Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Again While USD/JPY Aims Fresh Increase

EUR/USD declined from the 1.1000 resistance and corrected gains. USD/JPY is rising and might take out the 147.80 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0945 support zone.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0920 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/JPY climbed higher above the 144.15 and 145.55 levels.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 147.00 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.1000 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0980 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair declined below 1.0945 and tested the 1.0880 zone. A low was formed near 1.0881 and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0910 level. The pair surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.1008 swing high to the 1.0881 low.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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NVDA Share Price Holds Above Psychological Level

On 10 July, we noted strong selling pressure above the $130 per share level. Since then, the price has dropped by approximately 22%. Losing more than a fifth of its market value seems like a serious issue, but it’s not as bad as it might appear, especially with emotions running high amid fears of a potential US recession.

Technical analysis of the NVDA chart today shows that:

→ The price is forming an upward trend (shown in blue). The false breakout of the upper boundary on 20 June mirrors the false breakout of the lower boundary of the channel on 5 August (as indicated by the arrows).

→ It’s important to focus on the interaction between the price and the psychological level of $100. On 5 August, when the price dropped below the lower boundary of the channel, it fell below this round number. However, by the end of the week, NVDA's price had recovered (along with many other stocks in the US market). It’s reasonable to assume that retail traders, who had earlier in 2024 bought NVDA shares on margin due to the prospects of AI development, rushed to liquidate their long positions when they saw the price dip below $100.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Forex Trading Time Zones: Market Hours and Overlaps

In the world of forex trading, understanding the dynamics of different time zones is paramount. This article delves into the intricate web of currency trading time zones, exploring the 24-hour cycle, major trading hours, and the nuanced opportunities each presents.

The 24-Hour Cycle of Forex Market Time Zones

The forex market's distinctive feature of being open 24 hours a day, five days a week, is a testament to its unparalleled accessibility, dynamics, and decentralised nature. Unlike traditional financial markets constrained by fixed trading hours, the forex market operates continuously, commencing in Asia on Monday and concluding in North America on Friday.

Major financial centres in different time zones steer the dynamics of the forex market, acting as the primary drivers of market activity during their respective business hours. That complex interplay creates distinct trading periods, each characterised by unique market conditions and opportunities.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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USD/CHF Rises Over 2.5% in a Week

As indicated by the USD/CHF chart today, the rate is around 0.868 francs per US dollar, although it dropped below 0.85 last Monday.

The main driver of this surge in volatility (with the ATR indicator reaching its highest point since March 2023) was the decline in the Japanese stock market, which we covered twice last week: here and here. Market participants were actively buying the Swiss franc as a “safe haven” asset. However, when the Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) began to recover from its nine-month lows, demand for the franc weakened.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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How to Trade Crude Oil: Trading Strategies

Learning how to trade crude oil requires a nuanced understanding of its fundamental aspects, instruments, and trading strategies. This comprehensive article offers insights into the critical elements that affect crude oil prices, the range of instruments available for trading, and specific strategies traders use in this market.

The Basics of Crude Oil

Crude oil, often referred to as "black gold," is a fossil fuel derived from the remains of ancient organic matter. It serves as a crucial raw material for various industries, including transportation, chemicals, and manufacturing.

Two primary types of crude oil traded on global markets are West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent Crude. WTI is primarily sourced from the United States and is known for its high quality and low sulphur content. On the other hand, Brent Crude originates mainly from the North Sea and serves as an international pricing benchmark.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Gold Price Near Historic High Today

As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the gold price is near $2,460 today, despite the 8th August candle opening around $2,385. This means that in just over three full trading sessions, the price per ounce has risen by approximately 3.3%. It is now only about 1.6% away from the psychological level of $2,500.

Bullish sentiment is being driven by rising geopolitical tensions. According to Trading Economics:

→ Israeli airstrikes on Khan Yunis on Monday killed at least 18 people, with several others injured.
→ Ukrainian forces last week breached the Russian border and are holding positions in the Kursk region.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Alibaba Group (BABA) Stock Reaches Over Two-Month High

As shown on the BABA stock chart, the price today has risen to around $80.80—its highest level this summer.

The primary driver of bullish sentiment is the anticipation of a positive earnings report from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd for Q2 2024, set to be released on 15th August.

According to Dow Jones Newswires:

→ Lazada, a subsidiary of Alibaba Group, has reached a certain level of profitability, which is a promising sign for the tech giant as it seeks to boost international sales amid slowing growth in China.
→ Alibaba’s market share has stabilised after a decline in 2021. DBS analysts Sachin Mittal and Andy Yeo note that the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of goods sold on Taobao and Tmall has returned to double-digit growth, and Alibaba’s international e-commerce platforms could become a key driver, with an estimated compound annual growth rate of 23% from FY2024 to FY2027. DBS maintains its buy recommendation for Alibaba shares.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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NZD/USD Plunges Following RBNZ Decision

The exchange rate fell by 1.1% after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25% and signalled further easing.

According to RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr:
→ Inflation is returning to the target range, and the bank may begin normalising rates;
→ Several scenarios were considered, and consensus was reached for a 25 basis point rate cut;
→ Forecasts indicate that New Zealand is moving towards a period of low and stable inflation;
→ The economy is meeting expectations, although high-frequency data show some weakening.

The rate cut decision was somewhat unexpected, as the RBNZ had previously forecast that the rate-cutting cycle would start later. This has resulted in increased volatility in the NZD/USD chart today.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) Shares Under Pressure

On 24th July, we noted in our analysis of the Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) price chart:
→ The share price had fallen despite the report's results surpassing analysts' expectations;
→ The upward momentum in the price chart was losing strength.

