what happened to this post? was about to reply.
the house has the edge,of this there is no doubt.
even with a 1 point spread,a 10 point move in your favour gives you 8 points and against you gives you a loss of -12.this is only one of the handicaps we know of,who knows what other tricks they employ.
do we know how lagging the data we see is? tried taking a trade and it had moved in my favour by a few points and was rejected.took another and the price had moved against me and ofcourse it was accepted.
ofcourse brokers will give you BS of if they didnt do that then they would be requoting all the time.Where is this liquidity these god damn algos are supposed to be providing
alas we fight on.you only lose when you quit.only in this game you lose less the sooner you quit when youve realised your wrong.USE STOPS!
I realised I was being too critical when it's not really any of my business, and so I deleted it.
Sounds like you're over trading. Not sure what market you're in but I'd say, in no particular order:
1 market only
1 trade per day maximum, win or lose
2 timeframe charts maximum (OK, maybe 3 later on but the 3rd is only to make sure you're not trading into something and to give you some idea where your trade might go if you're right).
Place your stop based on the larger of your 2 charts: if your stop is based on the smaller chart you are asking for trouble, especially with Forex
Draw 1 line on the larger chart and observe on the smaller chart: you will learn where to draw your line
If you're day trading, longer term TA and trend etc is debatable. Believe what you want to believe
Try to capture as much of the daily range as you can. The market can and does move hundreds of pips every day, a small retail trader is generally doomed to failure trying to scalp a couple of pips here and there.
Your entry and reason for entry has absolutely no bearing on the outcome of a trade. Your exit is what makes or loses you money.
Just take it as read that you are always wrong, the market is always right: gets you started on the right foot.
If you have no patience and need action, I'd look seriously as to whether trading is for you as it's about the most boring endeavour imaginable....until you are losing money, then it gets very VERY exciting.
If you're day trading get very used to the phenomenon of the move of the week occuring 2 hours before you've woken/when you've gone to the loo/while you're making lunch/after you've finished for the day, on the day you didn't trade after three losing days etc etc etc....and for these reasons all the backtesting/expectancy stuff can't help you
It's great this trading lark isn't it
some interesting points.
my market is mainly the euro/dollar and occasionally ftse/dax.
i definetly need to take fewer trades.
the multiple time frames seem to add to the confusion so i base my entries/exits on just the 3min.
i have to disagree with you on the exits just making/losing the money.why enter a bad trade just to cut it with a loss?
First 'bad' needs to be defined. The only bad trades are those where you have broken your own rules. Aside from that there are only winning and losing trades.
Any reason for entering has no bearing on the outcome. Exits make or lose money, nothing else.
At the moment after you hit the enter button are you in profit or loss? Answer: loss: your entry loses you money INSTANTLY.
The market will then do whatever it does, no matter what your reason for entry. You cannot predict the future and your entry has no bearing on the market whatsoever.
The only thing you control is your position, your risk and your exit and it's your exit that will win or lose you money. Until you believe otherwise you will bleed money.
opposing views is what makes a market.
what if there is zero spread so after youve hit enter your not in profit or loss.
the market will do whatever it does,you can not predict the future but isnt this exactly what you are trying to do.
ok by controlling the exit will prove whether you were right or wrong so you might attach a greater importance to exit but without an entry the exit wouldnt exist....
so to me they are equally important.
No, you aren't trying to predict the future. You can't. Tell me otherwise
You certainly have earned A+ for effort.
My advice having read some of your pages is to take the emotion out of it and trade like a robot following The Rules.
I was thinking of buying a punch bag and writing markets all over it.