FTSE 100 February

yes it is but I hadn't really warmed to it as it is over such a short period.

but the timing looks about the same
 
£/$ ?

yes , been very good to me but may be a bit late in the trend
for any newcomers ?
 
might be late but wouldnt surprise me if a few more
jumped on at 1.8600.
 
morning ladies :cheesy:

i see we have all been very busy overnight!!!

good analysis guys, ive always been a big fan of triangles, and these seem to have played out nicely.


regarding the £/$ the papers for the last few weeks have been building up a weight of opinion that it will hit 2.00 before the end of the year. in fact wherever i read, that seems to be the magic figure quoted.this could well be a self-fulfilling prophecy, or at least a well marketed one lol. as a result i would expect it to keep going in its current trend 'til it gets close to 2, before the US step in to correct their Balance of Payments deficit. they cannot keep running it at such a deficit!

my 2 cents. no hang on, 3 cents, 4 cents. uh oh!

FTSE looking good today too :D


FC
 
hooya
a bit late for that
 

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sorry should have said "if a few more did jump on at 1.8600"
:)


if that 1.8675 level is broken we could see some acceleration???
 
aha yes, good call Bonsai.


still, its a bit like standing in front of a bus at the moment. US markets have a further decline on the cards this week, and i dont see dear old FTSE resisting much. seems very fragile at the moment.

could do with this week sorting itself out soon, as im off to god's country at the end of the week. would quite like to be flat before then :cool:

FC
 
mornin' all

hooya - that volume spike yesterday may have been down to
the 190m "market neutral" transaction in L&G? Things like that
throw a spanner in the volume analysis works.

Reminds me of something I read that the most successful back
tested systems are often those which found themselves on the
right side of unpredictable market shocks (like 9/11 as an
extreme).
 
internals are still weak
but in half an hour you may get your wish ?

(to go long)
 
good, it's not actually a wish but I can see a potential
long signal coming for me and would hate it to come before the gap fill because I would feel a bit cautious.
 
just been watching TH on Bloomberg. He's predicting a 3 - 6%
decline in DOW over next four weeks based on RSI above 75. :eek:
 
big difference 3-6% about 300 points. but I see where he is coming from.


<img src='http://ts-lc.sc8.finance.lycos.com/1076410171015?User=demo&Pswd=demo&DataType=GIF&Symbol=INDEX:INDU&Interval=W&Permission=1000&Ht=400&Wd=600&Display=0&Study=STOC&Param1=55&Param2=34&Param3=&FontSize=10&LocaleID=0x0409'>
 
to quote "over the last 20 years RSI above 75 has always led to
a decline of at least 3% and averaging 6%"
 
the dow only fell 40 ponits short of a 3% decline of the top already and it hardly made a dent.
 
it is true, but what he failed to say was that it was over 70 on 6th jan. since then we had a high close of 4518.(19/1) last week we had a close of 4381.(2/2) suprise suprise a fall of 3.03%
 
lol

I thought he was expecting an up rally of 200/300 pts ?

now it seems it's a down side risk (dont tell swager)

and it can stay above 75 for a long long time ! if it chooses.
and has already done so on hooya's chart.


thx T, great help ?
lol
 
my chart is screaming a test of 9k to me but there is nothing
to stop it crossing down with a 3% decline in the dow and the
crossing back up. This would probably lead to a new yearly high.
I'll worry about it if and when it happens
 
mmm, he was hedging his bets a bit talking it as a reaction to
the trend and not a change. probably a bit shy after his "mother
of all shorts" predictions last year!!
 
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