Re: Richard's post number 970 and your cheeky comments, below..
timcannell said:
I have just taken a look at Richard's example chart for his short entry at 48.60 in KOSP - this is shown on a candlestick chart with NO Volume, accompanying Level 2 screen or Time and Sales, decision tools which Richard uses - the only thing that is mystefying Socrates is your belief that people will swallow your above comment about the transparency, from his post, of Richards reading of the situation. As a 'long term investor' do you use Level 2 and/or Time and Sales ? That is all I guess
This is your original post is it not ? And in this post you imply all sorts of things I am going to sort out now, to my satisfaction and for the benefit of all members, as there is too much nonsense bandied about for my liking.
First of all ~ the charts that Richard posted. These are two sets showing before and after with his entry points ; is that not correct ?
Next ~ the volume. You say there is NO volume. That is not correct. There is no volume shown on the first chart.This is probably due to a technical obstacle in presenting it as a thumbnail and probably due to the colours of the volume bars that were not captured correctly. But charts numbers 2 to 4 inclusive clearly show all the volume bars, is that not correct ?
If chart number two is a continuation of chart number one and chart number four is a continuation of chart number three, then the volume displayed in each of these pairs would be valid would it not ? Or are you trying to appear "clever" at my expense, so you think ?
Nobody has to swallow anything except you, because what you will have to swallow is your own words as the proofs that follow will show how inept and inappropriate your comments really are.
Whether I am a long term investor does not enter the argument, neither does whether I use level 2 or time and sales or whatever. That is not your concern at all. In the most remote and unlikely event of needing your help you would be told but not otherwise.
As for your guess and your laughing icon all this is going to be put in its proper place right away, as follows:~
The first chart on the left has an empty volume box, this is correct. But the second chart that follows it, which is a continuation of the first shows all the volume for the period. You can all see that right up to the price explosion the volume is regular. After the price explosion at the top of the move the volume increases. This is mixing volume.The price does not go significantly higher because there is both buying and selling going on. This is obvious.
In the last phases of this chart, in the second last curl over, (where the red line is) the price drops but the volume increases. This is supply entering the market, absorption volume, This supply is unwanted because effort is subsequently made to get rid of that supply. Note that there is increased volume but nearly all of the bars have shadows on the tops only. This is weakness coming in and not strength at those price levels. Again this is obvious, This leads me to the bar before the second last bar.It opens, lifts and collapseson the open and has a shaven bottom. It is being supported at the shaven bottom level, the volume is insignificant.
This is obvious again. This signifies a condition of no demand, imminent weakness.
To the trained eye this is an ideal opportunity to take a short position. The next bar, (second last) opens, gapped down, lifts and then collapses closing on the low. The volume is high.
The price does not fall significantly further at this point. This is arresting volume not buying volume, but it stops the fall in its tracks.This is confirmed by the last bar, which is narrow and the voluime is light. This is because the herd is undecided as to how to react next.
(Although further weakness is not discounted) It presents a snap opportunity to close the trade at a profit. This is again obvious. All of this is what Richard did, all of it is obvious, at least to him and me if not to you.
Now all of you look at chart number three, the weakness I identified earlier has not been resolved. As a consequence the price falls again, and is supported at 48. Look at the volume again.the volumetric sequence is buying, short covering, selling and buying and new selling at 48 or thereabouts. Firm support at 47.50, this is obvious, now look to your left - there is a gap in the price explosion that preceded all this. The price is firmly sustained at 47.50 and is not allowed to sag. Again this is obvious. This is because notwithstanding three attempts the gap is not broken to the downside but drifts off level....there is a snap opportunity to the skilled trader to take a quick long position here for a short ride, with an eye to taking a quick exit as soon as it begins to move up and reach a point of culmination. This is exacltly what Richard spotted and what Richard did and was the correct thing to do, but only for an expert, in an obviously weak market and contrary to herd expectancy.
All of it is obvious, all of it. Incidentally, the long green bar in each of the charts has no significance whatsoever, it is just rogue data.
I hope and expect that the next time you criticise any comment that I make you had better have grounds to do so, otherwise my advice to you is twofold, firstly, if you do not understand any of this, you ought not to be trading or even passing silly comments.
Secondly, you ought to abstain from posting nonsense for the sake of posting and showing off, until such time as you gain sufficient knowledge in these matters to be able to do so constructively.
That is all.