S&P 500 cash weekly competition for 2014 with PRIZES!

Ironically in live trading i am currently a bear = 1868

Agree totally and read an article that indicated shorts are like 75/80% compared to longs. Moreover, rises are on low volume.

However, market heading for 2000 and I'm beginning to think short positions will get squeezed until they pop and hey presto 10-20% subsequent drop.

Can see ECB dropping rates and BoE keeping them where they are. US steady as she goes. Also thinking about offsetting short position on SPX by going long on DAX (heading to 10000).

FTSE heading to 9000 / 10000 too. What is it with the round numbers?

On a positive note equities continue doing well.

Hands in the air and smile as if I don't care
Clenching buttocks - hands in pockets
Look everybody I'm sooo not cool :cool:


Brain says short, system says long.

Co-incidentally October is when Fed QE funding due to stop. For next week I'm going with system...


1929 - 29th October, Stock market crash.


(y)
 
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I'm long SPY calls as a protection .

BTW the 1868 is for next week prediction :) .
 
NEW YORK (Frankfurt: HX6.F - news) , May 30 (Reuters) - The Dow and the S&P 500 edged up to end at record highs on Friday, wrapping up four straight months of gains, after mixed economic data gave investors little reason to rush into stocks.
After the benchmark S&P 500's latest record closing high - its fourth in the last five sessions - gains may be harder to come by until the market's direction becomes more clear. Payrolls data and a European Central Bank meeting will be the major catalysts next week.
U.S. consumer spending fell for the first time in a year in April, but the decline probably will not change expectations for a rebound in growth this quarter. An inflation gauge rose at its quickest pace since November 2012 while business activity in the U.S. Midwest rose in May at its strongest pace since October 2013.
"Very mixed signals, which prevents bears from getting aggressive and keeps bulls in place. It's effectively forestalled any real significant directional shift to what we've seen thus far," said Peter Kenny, chief executive officer of Clearpool Group in New York.
"This is an unusual time and place in the market, in that we are in a real holding pattern, and the markets are looking for more in the way of confirmation in the way of economic data that suggests our economic activity is accelerating."
Equity investors kept an eye on U.S. Treasury yields. The 10-year note's yield rose after the strong Chicago PMI data, but remained below 2.5 percent, near an 11-month low hit during Thursday's session.
The low yields helped to bolster dividend-paying stocks. High-yielding utilities ranked as the best-performing S&P sector on Friday, up 0.8 percent for the day.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 18.43 points or 0.11 percent, to 16,717.17. The S&P 500 gained 3.54 points or 0.18 percent, to 1,923.57. The Nasdaq Composite fell 5.33 points or 0.13 percent, to 4,242.62.
Friday's gain lifted the Dow above its previous record close of 16,715.44 set on May 13.
For the week, the Dow rose 0.7 percent, the S&P 500 gained 1.2 percent, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.4 percent.
The Dow gained 0.8 percent for May and the S&P 500 rose 2.1 percent, marking the fourth straight month of gains for both indexes. The Nasdaq, up 3.1 percent, scored its first monthly gain in three.
Big Lots shares jumped 13.1 percent to $42.44 after the closeout retailer posted better-than-expected results and higher sales.
In contrast, shares of apparel retailers Express (Frankfurt: 02Z.F - news) and Guess slumped a day after the companies forecast disappointing profits for the current quarter amid a sluggish revival in consumer spending. Express (NYSE: EXPR - news) shares sank 7.5 percent to $12.61. Guess fell 5.1 percent to $25.50.
Volume was modest, with about 5.92 billion shares traded on U.S. exchanges, slightly above the 5.75 billion average for the month, according to data from BATS Global Markets.
Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the New York Stock Exchange by 1,523 to 1,485. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat advancers by 1,594 to 1,018. (Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Jan Paschal)
 
Market has to roll over soon, this low volume won't sustain the market.

Therefore my system says 1929 :)
 
Could be the top of the parabolic bell curve for prices and action ? Once the downside occurs a trickle of selling could become a flood.

I think markets will rise. Good news is all-in and bad news is totally ignored.

It could be my bias too as to which news has weight etc... I'm thinking China slow down and their stimulus is negative but market puts that forward as positive. Perhaps it is.

If 1930-40 region is breached I doubt anything will stop this market from steam rolling forward to 2000.
 
Hi Guys,

League table updated with Bulls to Bears forecast for week 23 in QTR-2.

Wishing you all good luck. (y)
 
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Sad fact is, more melt up on zero volume, and tomorrow's QE means another + 20 pts there. I sadly think 1929 is a bear call lol
 
Sad fact is, more melt up on zero volume, and tomorrow's QE means another + 20 pts there. I sadly think 1929 is a bear call lol

China reflating
ECB likely to be reflating
BoE not likely to raise rates
US QE continues until Oct

what is there not to be bullish about :whistling

 
Malaguti takes top spot gold. (y)
Malaguti takes third gold medal in one quarter. (y)
Malaguti takes lead with three forecasts to go for QTR-2 prize money.

Special pic for Malaguti. (y):clap:(y)
MALAGUTI%20RACING%20MOTO%202.jpg



Well done to the bulls too. (y)

Samspade bearish call along with Atilla (reluctant bull) take joint second place silver.

Lexcorp takes bronze.

The ugly truth is the S&P500 continues to make new highs, inflated to obese proportions pumped up with easy money. Something has an awfull impending nasty expectation about it all but I just can't put my finger on it.

....................................................Malaguti
..................Samspade & Atilla............................Lexcorp
boujis3-2.jpg



League table is here.
 
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