator Cornyn is looking to avoid a one-year delay seemed to throw markets a lift line. USDJPY pair has recouped to around 113.40 after clocking a low at 113.09, which is the lowest level seen since October 31.

Main Macro Events Today

UK Manufacturing Production – Expectations – a fall to 0.3% m/m from 0.4% and a 2.4% y/y from 2.8%.

UK Good Trade Balance – Expectations – a deficit of -12.8B Pounds for September from – 14.25B.

US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment – Expectations – unchanged at 100.7.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 13th November 2017.

THE ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD.

Main Macro Events This Week

Global bonds and stocks generally declined last week, in large part on political and fiscal worries. Equities slid in the U.S. and Europe, with Wall Street posting its first losing week since September. Despite improved global growth, wrangling in Washington and anxiety over the Trump agenda, especially with the duelling tax plans, concerns over a potential ballooning U.S. deficit, along with Brexit-related angst, not to mention the political intrigue in Saudi Arabia, and rising oil prices, all saw investors fleeing key asset markets. These factors will keep trading choppy and cautious.

United States: Politics and the debate on tax reform will remain front and centre this week, although there are several important data releases, as well as Fedspeak, and earnings announcements that will vie for attention. All eyes will be on Washington as the Republican controlled House and Senate try to reconcile their respective tax plans in time for a vote this year. There are several key economic releases this week that will help fine tune the outlook heading into year-end, with some of the disaster effects washing out. October CPI and retail sales (Wednesday) headline the calendar. Production and manufacturing data will also be of interest. Industrial production (Thursday) is expected to climb 0.7% in October, bouncing on disaster rebuilding, following the 0.3% September gain, with capacity utilization rising to 76.4% from 76.0%. The November Empire State manufacturing index (Wednesday) is seen falling to 24.0 after the 5.8 point jump to 30.2 previously. The November Philly Fed index (Thursday) should fall 3.9 points to 24.0 after rising 4.1 points to 27.9 in October. Also important this week will be housing starts for October, expected to increase to a 1.160 mln rate from 1.127 mln.

Canada: Canada’s bond markets are closed Monday for Remembrance Day. Stocks markets are open. The calendar features September manufacturing (Thursday) and October CPI (Friday). The Teranet/National Home Price Index for October and the October existing home sales report are both due on Wednesday. ADP debuts its Canada National Employment report on Thursday. ADP’s U.S. report is a market mover, and the Canada edition is sure to generate considerable interest given the lack of direct inputs available for the Statistic Canada’s monthly jobs report. Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins speaks on Wednesday to the Money Marketeers of New York in New York, NY. Her speech is titled “Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty.” The Bank publishes the biannual Bank of Canada Review on Thursday.

Europe: Geopolitical risks weighed on markets last week and huge swings in peripheral long yields highlight that the ECB’s ongoing presence on secondary markets is leaving its mark and in times of weak supply is also likely to add to volatility. Rate hikes are not on the horizon until 2019, but the large number of ECB officials on the speaking circuit this week is likely to once again show that a growing divergence between the hawks and the doves at the ECB with the number of those urging a commitment to an exit to QE on the rise. Data releases include final inflation data for October, which are unlikely to hold major surprises. German HICP (Tuesday) expected to be confirmed at 1.5% y/y and the overall Eurozone HICP (Thursday) at just 1.4% y/y. Those will support arguments for the doves at the ECB. Still, growth indicators are robust and the first reading of German GDP growth for Q3 (Tuesday) is seen at 0.5% q/q, slightly slower than the 0.6% clip Q2. Also on the calendar are country GDP readings, including Italy and Portugal, among others, as well as Eurozone trade, BoP and production data.The most important indicator for the markets and the overall growth outlook will be the German ZEW readings for November (Tuesday). A slightly weaker than expected numbers would still suggest the German economy, in particular, is on course to steam ahead with above potential growth rates this year and next, making the ECB’s monetary policy position looking too expansionary for the Eurozone’s largest economy. These factors aren’t likely to impress the doves, however, who remain focused on still sluggish growth in Italy in particular.

UK: The calendar this week is highlighted by the release of October inflation data (Tuesday). The BoE is anticipating CPI to decline to 2.4% in 2018 after 3.0% this year, and to ebb further to 2.2% y/y in 2019. The central bank is expected to hike the repo rate two more times over this period, though latest BoE agents report highlighted that wage demands are picking up — a backdrop that, should it sustain, could potentially see policymakers turn more hawkish. Labour market data is also up this week (Wednesday), where the unemployment rate anticipated unchanged at the cycle low of 4.3% in September. Attention will be on average household income figures given the BoE’s agents report shining of light on a possible sea change in the bargaining position of workers amid a tightening labour market. October retail sales data will round out the UK’s agenda this week (Thursday).

China: In China, October industrial output (Tuesday) is seen at 6.0% y/y from 6.7% previously, while October retail sales are anticipated at a 10.4% y/y rate from 10.3%. October loan growth and new yuan loan data (tentatively Wednesday) should show the former at a 13.0% y/y clip from 13.1%, with the latter at CNY 900.0 bln from 1,270.0 bln.

Japan: In Japan, the preliminary look at Q3 GDP (Wednesday) is penciled in at 1.5% q/q from 2.5% in Q2. Revised September industrial production is also due (Wednesday). It fell 1.1% in the preliminary print, versus a 2.0% August gain.

Australia: The October employment report (Thursday) is expected to show a 20.0k increase employment after the 19.8k gain in September. The unemployment rate is seen at 5.5% in October, identical to the rate in September. The wage price index (Wednesday) is projected to expand at a 0.6% pace in Q3 (q/q, sa) after the 0.5% rise in Q2. The wage price index is seen growing at a 2.1% y/y pace in Q3 from the 1.9% y/y pace seen each quarter from Q3 of 2016 to Q2 of 2017. The 1.9% y/y growth pace is the slowest pace on record going back to the late 1990’s. Assistant Governor (Economic) Ellis speaks Wednesday.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 14th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 14th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets trended lower in sluggish trading, U.S. tax reform developments remain in focus and disappointing manufacturing data out of China did little to boost sentiment. The Nikkei closed little changed, after swinging between gains and losses, the Hang Seng also moved sideways, while CSI 300 and ASX slipped, the latter despite solid business confidence data, which boosted the Aussie dollar and lifted bond yields. After a quiet start to the week, the calendar is heating up today, with German Q3 GDP data and final October inflation numbers at the start of the session, followed by U.K. inflation data, Eurozone production and Q3 GDP. Central bankers are meeting in Frankfurt Fed’s Yellen, ECB’s Draghi, BoE’s Carney, BoJ’s Kuroda are all scheduled to speak this morning.

