This week is COMEX gold and silver NOV option expiry and last trading day of the October contract on Oct 27 & 28 respectively. There is a massive "digital option" (An option whose payout is fixed after the underlying stock exceeds the predetermined threshold or strike price. The value of the payout is determined at the onset of the contract and doesn't depend on the magnitude by which the price of the underlying moves. So, whether you are in the money by $1 or $5, the amount that you receive will be the same), which expires Wednesday. It so large the thinking is that it is a central bank. This why all rallies toward that price level continue to fail.
Also, this week Treasury has huge auctions:
· $29 Billion in 91 Day Bills, October 26th
· $30 Billion in 182 Day Bills, October 26th
· $7 Billion in 4.5 Year TIPS, October 26th
· $44 Billion in 2 Year Notes, October 27th
· $41 Billion in 5 Year Notes, October 28th
· $31 Billion in 7 Year Notes, October 29th
So the USD must rise! I was expecting that, but I thought that EUR will go above 1.51 before a fall.
We can expect fireworks especially in the gold today and tomorrow.