Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Watch FXOpen's 19 - 23 August Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Gold, Brent Oil, European Currencies, S&P 500

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

• The S&P 500 Index Approaches Historic High
• European Currencies Strengthened Ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium
• Brent Oil Price Drops Over 3.5% in Two Days
• Gold Price Surpasses $2500 for the First Time

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

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What Is the Hanging Man Candlestick Pattern, and How Can You Trade It?

In the world of technical analysis, candlestick patterns play a vital role in helping traders decipher market trends and potential reversals. Among the many setups, the hanging man holds particular significance. This distinctive formation captures traders' attention as it often serves as a warning sign of a possible trend reversal. This article will go through the technical analysis of the hanging man formation and explain how traders can trade with it.

What Is a Hanging Man Pattern?

The hanging man candlestick pattern is characterised by a small body near the top of the candlestick, a long lower shadow, and little to no upper shadow. It resembles a figure hanging from its head, hence the name "Hanging Man."

TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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The EUR/USD Exchange Rate Has Risen to the 1.12 Level

During his speech at Jackson Hole, as reported by Reuters, the Fed Chair unexpectedly focused heavily on the US labour market. Powell stated that weaker employment prospects are unacceptable. As a result of this emphasis, market expectations for a rate cut in September decreased, and the value of the US dollar increased:

→ On Monday morning, the dollar index is recovering from the year's lows, which were reached on Friday;
→ Accordingly, other currencies are depreciating against the USD.

As shown by the technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart:

→ Since April, the exchange rate fluctuations have been forming an upward channel (marked in blue, with support points indicated by circles);
→ Within this channel, the price is near the upper boundary, from which resistance can be expected;

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Brent Crude Oil Bounces Off Key Support

Analysing the oil market on the XBR/USD chart on 20 August, when Brent was trading around $77 per barrel, we:

→ Identified resistance around $81.60;
→ Noted that the price was approaching a key support level (shown by the yellow line), which has been in effect for several months;
→ Speculated that bears might attempt to break the August low.

This attempt by the bears can be seen in the price drop to $75.55 on 22 August.

However, the August low was not breached, as the yellow support line had an impact on the price—Brent crude oil reversed upwards (indicated by an arrow).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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How Traders Identify and Trade Bull and Bear Flag Patterns

Flags are crucial tools in technical analysis, offering traders insights into trend continuation. In this article, we’ll explore questions like “What is a bull flag pattern?” and “What does a bear flag look like?” alongside the pattern’s psychology, formal identification, and trading strategies.

What Is a Flag Pattern?

A flag is a continuation chart pattern that signals the potential for an ongoing trend to resume after a brief consolidation. It consists of a sharp price movement, known as the flagpole, followed by a rectangular consolidation phase that slopes against the prevailing trend, forming the flag. The flag is framed by parallel trendlines, acting as support and resistance.

This consolidation represents a temporary pause in the trend as market participants catch their breath before continuing in the trend's direction. Identifying a flag pattern helps traders anticipate the resumption of the prior trend, providing strategic entry points for trades.

TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Shares Drop Over 4%

As shown by the chart, yesterday, shares of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)—a US technology company ranked in the top 10 by market capitalisation—were among the worst performers in terms of price movement.

This is a warning sign for those investing in semiconductor manufacturers, considering that:
→ Tomorrow, data on Nvidia’s second-quarter performance will be released;
→ Since mid-June, AVGO's share price has been underperforming the stock index.

A technical analysis of the AVGO chart provides further grounds for concern:

→ In 2024, the price formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), which remains relevant for now, despite a drop below the lower boundary on 5 August.
→ Price action in August indicates (marked by an arrow) that the median line of this channel, reinforced by the psychological level at $170, has now assumed the role of resistance.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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XNG/USD: Natural Gas Price Hits 2.5-Week Low

As shown on the XNG/USD chart, today, the price of natural gas fell below $2.16 for the first time since 8 August.

Bearish sentiment is being driven by the fact that: → This is the last week of summer. Gas consumption typically decreases in mid-September as the use of air conditioning declines; → Gas storage levels are abundant. According to Reuters, current stock levels exceed the seasonal average by 12%.