German HICP inflation was confirmed at 1.5% y/y, as expected, while German Q3 GDP much higher than expected at 0.8% q/q, up from 0.6% q/q and versus a median forecast of 0.6% q/q. A slight slowdown was expected in the quarterly growth rate as production dynamics seemed to have slowed down temporarily, but while there is no official breakdown, the statistics office reported that net exports were a major contributor to growth in the third quarter of the year, so external demand will have compensated for the somewhat more muted performance elsewhere over the summer. The annual rate jumped to 2.8% y/y. That the German economy continues to race ahead is evident in most data and orders suggest a renewed uptick in manufacturing in the last quarter of the year with growth rates exceeding potential going ahead.

Main Macro Events Today

UK PPI and CPI- Expectations – a fall to 0.3% m/m from 0.4% and a 2.4% y/y from 2.8%.

German ZEW – Expectations -a slight improvement in the report up to 20.0 after rising 0.6 points to 17.6 in October. The current situation index should rebound to 88.0 after falling 0.9 points to 87.0 previously.

EU GDP and Industrial Production – Expectations – unchanged at 0.6% q/q and 2.5% y/y for Q3 and a decline for industrial production by 0.6% , down to 3.2% y/y for September.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 15th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: The sell off in global stock markets continued in Asia overnight, With Japan underperforming and the Nikkei closing with a loss of -1.57% as a stronger Yen added to pressure from profit taking as the year end comes into view. Concern over the rout in China’s bond market and the sell off in global commodities underpinned the decline. Oil prices continued to slide overnight, with the front end WTI future currently just barely above the USD 55.0 per barrel level. China’s 10-year yields breached 4% for the first time in more than three years yesterday, and while they are back below the key level amid a wider decline in Asian yields, there are fears more is to come. Yields in the U.S. and Europe also declined yesterday and with stock futures heading south bonds are likely to remain sought. The calendar today has the final reading for French Nov HICP and Eurozone trade data, but the focus will be on U.K. labour market and wage date, with BoE’s Cunliffe stressing late yesterday that the central bank needs clear pay growth evidence before hiking again. There is supply from Germany, which auctions 10-year Bunds after already selling 2-year Schatz notes yesterday and ECB speakers are also on the schedule.

Japan’s GDP slowed to a 1.4% growth pace in Q3, nearly as expected following a revised 2.6% gain in Q2 (was +2.5%). Consumption spending fell 0.5% in Q3 (q/q, sa) amid poor weather conditions, after a revised 0.7% gain in Q2 (was +0.8%). Business spending rose 0.2% in Q3 (q/q, sa) after the 0.5% gain in Q2. Net exports added to GDP. This was the seventh consecutive quarter of GDP growth. The deflator grew 0.1% (y/y, sa) in Q3 following the 0.4% drop in Q2 and 0.8% decline in Q1. There was a flat reading (0.0%) in Q4 of 2016 and a 0.1% dip in Q3 of 2016. Hence, this is the first expansion in the deflator since the 0.4% rise in Q2 of 2016. USDJPY has slipped to 113.22 from 113.40 going into the report’s release.

Main Macro Events Today

UK Average Earnings – Expectations – a 2.1% y/y rise in the three months to September, and a 2.2% gain in the ex-bonus numbers that would still be lagging some way behind inflation.

UK Unemployment Rate – Expectations – unchanged at the cycle low of 4.3% in September.

US Retail Sales – Expectations – inching up 0.1% in October, with the ex-auto aggregate rising 0.3% following gains of 1.6% and 1.0%, respectively in September, which were also impacted by the hurricanes. Production and manufacturing data will also be of interest.

US CPI – Expectations – rise to 0.1%m/m for October from 0.5% last month and with the core up 0.2% as energy prices moderate.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 16th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Stock markets bounced back during the Asian session, and the Nikkei gained nearly 1.5% as technology and telecom stocks led the way and a weaker Yen added support. Profit taking seems to have run its course and traders are leaving concerns about the progress of U.S. tax reforms and China’s slowdown and credit burden behind and refocus on positive corporate earnings. U.K. and U.S. futures are also higher, suggesting that global markets are set to recover some of the losses from earlier in the week. Yields still dropped in Asia overnight and Bund futures climbed higher in after hour trade, with Eurozone peripherals in particular likely to benefit from the return in risk appetite. The EUR is down from recent highs, but still hovering around the 1.18 mark against the Dollar. The local calendar has U.K. retail sales data and the final reading of Eurozone HICP inflation for October.

FX Action: USDJPY has traded firmer so far today, rising concomitantly with stock markets in Asia. U.S. equity index futures are also up after the USA500 posted its biggest daily loss yesterday in two months. The yen has been correlating inversely with global stock markets this week, as it is apt to do during phases of pronounced swings in investor risk appetite. The weakness in the currency today has in turn injected extra buoyancy into Japanese stock markets, with the Topix index outperforming most of its regional peers with a gain of just over 1%. News that two U.S. senators (Ron Johnson and Susan Collins) have publicly criticised the tax reform bill may limit the rebound potential of stock markets, at least on Wall Street.

Main Macro Events Today

UK Retail Sales – Expectations – pick up to 0.1% for October, from -0.8% seen in September.

EU Final CPI – Expectations – unchanged at 1.4% and core at 0.9%.

Canadian ADP Non-Farm Employment Change & Manuf. Sales – Expectations – Manufacturing Sales expected to fall down to -0.4% from 1.6% last month, while Canadian ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be released for the first time.

US Jobless Claims, Production & Philly Fed index – Expectations – Jobless claims expected to dip to 235K, while Phily index expected ay 25.0 from 27.9 seen on October.

BoE and FOMC – BoE Governor Carney is due to speak along with MPC members Broadbent, Cunliffe, and Ramsden about economics at various public schools, in Liverpool. FOMC members Kaplan and Brainard are due to give a speech in Houston an d Michigan respectively.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 17th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: The recovery on global stock markets continued in Asia overnight, with a round of positive earnings from U.S. companies reports and progress on the U.S. tax reform plan underpinning risk appetite. The Hang Seng outperformed with banks underpinned by optimism over new shareholding rules. Elsewhere gains were more muted however, and the Nikkei closed up 0.20%, while U.K. Stock futures are down, and U.S. futures narrowly mixed. Oil prices are slightly higher on the day and the front end WTI future is trading a USD 55.35 per barrel. A more cautious mood then on stock markets going into the European open and long yields declined in Japan and Australia. Bund futures extended losses in after hour trade yesterday, with Gilt under-performing and with BoE’s Carney repeating late yesterday that there will be more rate hikes, if the economy develops along expected lines, Gilts could well continue to underperform. Today’s data calendar has Eurozone BoE and current account data and Bundesbank President Weidmann is scheduled to speak.

