I still remember Feb 20th pretty well. Thursday when the gas report comes out. NG started lower than the previous open. It was itching up, than itched back down, making an arch shape. I forgot the reasoning behind why, but I was predicting NG to shoot up high after the report, and come back down to possibly the opening level. If my prediction was correct, I would have a good day of earnings. Report comes out - NG shoots up. I wait until the level I was waiting for, and when it hit, I short. It keeps going up. I short again. For me, it's a steal right now. It shoots higher, and I short my 3rd and final position, thinking this is overdone; a fake breakout and it's going to go down. Keep in mind this was me after having like 20 consecutive winning streak. I made 50% in 2 weeks. $2000 with my $4000 - not much value wise, yet percentage wise im making a killing. And as far as i was concerned, i wasnt gambling. I was using a method Ive always used and while not always in total control, I didnt feel like I was treading murky waters.
So with 3 shorts in position and losing tons of money, i keep on reviewing the chart. holy crap. is this one of those moments when it just keeps on going up? am i wrong? why?
maybe it was the losses of all my profits from the past 2 weeks. maybe it was me trying not to repeat my pattern of losing all of my money in 2-3 days after having multiple winning day streaks. i reanalyzed the chart and decided i was wrong and if ng shot this high up, not it's not bearish. this will go up even higher even though it's already damn high. and instead of just getting out and watching, i make a reversal and buy 6 contracts - maybe 5 because i dont have enough money now - and have opposite positions. Turns out i reversed near the very top and ng starts steadily but surely, going down. all the way. retraces all the breakouts. than hits todays starting level. and than goes even lower. wow. i was speachless. speachless of my position size, using 3 - all of my ammo - in such a risky trade. speachless of reversing with all my leftover strength. and speachless of how i entered; or reversed at the very worst point possible. how i analyzed and completely got balled out. i just failed so bad im not sure what i was thinking. after that i didnt really want to trade and was so frustrated, but seeing the NG chart i thought now is really the time NG hit bottom and it will reverse back up, and will go up really high. i was planning on not writing my updates because i wont really have anything to write... and just come back when NG brings my money back to previous levels. i was planning to wait it out 1-2 weeks. well this was the start of when oil and ng keeps on going down towards hell, and i keep on having losing days after losing days. My $5235 on Feb 19th, after maybe a week of two, became $868 and I was forced out of my position. Left alone. Hah. Speachless. Shameful.
I give up trying to become a millionaire. Life just isnt as easy as i thought it to be. I really thought i had skills to make it. Young and Rich. I was sure I would make it. I wasnt even going to use my millions for myself - i wanted to help those in need and live out my life doing positive work for the world. Help my poor mom. You know, just try to be a good person before I die. Well. Life just isnt as easy as I thought it to be.
I'm now going to go life into the military. At least I wont become homeless in military. I took asvab. Got 89%. Recruiter said after the pretest ill probably get 99% as pretest is harder, but nope the actual test was much more difficult. If I studied for it man i think i could have gotten above 95%. Most questions were just either you know this simple information or you just dont. I failed the mechanics and one other part, because I just didnt have any exposure to it in my life. Still cant stop trading. Trading is my life. It's my hobby. I love reading the charts and betting on it. A guy cant learn, I guess...
1200 trump check came in. my tax returns came in. I got my money to 4900. and i deposited 4800 into my IB account. I had 8 in there so starting money is 4808.
I traded yesterday, 4/17/2020, for the first time in 2 months. Very careful. Very scared. Trying to stay confident in my decisions and analysis of the charts so i dont get bullied by the market. +$346. Blessed. Very fortunate. Now am not going to trade like my millions is waiting for me at end of this year. Now going to trade just for chump change. Just going to try be consistent. I'm old now. and I'm late in my career. My two friends that started finance careers with my back in 2013-2014 are now making $98,000 + 25% bonus and $80,000 + commissions from work, and he made over $150,000 last year. And they were both earning less than me when we all first started out of college. I'm going to stop trying to become some kid wiz of trading. hahaha.. i graduated from "kid" a while ago. and I'm no wiz.
Check back from time to time and hit a like. It'll encourage me to keep on posting, knowing there are viewers out there who's interested. Not sure how long this run will go on this time, but hopefully it will be different. As my mindset and goal, I think, is different this time.
Peace and stay safe from Corona.