The Twig Bird
Rognvald, I can see you are working very hard at this and therefore you deserve an explanation.
The Twig Bird is an allegory to represent a very astute category of trader. Bramble pay attention.
This trader does not employ a scattergun technique and trades for the sake of trading,
because of boredom, or greed, or impatience, or other inalbilities. This one knows exactly
what he ought to be doing and does it. he does not do what he should not be doing.
He waits for a price to hit a bottom, he wants to be assured it is the the bottom.
The indicators will not tell him, but what will tell him is that the price does not fall further
and in addition bigger players have entered the market and are buying. He deduces that
they are buying because their footprint is volume. These big players keep on buying
until there is no more available stock. They have now temporarily cornered the market.
You will notice that on every subsequent buying raid, the volume diminishes. This is
because what is available is becoming more and more scarce. When it becomes so
relatively scarce that demand overcomes the supply available, there has to be an
adjustment to the price, North. The other asute players who are watching this recognise
what is going on and join in. Now there is present in this scenario in this particular theatre a core of bullish participants.
The scarcity has not gone away, because as higher prices can now palpably be anticipated,
only those who do not understand or are mad gamblers go short. The price continues to
climb until the move is exhausted.
On No Indicators Revisited thread:
See Postings nos.785# 765# Page 20
687# Page 18
645# Page 17
625# Page 16
536# 558# Page 14
483# 490# 493# Page 13
474# Page 12
All the attached thumbnails to these postings illustrate variants of the Twig Bird technique.
[Mods note: the above references start from this point on the No Indicators Revisited thread, and while the numbers don't exactly line up with the posts, Socrates is referring to his description of price and volume action on charts posted by others
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/showpost.php?p=101512&postcount=527]