the "bracket" order
Back at work.
I've been thinking.
My newly acquired profitability is quite impressive, and it resulted from learning to close unprofitable trades at the end of the day.
It might be improved. It just "might", because it all depends on complex calculations of risk/reward ratio, how much you risk and how much you're standing to make, and these simply cannot be computed when you're doing discretionary trading, so I am going by guesstimates and trial and error.
In other words, today I was wondering whether I should be using, for my discretionary trading, a bracket order rather than the usual closing at the end of the day of unprofitable discretionary trades.
I am wondering this, because yesterday, I wanted to make a quick 100 dollars on JPY and ended up losing 600 dollars as a consequence. This means that, if I want these quick 100 dollars trades to be profitable, I'd have to be right on 90% of them. And that is simply not the case. So, I might benefit from entering bracket orders each time. Provided that by doing so, I won't miss out on many trades that don't go my way from the start.
Overall, I believe these bracket orders are better than closing positions at the end of the day. I am starting out by using very wide bracket orders, which would still prevent losses like yesterday's. You just can't accept losing 600 dollars from a trade where you were trying to make 100 dollars.
I am not saying that was gambling or that it was me being out of control, because with this type of trading I have already made thousands of dollars in a few months. So, enough with saying "everything sucked until here and everything will be perfect from now on". Because that is a tendency I have, and that is a mistaken perspective of things. Things can only be perfect if you knew the future.
Let's say that the first important step forward for me was, unequivocally, to accept losses and thus to close losing trades, without letting them wipe out my account. This alone took me over 15 years to learn (of course I've been working on my systems in the meanwhile), but it took me from being unprofitable to being profitable.
Now another step forward would be to refine this art of exiting losing trades, and, if this means using a bracket order, another part of my art should be in refining the proportions of the bracket order, and also to improve my win percentage, by refining my entry skills. These things are all connected, because if you have a different exit method, this will also affect your entry method to some degree.
For now I am using HotKeys on TWS and I have set up a bracket order that has a target profit as large as the stoploss, so that if I am right on a majority of trades, I will be profitable (forget about commissions and spread costs, because they're almost irrelevant).
Another big advantage of the bracket order (even more if triggered by a LMT order) is that it's like fishing. You put it there, and you don't have to monitor it. If it goes well, great. If it doesn't, you don't have to worry about it either.
Before, I had to monitor my trade all the time, and it was very stressful, especially knowing that things could go wrong and I could lose thousands in a matter of seconds, depending on the economic calendar, the news releases, that thing that happens at 14.30 CET for example.
So this is better of course, but I now have to remember that things don't become easy just because you have automated the bracket order on the TWS hotkeys function.
Because I have a tendency to click those hotkeys more superficially than if I didn't have a stoploss. You know what I mean? You push 1 button, and everything is set up safely so that you have a target profit and a stoploss, and that gives you a false sense of security and makes you push the trade button too often, which means you will then be unprofitable.
So, I should be just as picky as I was before, but use the bracket order. I should combine the best of both methods. It's similar to those free climbers, the solo climbing or whatever is called. If you know that when you fall you die, you're going to be a better climber presumably.... Forget it, bad example. If you are playing pool for free, you won't play as well as when you pay and everyone is watching you.
So, now that I am using a bracket order my trades are much cheaper, because I know that if I am wrong I don't stand to lose 500 dollars or even 2000 dollars, but only 200 dollars. But I must stay as focused as when I was trading without a safety net (or a safety net that prevented me from getting killed but didn't prevent me from getting hurt).
For example, this morning, before coming to work, I placed 3 trades, and maybe just two of them were good, whereas the third one was a revenge trade on the JPY, which yesterday caused me to lose the 600 dollars I was talking about.
So I made the very mistake I was talking about: your trades are cheaper and you place them more superficially and then you end up being unprofitable. This reaches total unprofitability when you set your stoploss so close that each trade costs you only 50 dollars (5 ticks or so) and you both trade superficially and you can't really predict exactly where the market will go, so what happens is that with such a tight bracket order you actually lose money. That in turn leads you to discarding a bracket order, which is not a good idea.
There are several forces at play in the market, and a target profit is a good thing, probably better than a trailing stop, considering that price doesn't grow regularly, but more according to the time of the day. In other words, if it's almost 22 CET, you better take whatever profit the market has given you, because it tends to slow down by that hour. On the other hand, if you're going against the daily trend, you have only 2 hours to do so, before, towards the end, the daily trend resumes (usually it does).
It's a long story, but basically the trailing stop is not as good as it seems. Bracket order is better in my opinion (and for my type of trading).
...
This guy feels the same way about it:
Peace of Mind With Bracket Orders | TheStockBandit.net
Using old-school order types like a stop buy order can certainly help you catch an entry on that trade you’ve been stalking, but won’t you need to protect your capital with a stop loss order rather quickly after your order is filled? What happens when that busy life of yours prevents you from being at the PC when it’s time to put in that safety net? You’re up a creek without a paddle.
If you could structure your entire trade in one order, wouldn’t you do it? If you know the price at which you’ll enter a trade, stop out, and take profits, then let technology help you. I can’t think of an excuse good enough to avoid using these orders, because they truly are the best thing out there.
"I can’t think of an excuse good enough to avoid using these orders"... interesting. Well, it's not an excuse. The thing is that when you have these orders set up on hotkeys, which is the only way you can use them because otherwise it's too complicated to use them, then, once they're set up, it is so easy to use them that they result in overtrading, due to that feeling of false security they give you.
Anyway, this is not a good excuse either, so I guess I'll have to counter that feeling in some other way, but I really should use the bracket order from now on. I just have to remind myself that profit will not be as easy as the bracket order makes it seem.
For example, out of the 3 trades I started this morning, only one of them was profitable so far. The other two are still open, at break-even right now. If I were at home, I'd close them both.