good analysis guys, ive always been a big fan of triangles, and these seem to have played out nicely.
regarding the £/$ the papers for the last few weeks have been building up a weight of opinion that it will hit 2.00 before the end of the year. in fact wherever i read, that seems to be the magic figure quoted.this could well be a self-fulfilling prophecy, or at least a well marketed one lol. as a result i would expect it to keep going in its current trend 'til it gets close to 2, before the US step in to correct their Balance of Payments deficit. they cannot keep running it at such a deficit!
still, its a bit like standing in front of a bus at the moment. US markets have a further decline on the cards this week, and i dont see dear old FTSE resisting much. seems very fragile at the moment.
could do with this week sorting itself out soon, as im off to god's country at the end of the week. would quite like to be flat before then
hooya - that volume spike yesterday may have been down to
the 190m "market neutral" transaction in L&G? Things like that
throw a spanner in the volume analysis works.
Reminds me of something I read that the most successful back
tested systems are often those which found themselves on the
right side of unpredictable market shocks (like 9/11 as an
extreme).
good, it's not actually a wish but I can see a potential
long signal coming for me and would hate it to come before the gap fill because I would feel a bit cautious.
it is true, but what he failed to say was that it was over 70 on 6th jan. since then we had a high close of 4518.(19/1) last week we had a close of 4381.(2/2) suprise suprise a fall of 3.03%
my chart is screaming a test of 9k to me but there is nothing
to stop it crossing down with a 3% decline in the dow and the
crossing back up. This would probably lead to a new yearly high.
I'll worry about it if and when it happens
mmm, he was hedging his bets a bit talking it as a reaction to
the trend and not a change. probably a bit shy after his "mother
of all shorts" predictions last year!!