U.S. reports: revealed a surprisingly robust round of industrial production figures, with a 0.9% October surge after big upward revisions back through May, alongside a slightly larger than expected November Philly Fed drop to a still-solid 22.7 from 27.9, with a larger ISM-adjusted drop to 56.7 from 59.7. We also saw an unexpected 10k initial claims bounce to 249k in the Veteran’s Day week, though this week kicks-off the period of heightened volatility that extends through the MLK weekend. The October trade price figures proved weaker than expected despite oil import and food export price gains, perhaps partly due to the October bounce in the value of the dollar combined with some unwind of a prior hurricane-boost. The net upside surprise for the day’s reports was reinforced by a 2-point bounce in the NAHB index to 70, and a rise in the weekly Bloomberg consumer comfort index to 52.1 from 51.5.

Main Macro Events Today

ECB – ECB Pres. Draghi is due to speak at Frankfurt European Banking Congress.

Canadian CPI – Expectations – rise to 0.1% m/m in October after the 0.2% gain in September. Furthermore, CPI is expected to dip to a 1.5% annual growth pace in October from the 1.6% pace in September (y/y, nsa).

US Building Permits – Expectations – increase up to a 1.247 mln rate from 1.215 mln.

US Housing Starts – Expectations – increase up to a 1.185 mln rate from 1.127 mln.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 20th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 20th November 2017.

FX News Today

After a couple of panicky moments in global equities over the past week, the markets will keep a wary eye on political developments. In Washington, the House passed its version of tax reform, but the process of reconciling that with a Senate bill could put a damper on the holidays. Political risks loom large in Europe too. Brexit remains a major uncertainty; Merkel has yet to form a government in Germany, while ousted Catalan leaders still have a chance in the December snap election. Trading should quiet this week, however, with the U.S. and Japan on holiday Thursday for Thanksgiving. There’s little on the economic calendars as well.

United States: The economic calendar will be heavily front-loaded, especially on Wednesday ahead of the long Thanksgiving weekend. That will make for a frantic action packed early week of data. Leading indicators are expected to rebound 0.4% (Monday) in October from their 0.2% decline in September. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is on tap for October (Tuesday), along with October existing home sales seen rising 0.7% to a 5.43 mln unit pace from 5.39 mln previously — in line with gains in other housing indicators in the month such as the NAHB index. The MBA mortgage market index returns (Wednesday), accompanied by October durable goods orders forecast to rise 0.5% vs 2.0% in September thanks to the hurricane rebound, or 0.4% ex-transportation. Initial jobless claims should resume their decline by 15k to 234k for the week ended November 18 (Wednesday), while final Michigan sentiment may be nudged to 98.0 in November from a preliminary 97.8, down from 100.7 in October. Rounding out the week are Markit PMIs (Friday).

Canada: In Canada the data and event docket is fairly thin this week. September wholesale shipments (Tuesday) are expected to rise 0.7% m/m after the 0.5% gain in August. Retails sales (Thursday) are projected to rebound 1.0% m/m in September after the 0.3% decline in August. The ex-autos sales aggregate is seen rising 0.8% m/m on the heels of the 0.7% tumble in August. The wholesale and retail reports comprise the final two reports that directly inform the forecast for September GDP. As-expected reports would be consistent with the projection for a 0.1% m/m bounce-back in September GDP following the 0.1% drop in August and flat reading in July. For the quarter, GDP is tracking around 1.8% (q/q, saar), which would match the BoC’s Q3 estimate from the October MPR. Hence, the data this week should be supportive of current expectations for a very cautious approach from the BoC to removing accommodation.

Europe: The data calendar includes the second reading of German Q3 GDP (Wednesday), widely expected to be confirmed at 0.8% q/q. And the breakdown, which will be released for the first time, will likely show ongoing robust domestic demand, but also a contribution from net exports to overall growth amid a strengthening world economy. Looking ahead, preliminary November PMI readings (Thursday) as well as the German Ifo (Friday) could ease slightly, but are expected to remain at high levels, consistent with ongoing robust growth in Q4 and going into 2018. The economic calendar also has Eurozone consumer confidence, French national confidence data and Italian orders among others. Events include a German 30-year auction, the ECB’s account of the last policy meeting and a wealth of ECB speakers including Draghi, Coeure and Constancio. Draghi and Constancio in particular are likely to continue to defend the ECB’s line that despite stronger growth the economy and inflation in particular still need ongoing monetary support, while others including Bundesbank President Weidmann would have preferred a clearer commitment to an end date for QE.

UK: Time is ticking on the next deadline — the December EU leaders’ summit — for the UK and EU to agree on Brexit divorce terms. There remains little sign that an accord will be reached, however, and many signs of deadlock — not just on the final financial settlement but also the Northern Ireland border issue, which is starting to look like a major sticking point, with Ireland threatening to block the Brexit process entirely. The calendar this week brings monthly government borrowing data (Tuesday), the November CBI industrial trend survey (also Tuesday), the Chancellor’s mid fiscal year budget (Wednesday), the second estimate for Q3 GDP (Wednesday), and, finally, the November CBI distributive sales survey (Thursday). The CBI surveys, being relatively narrow in terms of respondents, will largely be overlooked by markets, while the Chancellor’s room for fiscal manoeuvre is limited. GDP data is expected to confirm the preliminarily estimated 0.4% q/q and 1.5% y/y growth rates.

Japan:In Japan, the September all-industry index (Tuesday) is penciled in at -0.5% from up 0.1% in August.