A technical analysis of the XNG/USD chart provides several arguments suggesting that bears hold the upper hand in the market:

→ Price action is forming a descending channel, shown in red. The upper boundary of the channel acted as resistance, with the price forming a bearish rounding reversal pattern (as indicated in blue).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Descending Triangle Pattern: Rules and Signals

A descending triangle is one of the patterns of a triangle group. The descending triangle is one of the most common technical analysis tools that can be spotted on price charts of any asset. Therefore, traders like implementing it in their trading strategies. However, this formation may be challenging. Read on to learn how to distinguish between the descending triangle signals.

What Is a Descending Triangle Pattern?

A descending or falling triangle is a bearish formation that is usually formed in downtrends. Thus, it signals a trend continuation. Although it is believed that a descending triangle pattern can occur in an uptrend, the theory states that it must form during a downtrend to provide strong signals.

TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Market Analysis: Gold and Oil Prices Signal More Upsides

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,500 resistance level. Crude oil prices climbed higher above $76.00 before the bears appeared.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

• Gold price started a steady increase from the $2,470 zone against the US Dollar.
• A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support near $2,505 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
• Crude oil prices extended gains above the $76.00 and $77.00 resistance levels.
• There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $75.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $2,470 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $2,490 and $2,500 resistance levels.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,515. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,320 resistance zone. Finally, the bears appeared near $2,525. A high was formed near $2,526 and the price is now consolidating gains.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Nvidia Report

Today, after the main trading session ends, Nvidia (NVDA) – the second-largest company by market capitalisation and the leader of 2024 amid the AI boom – will release its second-quarter earnings report.

It’s reasonable to assume that market participants are anticipating this event, which will likely trigger a surge in market volatility:
→ Nvidia shares (NVDA) have been fluctuating within the $123.50 – $131.00 range since 19 August;

→ Signs of anticipation are also evident on the technology index chart.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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AUD/USD: Price Faces Resistance After CPI Release

Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. According to ForexFactory, the actual annual inflation rate was 3.5% (expected = 3.4%, previous = 3.8%). In other words, inflation in Australia is declining, but not at the pace that might have been hoped for.

The initial reaction to the news was a sharp rise in the Australian dollar, with the AUD/USD rate increasing by approximately 0.4% in the first 15 minutes after the release.

However, the price then returned to levels seen before the inflation news was released. How can this be interpreted?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Dollar Downtrend Continues: When Might an Upward Correction Start?

The end of last week was quite unfavourable for the US dollar. Following the Jackson Hole symposium, where Jerome Powell confirmed the Fed’s readiness to start lowering the base interest rate, the dollar sharply declined across the board. The USD/CAD pair dropped below 1.3600, GBP/USD reached new 2023 highs at 1.3140, and EUR/USD buyers managed to test the key resistance at 1.1200. The downward trend has continued into the start of this week. Under what conditions might this downtrend slow down, and at what levels could a rebound be expected?

USD/CAD

Sellers of the USD/CAD pair successfully broke through the key 1.3600-1.3580 range that had been holding the price in the first half of this year. The break of this support could pave the way for further price decline and a test of 1.3400-1.3350. Near these levels, a slowdown in the downward movement could be expected, particularly if the news backdrop is favourable. The beginning of an upward correction could lead to a price return to the 1.3600-1.3500 range. Technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair indicates the potential for further decline, as higher timeframes show a strong downward impulse, with no correction patterns yet forming.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Double Top Pattern: Overview and Trading Rules

A double top is a popular technical analysis pattern that usually appears before a reversal in an uptrend. It’s one of the most common patterns and it can be found on any timeframe of any asset. Still, some traders confuse its signals. In this FXOpen article, we will explore how to spot the double top formation on a price chart and use it to build your own trading strategy.

What Is a Double Top Pattern?

In technical analysis, a double top pattern meaning refers to a chart pattern that consists of two swing highs with a trough in between, and the two highs should be at the same or almost the same level. Some traders confuse a double top with a double bottom formation. Therefore, the question “Is the double top bullish or bearish?” is common. The double top pattern appears at the end of an uptrend, and it’s always bearish. Conversely, the double bottom setup occurs at the end of a downtrend, and it’s always bullish.

TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Euro Tests Key Levels Ahead of Inflation Data

EUR/USD

The euro has retreated from its previously reached highs. The 1.12000 level provided strong resistance to buyers, and after testing it twice, the price has corrected to 1.1100. This level has already offered support to the pair last week, so for now, we are seeing range-bound trading between 1.1200-1.1090.

What scenarios could unfold in the upcoming trading sessions?

