I was kidding about 50/50 😉 It's a pretty unknown odds trade in fairness, the upside is capable of another 300 pips easily, the downside's not that great. But I think it's far more likely to drop 100 pips than move up 300 over the next day or so. Cable's up close to 5% this week, it's ridic. Tomorrow (or today here) is friday, everyone's going to be squaring off their books.
not sure if my daily chart is correct, but the H & S is still intact. Right now cable is approaching under the neckline (not horizontal though) and if this is true, it's an opportunity to short there...
it either does or it doesn't ... there's no point in second guessing yourself... no one can see the future..
all I can see is a double SMA jumble after a ridiculous move which is massively overbought on the 4hr and daily charts.. so far the Japanese have failed to inspire the market to continue the move in Cable and the hope is that the big players fuelling the move will give up and t/p..