Australia: In Australia, it is a busy week for the Reserve Bank of Australia. The Bank’s Head of Financial Stability Kearns speaks at the Aus-China Property Developers Investors and Financiers event (Monday). Head of Domestic Markets, Marion Kohler, delivers a speech (Monday) to the Australian Securitisation Forum 2017. The RBA’s Assistant Governor (Financial System) Michele Bullock is a panel participant at the Women in Payments Symposium. The calendar is empty of top tier data, with Q3 construction work done (Wednesday) the lone highlight.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 21st November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 21st November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets rebounded from the weak session on Monday. Chinese shares in Hong Kong rallied on financial companies following, while the ASX 200 underperformed despite a weaker currency after dovish RBA minutes. U.K and U.S. stock futures are mostly slightly down, despite the positive leads out of Asia and reports that PM May is willing to double the “divorce” settlement to the EU to EUR 40 bln ahead of the December EU summit that could clear the way for early trade and transition talks. BoE’s Ramsden said last night that Brexit prospects are reinforcing the trend of declining productivity in the economy. In Germany there are more signs that another round of elections is underway, after Merkel said yesterday that whe prefers new elections to leading a minority government as both FDP and SPD still refuse to enter a coalition with the Chancellor. Germany’s political turmoil failed to dent confidence in the GER30 yesterday, but still has the potential to shake markets going ahead. Today’s calendar has public finance data out of the U.K.

Market Summary: Trading was rather quiet to start the week, with little on the global agenda, and nothing on the US domestic calendar, to provide a spark. Markets were quick to shrug off the failure of German Chancellor Merkel establish a coalition government, while ECB’s Draghi continued to urge policy patience. Political uncertainty in Germany after news that Chancellor Merkel has been unable to form a minority government caused an early stir, weighing on equities and giving bonds a little bid. But, that was quickly shaken off after President Steinmeier stepped in to try and get parties back to the negotiating table. Beliefs the German economy was also strong enough to withstand any turbulence saw the GER30 rebound and Bund yields rise. Meanwhile, U.S. leading indicates leapt 1.2% in October, though reaction was typically minimal given the rebound from the hurricanes. Yellen also confirmed she plans to leave the Fed board as part of the expected handover to Powell. Canadian markets were generally hostage to these events, along with uncertainties over the U.S. political situation, and especially tax policies.

Main Macro Events Today

RBA – RBA Gov Lowe speaks at the Australian Business Economists Annual Dinner, in Sydney.

UK Inflation & Public Net Borrowing – Expectations – Monthly government borrowing data expected at 6.6B Pounds. BOE Governor and MPC members testify on inflation and the economic outlook prior Parliament’s Treasury Committee.

Canadian Wholesale Sales – Expectations – a rise at 0.6% from 0.5% seen last month.

US Existing Home Sales – Expectations – seen rising 0.7% to a 5.43 mln unit pace from 5.39 mln previously.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 22nd November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 22nd November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets mostly moved higher after new highs on Wall Street ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holidays. Optimism over global growth continues to propel indices higher although the CSI 300 retreated slightly after yesterday’s gains, as yields spiked in China, while coming down in Japan, Australia, New Zealand. UK100 and U.S. stock futures are also higher, as are oil prices, with the front end WTI future trading at USD 57.68 per barrel. The European data calendar is pretty empty, with only preliminary Eurozone consumer confidence in the afternoon. Events include a German 10-year Bund auction and the U.K. budget, while in Germany Merkel’s search for a way out of the stalemate continues.

U.S. equities are back at record highs after their opening lunge higher, propped up by a solid run higher in China on hopes regulators there will managed their shadow banking problems (Hang Seng rallied 1.9%) and hopes that Germany’s Merkel will extricate herself to form a coalition government without calling for new elections (German GER30+0.8%). That spilled over to a pre-Thanksgiving binge on Wall Street, paced by a 1% rally on NASDAQ and followed by 0.6-0.7% gains on the blue chip indices. Speaking of tech, Apple +2%, 3M +1.5% and Microsoft +1.3% are the Dow’s leaders on the upside, while Wal-Mart -0.7% is the deepest decliner. The VIX equity volatility index is 6.7% lower and back under 10.0, well off the 14.51 November high set amid tax cut plan divergence between the House and Senate. That fear now appears to be on the back-burner, though some heavy lifting remains to reconcile the two tax bill versions and sell the unified plan to the public before year-end. Meanwhile, the USDIndex remains around 94.0, while gold rebounded back over $1,283 and WTI crude has consolidated 1.5% higher near $57.92 bbl.

Main Macro Events Today

UK Autumn Forecast Statement – Released yearly
.
US Durable Goods – Expectations – rise 0.3% vs 2.0% in September due to the hurricane rebound, or 0.4% ex-transportation.

US Jobless Claims & UoM Sentiment- Expectations – revised their decline by 15k to 234k for the week ended November 18, while final Michigan sentiment may be nudged to 98.0 in November from a preliminary 97.8, down from 100.7 in October.

Oil Inventories – Expectations – decrease by 1.4 mln barrels.

FOMC Meeting Minutes –

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 23rd November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 23rd November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets headed south, with the CSI 300 selling off and losing nearly 1.90%, dragged down by bond markets with Chinese yields on sovereign debt but also top-rated corporate notes at the highest level in three years and the 10-year is approaching the 4% mark. More than USD 1 trillion of local bonds mature next year and the bond market rout will make is very expensive for companies to refinance as the deleverage push gathers pace. The Hang Seng dropped -0.32%, the ASX closed unchanged, while Japan was closed for a holiday. With the U.S. also out of the picture today trading is likely to be quieter than usual. UK100 futures are down ahead of a busy local calendar with second readings for German and U.K. Q3 GDP alongside preliminary Eurozone PMI readings as well as French confidence data and the ECB minutes for the last policy meeting, where the ECB announced its new QE program.

FOMC minutes showed concerns over low inflation, with worries that some of the softness could be due to more persistent factors. Remember this uncertainty has recently been brought up by Fed Chair Yellen. The minutes to the October 31 – November 1 meeting said “with core inflation readings continuing to surprise to the downside…many participants observed that there was some likelihood that inflation might remain below 2% for longer than they currently expected.” While that worry was the general thread, there actually was considerable hemming and hawing on whether the weakness was more transitory or was becoming perhaps persistent, as well as what to do about it. Nevertheless, “nearly all participants” affirmed a gradual approach to raising rates, which supports market expectations for a 25 bp hike at the December 12, 13 meeting. Policymakers noted continued strength in the labor market, along with moderate household spending, as consistent with above trend growth. Outlooks on wage developments were more mixed, but overall growth was seen as moderate. There was nothing in the minutes to negate expectations for a December tightening, although the fears that low inflation might be becoming more persistent support beliefs the FOMC might trim its dot plot to two tightening in 2018, from the current three.: The dollar faded further after the FOMC minutes, which showed concerns over low inflation, with worries that some of the softness could be due to more persistent factors. EURUSD topped over 1.1825, while USDJPY sank to 111.15.

