Trading Suggestion
Hi,
Here are some things I've learned and practice.
1. When trading, find your exit first. Know the point at which you will get out if wrong. If you are right, the upside will take care of itself. The downside is unforgiving. This may have helped you with Qualcomm.
2. Fundamental classes are good, but learn to separate the fundamentals from the news. Take a chart and write on the tops, bottoms and trends the key fundamentals. Search news timelines if possible. For example, if trading the EUR USD print out a long-term chart and write on the chart all the interest rate actions by the ECB. This will allow you to visualize the fundamental with the chart action. Often websites carry lists of central bank moves. This does you no good unless your mind can be trained to see how the moves affect the chart.
3. Worden Charting Software: How to Chose the Stocks to Trade. I don't know how many stocks you had to chose from, but it is important to shorten the list in some way. I like to sort lists of stocks by daily range and volume because I want to trade a stock that moves a certain amount each day to give me opportunity, and I want to make sure someone is there to drive it in my direction or take my trade when exiting. It is important to have size under you so that you can hit the bid if the position is not going your way. If the stock is thinly traded, you'll miss the bid and your loss will be bigger than expected.
4. Worden Charting Software: Percentage of Wins. 50% is considered good for an active trader. The important number to watch is expectancy.
Expectancy = (Average $win * %Wins) - (Average $Loss*%Loss). You need to be well over 1.00.
If you keep your losses small relative to your wins, you will probably end up with 50% or lower correct. The key is to have large winning trades relative to your losses.
If a trading system has a high percentage of winners, then chances are the the size of the winners are small. This sets you up for one big loss to wipe out a series of winners.
5. It's a misconception that Tax Free Muni's are "conservative." Treat every investment the same. It goes back to knowing your downside first.
6. Learn one type of investment first. You've gone from one equity (Qualcomm) to several equities (Worden) to Fixed Income. Now you want to trade options.
Sit down and carefully figure out what it is you want to accomplish. Don't go into options without knowing how they work. It seems to me that you are being attracted to the leverage and think you can make all of your loss back on one huge winner.
In my opinion, go back to Worden, figure out how to sort the list into stocks which have good volume and good movement. Risk about 1% or less of your account on trades. Learn to position size according to your entry and exit. Your position will increase when you have winning streaks and decrease during losing streaks. This will help you stay in the game longer.
I hope this helps.
I've been investing since 1994 with my Etrade account. Started with 12k from a 401k rollover and have successfully turned it into 10k over 14 years (oops!), What's the APR of a 2k loss over 14 years !! I bought a couple of hunches that I lossed about 3K in. And now just own Qualcomm which has brought me back up, hoping it keeps climbing so I can just break even. I've taken fundamental classes, and paid $30/mo for Worden's charting software, over a year I found their picks were only right 50% of the time. Then I inherited $260K and got conservative and put it all in 6% Tax Free Muni's. But one bond was called so now I have $40k in cash and am thinking of taking the Spread Trade Systems Options training class. They want 6K for 6 month training, and then guarantee money back if you don't turn a profit after that. Anyone have any experience with them?
I'm not too good at self training with books, so I thought I'd need coaches to prod me along, don't really want to spend the money, but I'm tired of puny returns and relying on advice of brokers.