Read the quoted text, then see I'm leaning toward TOP IS ALREADY IN but confidence isw not high ...... but will outline the implications of TOP IS ALREADY IN ........
If indeed May 1 was the top then when this current rally completes we begin a 3rd wave down
3rd waves are notable for their sheer breadth and majesty, shock and awe. We oughtta have some semblance of a FAT FINGER type event here to get the ball rolling.
More powerful FAT FINGER events will occur when we get into the next fractal of a 3rd wave - this is still months away.
If this scenario is correct please fasten seatbelts
Read the quote and then dig this line of thinking - I can tell you this - this, what I'm about to say is sooooo powerful that if it actually happens, the star-rating on this thread will instantly go to
Zero (from the current 2)
A zero star rating at a bulletin board in the midst of mystical events called = a top-notch thread = counterintuitive, hehehehe.
-------------------------------------
Optimism was sky-high at the May 1 top in fact higher than at the 2007 pre-crash top.
Then came wave 1 down into the low of June 4.
Then came the current rally which is still ongoing.
It is this rally that I want to focus on ......
If the quoted text above is the right call, then this rally is echoing and paralelling the EXACT SAME optimism of the May 1 top - why? because the HERD believes the party is back ON - this is a magnificent part of the implant in the HERD mind that optimism MUST approach and challenge that of the TOP.
Why is this so?
Because the next downwave is where BEAR pours on the coal and pulls out the big guns - it is called a 3rd wave and it has sheer breadth and majesty and gives the trader the most rapid rate of return on investment.
The reason therefore that OPTIMISM must reach and challenge that of the previous top is so that the PUBLIC reenters and buys and buys and buys thinking the fear and danger have gone and the party is back.
To bankrupt and cripple there is no point in crippling the already crippled - crippling the able is where the real juice is. So during this rally wave aka Wave 2 up, they are all hokked back in and then when most are in, the hammer drops.
I wrote all this in a hurry, probably disjointed and confusing. Let's wait to see if I'm right, then I can explain it better.
Wait and see.