Dick Lexic
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Dick - this could tie in with your 1311 cash S&P
yeah 1311 has played a big part for 10 or more 8 hour periods just thought i'd point that out ..could work as a trigger either way....
Dick - this could tie in with your 1311 cash S&P
Now that's interesting. The FTSE tried to go down before 4:30pm and then reversed back up at the close. The ES on the other hand stayed up at the cash close and then broke down. The ES has done a nice 50% retrace on the hourly and filled its gap ( minus 1 tick) at 1310.0. It should retest the lows, but now the FTSE doesn't want to go there. Time for a cuppa methinks.
just redressing the balance i guess - ftse been weakish all morning, then on the stronger side this afternoon aside from a weak hour twixt 3 and 4pm which was corrected into the close. No weak/strong dramatics though.
Back to gap fill? 5770 on cash.
FTSE is way oversold compared to risk FX at the moment + commods.
WTF is going on this morning? I almost sold 5770. gutted.
I managed to catch the GBI (green bar ignored) after 9:30am, but I did not believe we would get a sell off today. Shows you should try not to have a bias, which is very difficult sometimes.
I guess I knew my bias was wrong when we got the continuation down at 9:35am. I think the sell off is due to the poor UK GDP number, and a bit of eurobabble thrown in too. What threw me was last night's close on wall street. The ES pushed up in the last minutes to complete a 61.8% retracement. I assumed we would move down after that. Then after 9:30am the market jumped up further, I think, as a result of AAPL's earnings. I had a short on the ES last night that I closed this morning when the sell off didn't happen immediately after the open.
On the hourly we have just had an exact ABCD pattern complete. Monday high to tuesday low = 74 pts. This mornings high to this mornings low = 73.5 pts. Albeit C to D happened very quickly compared to A to B. We might get a long slow slog back up to 5692 or 5700. I'd like to think that was it for the sell off, but after such a long run of up days, you have to think there is a decent pullback due.