martingale is to double your risk after every loss , for example : you risk 1% then if u lose you risk 2% to make up for the previous loss , and if you lose again you risk 4% and so on , dangerous , works only if you have an infinite amount of money :cheesy: . Now back to most zulutrade traders they are not using martingale per se but they are doing something similar : averaging down until they get out of their positions in profit , example : buy cable 1.6 it goes down buy again 1.59 and so on until they get a correction which gives them some profit , ofcourse at some point you will get a trend and you will blow your account ...
tar, the martingale strategy used in FOREX is not exactly the same as doubling down; but rather averaging in. The name "martingale" is rather used loosely here; because the basic idea is to hang on to losers.
search ForexFactory or Oanda forums for martingale; you will get more in depth discussions there.
here is the strategy in its simplest form:
- use small position size; i.e. 0.1
- max open positions is set to a high number; i.e. 10 or 20 or even 30
- no SL is used
- TP is used; usually around a small number; i.e. 10 pips
- losing positions will be left open for months
- strategy will use hedging; meaning having both long and short postions at the same time. lol; they like to give it a decent name of "hedging losses" but really it is haning on to losers.
- entry rule is based on random 50/50 coin flip.
- to increase the odds; some use a moving average crossover for entry; instead of random coin flip.
- exit rule is what matters in this strategy. basically taking a small fixed profit.
- The exit rule explains why the equity curves for this strategy is amlost 45% angle; until you see a cliff.
I have tested this strategy myself; and random coin flip worked as well as a moving average cross over; or any other method.
in principle this strategy works in range bound markets; but the moment you have a trend; you blow out.
to find out if a strategy is a martingale; look for the following:
- equity curve is 45 degree slope with sharp clifs
- some open positions are left for months
- hedging is used (long and short positions in the same symbol)