Main Macro Events Today

German PMI – Expectations – the November manufacturing PMI falling to 60.4 from 60.6 and the services reading to 55.0 from 54.7.

EU PMI – Expectations –the November manufacturing PMI falling to 58.3 from 58.5 and the services reading to remain stable at 55.0.

UK GDP – Expectations – 0.4% q/q and 1.5% y/y growth rates.

ECB Monetary Policy Metting Accounts

CAD Retail Sales – Expectations – at 1.0% m/m in September after the 0.3% decline in August.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 24th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 24th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: : Asian stock markets moved slightly higher in quiet trade. The rout on Chinese bond and stock markets that dominated Thursday’s session faded and the Nikkei managed a 0.12% gain as the yen weakened. Chinese bond markets declined somewhat, Treasury yields climbed higher, underpinning the USD. With most U.S. investors out for the Thanksgiving holiday and markets closed Thursday, trading in Asia remained lacklustre even as Japan reopened. European and U.S. stock futures are also moving higher, oil prices are up and the WTI future is trading at USD 58.47. In Europe, the calendar still holds German Ifo investor sentiment, which could come in higher than expected after the surprisingly strong PMI readings yesterday. There seems to be come movement in Germany’s political stalemate with hopes that the SPD may take back its “no” to a coalition with Merkel’s CDU/CSU and ECB’s Couere said the deposit rate will stay at -0.4% for a long time.

Canada’s drop in retail sales volumes adds another hit the September GDP outlook. Retail sales volumes fell 0.6% m/m in September after an 0.5% decline in August and a 0.3% fall in July, contrasting with the gains from January to June. The BoC tagged a fading child tax credit boost as a key driver of the Q1 and Q2 consumption gains and subsequent drop off. There was a 1.1% tumble in wholesale shipment volumes. There was a 0.7% bounce in manufacturing shipment volumes. The contribution from construction production could be mildly negative, as housing starts fell 2.8% to a 219.3k pace in September from 225.6k in August. But the outlook for mining, oil and gas production is upbeat. Energy export values grew 7.2% m/m in September. The manufacturing report’s petro and coal shipments measure improved 10.3% m/m in September. But while we’ve seen some disappointing reports of late, the BoC has projected slowing in the second half after the robust first half. And the slowing, at this point, looks to be close to what they projected in October. BoC speakers have been clear that the economy, along with uncertainty over NAFTA, has led them to a cautious stance on further rate increases.

Main Macro Events Today

German IFO- Expectations – Business IFO falls by 0.1 to 116.6.

US Markit PMI – Expectations –the November Prelim. Manufacturing PMI rising to 54.8 from 54.6 and the services reading to 55.5 from 55.3

ECB Vice President Constancio and ECB Coeure speech

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 27th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 27th November 2017.

FX News Today

The end of the year is fast approaching. But, there is still a lot to be done over the next thirty days, with several important events and data reports to be assessed and digested before the markets can turn out the lights on 2017. One of the most crucial developments will be whether a tax reform bill can be crafted. Meanwhile, this week brings Fed Chair nominee Powell’s confirmation hearing, JEC testimony from Yellen, and an OPEC meeting. Political uncertainty in Germany will be an undercurrent ahead of Brexit talks in early December, with the EU Leaders Summit in mid-December, as well as ECB and FOMC meetings. And, a variety of top tier data on growth, inflation, production, and trade will help fine tune outlooks into 2018.

United States: There’s plenty in the U.S. this week to pique interest heading into December and year end. The holiday shopping season kicked off in style on Black Friday with strong retail spending, both in brick and mortar shops and online, with estimates around $33 bln, according to Customer Growth Partners data, which would be a 4.9% y/y pick up. Along with the focus on holidays, attention will turn to Congress which returns from the Thanksgiving recess and will set to work on the tax bill. Additionally, Fed Chair Yellen’s give her final JEC testimony (Wednesday). The Senate Banking Committee also begins hearings on Fed chair nominee Powell (Tuesday). The Beige Book is on tap too. (Wednesday).

As for data, revised Q3 GDP (Wednesday) will be a focal point. The November ISM (Friday) is estimated slipping to 58.3 from 58.7. November vehicle sales (Friday). October new home sales (Monday) are expected to drop 10% to a 600k pace unwinding some of the hurricane-distorted 18.9% jump in September to 667k. November consumer confidence (Tuesday) is seen edging up to 126.0 from 125.9. October personal income and consumption (Thursday) will help further fine tune GDP forecasts, and will also be important gauges ahead of the holiday shopping season. Other housing data is slated this week includes the September Case-Shiller home price index (Tuesday), the September FHFA home price index (Tuesday), and October pending home sales (Wednesday). Construction spending (Friday) likely rose 0.7% in October after a 0.3% September gain. Also on tap is the November Dallas Fed’s manufacturing index (Monday), which surged 6.3 points to 27.6 in October, as well as the Chicago PMI, which is projected falling to 61.0 in November from 66.2.

Canada: Employment, GDP and the BoC’s Financial System Review headline a busy week of data and events. GDP (Friday) is expected to reveal a slowdown to a 1.6% Q3 pace of real GDP growth (q/q, saar) from the 4.5% growth rate in Q2. A slowdown in growth after the robust first half has been well-flagged by the BoC. Employment (Friday) is seen rising 20.0k in November after the 35.3k increase in October. The current account deficit (Thursday) is anticipated to widen to -C$20.0 bln in Q3 from -C$16.3 bln in Q2, as the nominal trade deficit ballooned in Q3. The industrial product price index (Tuesday) is expected to rise 0.5% in October (m/m, nsa) after the 0.3% decline in September, as energy and commodity prices moved higher while the loonie lost value against the U.S. dollar. September average weekly earnings are due Thursday. The CFIB’s November Business Barometer sentiment measure of small and medium firms is due out Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada releases the Financial System Review on Tuesday. Governor Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins will take questions from the press.