- If the price breaks and holds below 1.1090, a full-fledged downward correction could develop, with a decline towards 1.1050-1.0980.
- If the price consolidates above 1.1200, the upward momentum could resume, with a rise towards 1.1400-1.1300.

Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests the potential for a deeper downward retracement, as a “bearish harami” pattern has formed on the daily timeframe.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Fall Despite Strong Earnings

Yesterday, after the close of the main trading session, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings report:

→ Earnings per share: actual = $0.67, expected = $0.647;
→ Revenue: $30.04 billion, expected = $28.737 billion;
→ The company also announced a $50 billion share buyback.

However, despite the strong results, Nvidia’s share price declined. While the closing price yesterday was above $125, in pre-market trading today, Nvidia's shares are down below $118.

The more than 6% drop may be due to:
→ The company’s future outlook not meeting investor expectations;
→ Waning bullish sentiment around AI adoption.

On 12 August, during a technical analysis of NVDA’s price chart, we noted:
→ The price was forming an upward channel (indicated in blue);
→ The $100 level was acting as support.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EUR/USD Falls Below 1.11 Support

On 26 August, we discussed the potential for a pullback after the rally to 1.12, noting:
→ The fluctuations since April formed an ascending channel (indicated in blue, with support points marked by circles), and the price was near its upper boundary, where resistance was likely;
→ The 1.12 level also showed signs of resistance – the price briefly exceeded it before quickly falling back below; → Bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.

Just three days later, bearish signals continued to develop, leading to:
→ The formation of a bearish "head and shoulders" pattern (H&S) on the chart;
→ A more than 1% decline in price, breaking below the 1.11 level, which had provided support since 21 August.

Could EUR/USD continue to decline?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Double Top Pattern: Overview and Trading Rules

A double top is a popular technical analysis pattern that usually appears before a reversal in an uptrend. It’s one of the most common patterns and it can be found on any timeframe of any asset. Still, some traders confuse its signals. In this FXOpen article, we will explore how to spot the double top formation on a price chart and use it to build your own trading strategy.

What Is a Double Top Pattern?

In technical analysis, a double top pattern meaning refers to a chart pattern that consists of two swing highs with a trough in between, and the two highs should be at the same or almost the same level. Some traders confuse a double top with a double bottom formation. Therefore, the question “Is the double top bullish or bearish?” is common. The double top pattern appears at the end of an uptrend, and it’s always bearish. Conversely, the double bottom setup occurs at the end of a downtrend, and it’s always bullish.

TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Analytical USD to JPY Predictions in 2024, 2025 and Beyond

Understanding the future movements of the USD/JPY exchange rate is crucial for anyone looking to trade this fascinating pair. In this article, we analyse the economic outlook for 2024 and 2025, looking at expert forecasts to examine the impact of divergent monetary policies and economic conditions in the US and Japan. Dive in to discover how these factors might shape the currency pair's trajectory and what USD/JPY predictions are for the coming years.

Recent USD/JPY History

Since 2019, the USD/JPY exchange rate has experienced notable fluctuations, driven by various economic events and monetary policies.

The year 2019 started with USD/JPY at around 108.62. Throughout the year, the exchange rate gradually increased, peaking at approximately 112.40 in April. However, by the end of the year, it settled around 108.50, influenced by global trade tensions and monetary policies from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 brought significant volatility. As news gripped the markets, the USD to JPY rate slumped to a low of around 101.20 before rebounding to 111.70 around a week later, favouring the security of the USD against JPY.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Regain Strength

AUD/USD is consolidating gains from the 0.6825 zone. NZD/USD is showing positive signs and might attempt a fresh increase above 0.6275.

Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar rallied above the 0.6735 and 0.6750 resistance levels against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6795 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6300 zone.
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6700 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6735 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.

There was a close above the 0.6750 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6825 zone. A high was formed near 0.6824 and the pair recently saw a minor pullback.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Buffett's Company Hits $1 Trillion Market Cap

Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.B) Class B shares surpassed $465 this week, while Class A shares exceeded $700,000, pushing the market capitalisation of Warren Buffett's company past the $1 trillion mark. This milestone makes it the first non-tech U.S. company to join the trillion-dollar club, alongside Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Saudi Aramco.

Buffett's success lies in his value investing philosophy, which has allowed him to build a portfolio that consistently outperforms the market. This month is no exception—while the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has rebounded about 9.4% from its 5 August low, Berkshire Hathaway's Class B shares have surged over 14%.

Can the price climb even higher?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.