It would be much unwise for an amateur to do their own analysis. Particularly when you have free access to the compilations on the very subject from people with PhDs. They think about and study charts all day and when they meet with their friends they talk about charts. They bore their family and neighbors talking about charts, but it won't deter them from their fiery passion of Forex charts.
each to their own....I prefer to understand a call before pumping potentially thousands of pounds into it....doing my own analysis enables to plan for contingencies ahead of the action.
The problem is that when these calls are released, it is too often too late to capitalise from the call as the market has moved out of the optimal entry point, before you know it...the stop loss required to enter the position doubles from 25 to 50.....one can find himself/herself chasing if the move has already occured...
This is all that I'm trying to say.
These calls are good when they are ahead of the curve...this is clear when they state their call...for ex, long positions
at, or short poistions
at....but when they say short positions
below or long positions
above...thats when things can go horibly wrong as acting on this information will most certainly require a larger stop loss as what the analyst is trying to say that he/she is actually behind the curve and that the info
was valid, but not now as the horse has already bolted it!
On this note with the utmost respect Pip, I still recommend that everyone does their own analysis aswell as absorbing 3rd party analytical calls, irrespective of whether they have Phd's or not as it will most certainly deliver an edge or if not get you ahead of the curve.
I used to take almost every trade that I saw, or almost every trade that these analysts called out...now I pass on 9 out of 10...this doesn't mean that I trade only once or twise a day, I may make as much as 30-40 trades a day across spread over 5-6 instruments...