Europe: November seems to be ending on an upbeat note with plenty of reason for cheer. Confidence indicators have surged higher; the recovery remains on track; the ECB is still in a generous mood and there are glimmers of hope on the political fronts as well. This month’s round of survey data concludes with the European Commission’s November ESI Economic Confidence Indicator (Wednesday), which after the very strong PMI readings, is expected to show a marked uptick, especially as preliminary consumer confidence numbers have already came in much higher than anticipated. The German labour market in particular is looking increasingly tight and a decline in the November sa jobless number is anticipated (Thursday) of -7K, which would leave the adjusted unemployment rate at a record low of 1.5%. Overall Eurozone numbers meanwhile are also improving and the unemployment rate (Thursday) is likely to dip to 8.8% from 8.9% in September. The HICP rates anticipated to rise around 0.2%, which would bring the German rate (Wednesday) to 1.7%, the Italian (Wednesday), French (Thursday), both to 1.3% y/y and the overall Eurozone rate (Thursday) to 1.6% y/y from 1.4%. Though still below the ECB’s upper limit for price stability, growth indicators looking stronger than anticipated, making the ECB’s decision to extend the balance sheet once again and to leave QE open-ended, seem questionable. Indeed, there are more and more signs that while the ECB is reluctant to commit to a firm end date, in the central scenario the next QE program that ends in September next year, will likely be the last. The calendar also has Eurozone M3 money supply growth, French consumption, German retail sales and another updated for French Q3 GDP.

UK: There is a risk of Brexit-related disappointment into the EU leaders’ summit in mid-December. While an FT report early last week (citing sources) attested that the EU and UK have a breakthrough in the works with regard to agreeing on divorcing terms, doubts have persisted. The EU’s Juncker said Thursday “we’ll see” as to whether there has been sufficient progress to move forward at the December-4 meeting between May, himself and EU chief Brexit negotiation, Barnier. This week’s calendar brings October lending data from the BoE (Wednesday), the November Gfk consumer confidence survey (Thursday) and the manufacturing PMI survey (Friday). The lending data expected to show steady lending to consumers, both unsecured and lending secured on dwellings, while consumer confidence to nudge lower, and the November manufacturing PMI report, to stay unchanged from November and indicate ongoing expansion in the sector.

Japan: October retail sales (Wednesday) are penciled in with a 1.0% y/y contraction after posting a 1.9% growth rate for large retailers. Overall sales are seen slowing to 0.3% y/y from 2.3% overall. October industrial production (Thursday) should rise to 1.5% y/y versus the previous 1.1% decline. October housing starts and construction orders are also due Thursday. The balance of releases come on Friday, with CPI figures headlining. The November manufacturing PMI, and November auto sales are also on Friday’s docket.

China: official November CFLP manufacturing PMI (Thursday) is expected to slip to 51.4 from 51.6, while the November Caixin/Markit manufacturing PMI (Friday) is penciled in at 50.7 from 51.0.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 28th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 28th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook:Asian stock markets headed south again, as declines and energy and mining stocks led shares lower amid a further drop in metal prices. Concern China’s regulators may limit the flow of funds into Hong Kong’s stock markets adding to pressure. The China Securities Regulatory Commission is suspending approval of mutual funds that plan to allocate more than 80% in Hong Kong listed shares, according to media reports. The Hang Seng declined -0.65%, the CSP 300 was down -0.22%, against minimal losses in Nikkei and ASX 200. U.S. and U.K. stock futures are also heading south, as the U.S. tax debate gets underway. Oil prices are down and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 57.75. Today’s local calendar remains relatively quiet, but includes Eurozone M3 money supply, Canadian RMPI, US Housing Index, trade, consumer confidence, RBNZ Stability Report and lot of Fedspeeches.

German import price inflation fell back to 2.6% y/y in October, from 3.0% y/y in the pervious month. Like the deceleration in HICP inflation that month the drop was largely driven by lower energy prices and excluding energy the annual rate actually rose to 2.2% y/y from 2.1% y/y. So a confirmation that energy prices continue to play a dominant role in headline developments, but also that underlying inflation pressures are slowly picking up again even on the import price front.

U.S. reports: revealed a surprising 6.2% October new home sales climb to a hurricane-boosted 685k rate that marked a 10-year high, following a trimming in September’s prior cycle-high to 645k from 667k. Home sales rose 1% in the south despite huge prior gains, though we saw larger 6%-30% October gains in the other three regions. A preponderance of upside surprises in the construction and factory-sensitive reports through early-2018 given disaster-related rebuilding activity, are still widely expected. The Dallas Fed index bucked this boost however, as well as a likely lift from rising oil prices, with a headline drop to a still-firm 19.4 from an 11-year high of 27.6 in October, while the ISM-adjusted measure fell to 55.6 from a 57.9 October cycle-high. A small November drop-backs has been seen in most producer sentiment levels, though still-robust levels suggest upside risk to 3.0% Q4 GDP estimate, after an assumed Q3 boost to 3.5% from 3.0%.

Main Macro Events Today

US Consumer Confidence – Expectations – seen edging up to 124.0 from 125.9.

September Case-Shiller home price index and the September FHFA home price index

Canadian IPPI – Expectations –rise up to 0.5% in October (m/m, nsa) after the 0.3% decline in September.

Fed’s Dudley and FOMC Member Powell and Harker Speech

BoC Financial System Review – Governor Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins speech at 16:30 GMT.

RBNZ Financial stability Report

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 29th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 29th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian markets seem to have shrugged off North Korea’s missile launch and turned their focus to the progress of Trump’s tax cut plans, with a weaker yen, helping the Nikkei to rise 0.49%. the ASX is also up Hang Seng and CSI 300 are underperforming and struggling to hang on to marginal gains, and the MSCI Asia Pacific index gained for the first time in three days. China’s 10-year yield remained above 4% as the PBOC once again refrained from adding net liquidity. U.K. stock futures are down, despite reported that negotiators reached an outline deal on the Brexit “divorce bill”, which would lead the Irish border issue as the only obstacle to early trade and transition talks. Today’s calendar has Eurozone ESI economic confidence, preliminary inflation data out of Spain and Germany, U.K. money supply and credit growth as well as French GDP and consumer spending.

Negotiators reached outline deal on Brexit “divorce bill”, according to Bloomberg reports.Cable surged nearly 100 points to 1.3325 following Bloomberg headlines (citing The Telegraph) saying that the U.K. and EU have agreed on divorce terms. EU leaders will still have the final say whether the offer is high enough to unblock talks on transition and trade agreements. There also remains the difficult and sensitive issue of the Irish border, but Irish Foreign Minister Coveney said U.K. and EU teams are discussing possible wordings for a commitment on the border issue, that would allow trade talks to move ahead. Ireland can still block the move at the December summit where heads of states will to sign off any possible deal.

Main Macro Events Today

EMU ESI confidence – Expectations – 114.6 up from 114.0 in October

US Prelim GDP – Expectations – upward revision to a 3.2% rate of growth, versus the initial 3.0% print.

