I received the following this morning, only if I went long GBP/EUR & GBP/USD when I got it.
GBP - Buy Into Weakness vs EUR
Reassessment of US growth prospects as well as position adjustment have knocked sterling off its perch in recent sessions, but we believe this weakness will prove temporary. We foresee a return to strength in the weeks ahead. Yesterday’s BCC quarterly economic survey showed the manufacturing home orders balance rising to 17 in Q1 2004 versus 8 in Q4 of last year. This is the highest level since the last quarter of 1999 and resonates well with the firm CIPs manufacturing balance (53.7 in March), suggesting the manufacturing sector is in a healthier state than indicated by the disappointing manufacturing industrial production release (-0.6% m/m in Feb). Consequently we expect to see a bounce-back in the official data in the months ahead and we expect the BoE to again raise rates in May. We do not foresee a Fed hike until August, thus policy backdrop in the near term should remain sterling supportive, even more so against the eurozone. We would look to buy GBP vs EUR ahead of today’s employment report (consensus -8.0K and -6.6K previous) targeting gains through next week's relatively heavy data calendar (CPI, MPC minutes, retail sales, GDP) which is likely to buoy sterling sentiment.