After my 5 wave observation FTSE100 managed a 50% retracement to touch the gap, but failed at the 1 day declining SMA. Not to encouraging. Suggests that, at very least, we are witnessing wave c (if you want to be more bearish make that wave 3.)
Wave 1 or A = 38
Wave 2 or B=19
wave 3 or C=
if C=a: 4500
if C=1.62 of A: 4476.
Just some idle thoughts