BOE Governor Carney Speaks at 14:00 GMT and BOE Ramsden speaks at 14:45 GMT

Fed Chair Yellen Testifies at 15:00 GMT

Charts of the Day

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 30th November 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 30th November 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: The global sell off in tech stocks continued in Asia, Japanese markets managed to outperform, underpinned by financials and the Nikkei managed a gain of nearly 0.6%, but the Hang Seng dropped 1.5%, the CSI 300 1.3% and the ASX declined 0.69%, after the government announced an inquiry into banks. South Korean listed shares dropped after the central bank hiked interest rates. UK100 futures are heading south, U.S. futures are narrowly mixed. Data releases in Europe include Eurozone jobless numbers and most importantly preliminary Eurozone HICP readings for November.

Sterling continued has extended its ascent into a third day, with Cable punching out a fresh two-month high of 1.3480 and EURGBP plumbing a three-week low. Reports continue to point to a deal-in-the-works between the EU and the UK on the final financial settlement, and there is also raised hopes that an agreement will be made on the Irish border issue (and so avoid the spectre of a Dublin veto). Elsewhere, EURUSD has remained buoyant, although has thus far remained below yesterday’s peak at 1.1882. USDJPY rose for a third straight session, logging an 11-day peak of 111.24. This is the biggest rebound the pair has seen in four weeks, marking a break in the down phase that’s been in place since November (both breaking above and closing above trend resistance yesterday). Strong gains have also been seen in EURJPY, which is up nearly 1% over the last day, along with GBPJPY, which has surged by nearly 2% over the last two days. The yen, which is generally regarded as the safe haven currency of choice, has clearly not been in demand despite the haemorrhage in tech stocks over the last day, and concerns about North Korea’s ongoing development of ICBM capability.

Main Macro Events Today

EU CPI – Expectations – rise by 0.2% for November from 0.9% seen in October.

EU Unemployment Rate – Expectations – Unchanged at 8.9% for October

US Unemployment Claims and PCE – Expectations – Unemployment Claims expected at 240K from 239K seen last week, while core PCE expected to rise to 0.2% m/m from 0.1%.

Last day of OPEC meeting

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 1st December 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 1st December 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets traded mostly higher as tech stocks recovered on Wall Street and key oil exporting countries agreed to extend production cuts. Hang Seng and CSI 300 underperforming once again, after a weak Caixin manufacturing PMI reading. U.K. and U.S. stock futures are in the red, however, Japanese and U.S. long yields are down. Meanwhie, WTI crude languishes at the bottom of its intra day range, trading just above the $57.00 mark, as OPEC and Russia agrees to continue output caps through the end of 2018. The agreement will reportedly be reviewed in June of next year. This was the outcome most had been looking for, though with the market still overweight on the long side, profit taking may keep further gains out of reach until positioning returns to a more neutral state. Today’s calendar has final Eurozone manufacturing PMI readings for November, which are not expected to bring major surprises and confirm preliminary readings. The U.K. CIPS manufacturing meanwhile is sseen steady at 56.5, unchanged from October.

FX Action: USDJPY edged out an 11-day high of 112.69 in the early Asia-Pacific session, and has since remained buoyant. This makes it the fourth consecutive day the pair has risen. Yen weakness has been driving the move. EURJPY logged a four-month high, at 134.29, GBPJPY a two-month high of 152.52, and AUDJPY a 10-day peak. A flood of data releases were seen today out of Japan, the more salient of which from a monetary policymaker perspective, was that inflation remains benign, with the October CPI headline coming in a just 0.2% y/y and the core CPI version at 0.8% y/y, well off the 2.0% BoJ target. Other data included a solid outcome in the November manufacturing PMI, which rose to a 53.6 reading from 52.8 in the month prior, its best in 44 months. Capital expenditure rose a solid 4.3% q/q in Q3, while labour data showed that the job to applicant ratio rose to its highest since January 1974.

Main Macro Events Today

EU & German Manuf. PMI – Expectations – rise by 0.2% for November from 0.9% seen in October.

Canadian GDP – Expectations – slowdown to a 1.6% Q3 pace of real GDP growth (q/q, saar) from the 4.5% growth rate in Q2.

Canadian Employment Data – Expectations – improve by 20.0k in November after the the 35.3k gain in October

US ISM Manuf. PMI – Expectations – slip to 58.4 from 58.7 for November.

Charts of the Day

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 4th December 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 4th December 2017.

FX News Today

The collision of two opposing forces on Friday put the markets in a lather as the Senate tax cut bill garnered sufficient momentum to pass by the skin of McConnell’s teeth, but offset by news that former Trump advisor Flynn plans to plead out to lying to the FBI and indicate he was directed (by someone) to contact the Russians. According to several reports, that “someone” now appears to have been Trump’s son-in-law Kushner, who has meanwhile been invited back before the Senate Intelligence panel. At least in the short-term, this was a clear victory for volatility for a change, which was one of the main beneficiaries, contributing to large swings in stocks, yields and the dollar. It seems that December has begun with a bang and the last month of the year is certainly setting up to be an eventful one ahead of the holidays and before we close out 2017

United States: The U.S. economic calendar will feature a steady drumbeat of factory, trade, ISM services, ADP, productivity and credit data all setting the table for the main course on Friday — the jobs report. November non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 260k, with a 250k private payroll gain following the October 261k print. Factory goods orders are forecast (Monday) to rise 0.2% for October after a 1.5% gain in September. The trade deficit is expected (Tuesday) to widen to -$47.5 bln in October vs -$43.5 bln, while ISM Non-Manufacturing index is set to slip to a still-respectable 59.0 in November from 60.1. The MBA mortgage market indices are due (Wednesday), along with the release of the private ADP employment survey. Q3 productivity is expected to increase 3.3% vs 3.0% in Q2 (Wednesday), allowing unit labor costs to slip 0.1% from 0.5%. Initial jobless claims may slip 2k to 236k for the December 2 week (Thursday). Rounding out the week after the payrolls report (Friday) will be preliminary Michigan sentiment and wholesale trade.

Canada: The BoC’s announcement (Wednesday) is the focus this week. No change is expected in the current 1.00% rate setting. Taking into consideration ongoing uncertainty over NAFTA and the Bank’s desire to gauge the impact of this year’s 50 bp in hikes and upcoming mortgage rule changes, the next hike is anticipated in March at 25 basis point move. Meanwhile, a busy data calendar is on tap this week. The October trade deficit (Tuesday) is expected to narrow to -C$2.6 bln from -C$3.2 bln in September. Productivity (Wednesday) is expected to contract 0.5% (q/q, sa) in Q3 after the 0.1% dip in Q2, as hours worked growth remained firm but output growth slowed sharply. Building permits (Thursday) are expected to fall 1.0% in October after the 3.8% gain in September. Housing starts (Friday) are projected to slow to a 215.0k unit growth rate in November from the 222.8k growth clip in October. Capacity utilization (Friday) is on track to improve to 85.1% in Q3 from 85.0% in Q2.

Europe: Political events move to the forefront again, as U.K. Prime Minister May is set to meet EU’s Juncker and Barnier on Monday and Germany’s Social Democrats are inching closer towards formal coalition talks with Chancellor Merkel and her CDU/CSU alliance. SPD leader Schulz has a chance to put the issue to a vote at a party conference this week but as the last round of coalition talks showed, even the start of formal negotiations would not secure that there will be a deal at the end. Data releases this week are expected to confirm the stronger than expected growth trajectory. The final reading of the November Eurozone Services PMI (Tuesday) is expected to be confirmed at 56.2, with companies reporting swift job creation, but also a buildup of inflationary pressures that will add to the arguments of the hawks at the ECB. German October manufacturing orders (Wednesday) may be expected to correct -0.2% m/m , after the rise of 1.0% m/m in the previous month, but the overall trend remains very strong. Meanwhile German industrial production should still benefit from the robust rise in orders in previous months and is expected to have expanded 1.0% m/m in October. The data calendar also includes German trade data, French production, Eurozone retail sales and producer price inflation. Supply comes from Germany, with a EUR 2 bln 10-year Bund auction scheduled for Wednesday.

UK: Monday’s meeting between British PM May and top EU officials will draw a lot of attention, as this is the juncture when an agreement on divorcing terms is now widely expected to be announced. The pound rallied by over 1% last week at the prompt of media reports suggest that both the UK and the EU have reached a concord with both the final financial settlement Britain will pay before leaving, to square exiting obligations, and the Irish border issue — the two thorniest issues of the three issues that comprise the overall divorcing arrangements (the other being the rights of EU and British citizens living in each other’s territory). Should this prove the case, talks on a post-Brexit trading relationship can begin, along with the possibility of a transitory period.

The data calendar this week is highlighted by the release of the construction and service-sector PMI November surveys (Monday and Tuesday, respectively). These will follow the much stronger than expected November PMI report for the manufacturing sector, released on Friday, which has offered fresh evidence of the impact that a competitive exchange rate and rising European demand have been having on the sector. Production and trade figures for October are also due on Friday.

Japan: In Japan, November services PMI (Tuesday) is penciled in edging up to 53.5 from 53.4 previously. Revised Q3 GDP (Friday) is forecast to improve to a 1.6% y/y pace, from the initial 1.4% reading. Also, the October current account surplus is seen narrowing to JPY 1,700 bln from 2,271 bln in September. November bank loan figures are also on deck Friday.

China: China November Caixin/Markit services PMI (Tuesday) is forecast at 51.5 from 51.2, while the November trade report (Friday) should see the surplus narrow to $35.0 bln from $38.2 bln. November CPI and PPI (Saturday) should show some slowing in inflation and we estimate the former at a 1.7% y/y clip from 1.9%, and 5.9% y/y from 6.9% for the latter.

Australia: The RBA is seen holding rates steady at the current 1.50% rate setting (Tuesday). The Q3 current account deficit (Tuesday) is seen narrowing to -A$9.0 bln from -A$9.6 bln. Retail sales (Tuesday) are expected to expand 0.3% m/m in October after the flat reading in September. GDP (Wednesday) is expected grow with a 0.5% gain (q/q, sa) in Q3 after the 0.8% improvement in Q2. The trade surplus (Thursday) is anticipated at A$1.9 bln in October from A$1.7 bln in September. Housing investment (Friday) is expected to rise 2.0% m/m in October after the 2.3% drop in September.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date : 5th December 2017.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 5th December 2017.

FX News Today

European Outlook: The boost from U.S. tax cut hopes started to fade in Asia and equity markets mostly headed south, as investors moved out of tech stocks once again and into banks. The Nikkei closed down -0.37%, the Hang Seng is down -0.57%. U.S. futures moved higher, but UK100 futures are also down, as yesterday’s hopes of a Brexit deal that would pave the way for talks on trade and transition were smashed for now. Long yields moved higher in Asia, although late gains in Bund futures yesterday and the prospect that the GER30 is likely to retreat further from yesterday’s highs, could see yields also coming down somewhat in early trade. The data calendar includes the final readings of Eurozone services PMIs for November, as well as the U.K. services PMI and EMU retail sales. German coalition talks and Brexit negotiations remain in focus ahead of next week’s EU summit.

FX Action: USDJPY lifted marginally during the pre-European session in Asia. Higher U.S. Treasury yields helped lift the pairing in the face of generally lower stock markets in Asia-Pacific, which were afflicted by a resumption in the global tech sector selloff (the Nasdaq closed on Wall Street yesterday with a loss of just over 1%). AUDJPY buying was seen following above-forecast retail sales data out of Australia, which was followed by a comparatively less dovish statement from the RBA governor following today’s policy meeting that left the cash rate unchanged at 1.5%. Meanwhile, in Europe, Cable has settled around 1.3470 after dropping to a 1.3412 low from levels above 1.3500, since there was no deal with regard to divorcing arrangements between EU and UK. PM May said during a press conference with EU’s Juncker that “differences remain” despite having a “constructive meeting.” Is also became clear that there would be no breakthrough deal on the Irish border at meeting between May and Juncker. For a while it seemed that a compromise deal had been reached, but May’s Northern Irish ally DUP criticised the leaked details earlier although May said there will be further talks ahead of the EU summit next week, which means there is still the chance that there will be sufficient progress for EU leaders to pave the way for early talks on trade and transition next week.

Main Macro Events Today

EU & German Service PMI – Expectations – unchanged at 56.2 and 54.9 respectively.

UK Service PMI – Expectations –a headline of 55.0 after the 55.6 reading of the October survey.

Canadian Trade Balance – Expectations – narrow to -C$2.6 bln from -C$3.2 bln in September.

US ISM Non – Manuf. PMI – Expectations – 59.0 in November from 60.1.

Charts of the Day

Support and Resistance Levels

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Hot-Forex


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.