Since that publication, the Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) share price has dropped by 5%. While the sharp decline in stock markets on 5th August significantly impacted it, it's worth noting that since the previous Monday, the share price has been recovering more poorly than the index.

Bearish sentiment is being driven by:
→ A delay in showcasing the capabilities of the Gemini AI assistant at the “Made by Google” event;
→ Speculation about a potential breakup of Google under US antitrust laws. According to Benzinga, the US Department of Justice (DOJ) is considering this possibility.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rallies While NZD/USD Trims Gains

AUD/USD is consolidating gains near the 0.6620 zone. NZD/USD is trimming gains and struggling to stay above the 0.6000 pivot zone.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6640 against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6610 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD is declining from the 0.6080 resistance zone.
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6010 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6500 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6580 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.

There was a close above the 0.6600 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6640 zone. A high was formed near 0.6642 and the pair is now correcting gains.

There was a move below the 0.6630 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6579 swing low to the 0.6642 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6610.

The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6579 swing low to the 0.6642 high at 0.6600.

If there is a downside break below the 0.6600 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6580 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6545.

On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6640. The first major resistance might be 0.6650. An upside break above the 0.6650 resistance might send the pair further higher.

The next major resistance is near the 0.6700 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6740 resistance zone.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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1-Minute Scalping Trading Strategies With Examples

Scalping is a popular trading style capitalising on rapid, small price movements within minutes. 1-minute scalping strategies are often used by traders but require precise execution and solid understanding of technical indicators. This article explores four 1-min scalping strategies, detailing the indicators used alongside specific entries and exits.

Understanding 1-Minute Scalping

1-minute scalping is a fast-paced trading style focusing on taking advantage of small price movements within a minute timeframe. Traders using this approach rely on 1-minute charts to make quick, multiple trades throughout the trading session. The primary goal is to accumulate potential small gains that might add up to larger returns over time.

A scalp trading strategy requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and market conditions. Scalpers typically use indicators, price action patterns, and trend analysis to identify short-term market movements and potential entry and exit points. The rapid nature of 1-minute scalping demands precision and discipline, as even a slight delay can impact the trade outcome.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Analytical Intel Stock Predictions for 2024–2030 and Beyond

Intel Corporation remains a cornerstone in the semiconductor industry. This article delves into expert analyses and forecasts for Intel's stock from 2024 to 2030 and beyond, exploring technological advancements, market strategies, and financial projections and offering insights for anyone looking to trade INTC stock.

Intel Price History

Intel Corporation went public in October 1971, and its stock has undergone several splits since. During the 1980s, Intel experienced modest growth, with its stock price fluctuating around the $0.11 to $0.73 range (adjusted for splits and dividends). The company began gaining significant traction in the 1990s, driven by its dominance in the microprocessor market. By 1999, Intel's stock reached a high of more than $25, marking a period of rapid growth due to the tech boom and increasing demand for personal computers.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Commodity Currencies Strengthen After U.S. Inflation Data Release

Yesterday's data showed that U.S. inflation for July dropped to 2.9%. Given that the Federal Reserve will consider inflation and labour market figures when deciding on rates at the September meeting, the steady decline in the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) was expected to put downward pressure on the USD. However, the market's reaction to the U.S. inflation decrease was relatively muted, judging by the movement of major currency pairs. The Australian and Canadian dollars paused the upward correction they started late last week. However, since strategic supports remain intact, a resumption of medium-term growth is still possible.

AUD/USD

Technical analysis of the AUD/USD pair indicates the possibility of continued upward movement if the price can firmly establish itself above the 0.6650-0.6630 range. If these levels turn into support, the pair could test the 0.6770-0.6700 range.

The bullish sentiment is further supported by the “hammer” pattern formed on August 5th. This formation could be invalidated if the price falls below 0.6500-0.6470.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Forms 9 Consecutive Bullish Candles on Daily Chart

If we define bullish candles as those where the closing price is higher than the opening price, we can observe a sequence of 9 such candles on Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) daily chart from August 2nd to 14th.

On August 6th, we mentioned that market participants were bearish due to news that Warren Buffett had sold half of his Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares, but the situation has since reversed.

Now, bullish sentiment is gaining support from news related to George Soros purchasing Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares. According to MarketWatch, Soros Fund Management LLC has invested in Apple Inc. along with other tech companies, including Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Micron Technology (MU), Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), and Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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GBP/USD Analysis: Rate Steady After Key Data Releases

Yesterday, important U.S. inflation data was released, as reported by ForexFactory:
→ Core CPI (MoM): actual = 0.2%, forecast = 0.2%; previous = 0.1%;
→ CPI (YoY): actual = 2.9%, forecast = 3.0%; previous = 3.0%.

Today, market participants learned about the change in the UK’s monthly GDP: actual = 0.0%, forecast = 0.0%; previous = 0.4%.

However, these news releases had little impact on the GBP/USD exchange rate, likely because the actual figures were in line with expectations.

Today's technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart shows that the price is consolidating within a narrowing triangle (marked in green). The upper line of this triangle aligns with a fan line that has been expanding downwards, with price action tracing the fan's contours since the second half of July.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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What Is ICT PO3, and How Do Traders Use It?

The ICT Power of 3 is a strategic trading method that helps traders identify behaviour of ‘smart money.’ It dissects market movements into three distinct phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. This article explores the intricacies of the Power of 3 strategy and its practical application in trading.

Understanding the ICT PO3 Trading Concept

The ICT Power of 3 (PO3), or the AMD setup, is a strategic trading framework developed by Michael J. Huddleston, better known as the Inner Circle Trader. This approach revolves around three critical phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution, which collectively help traders understand and anticipate market movements.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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Market Analysis: Gold and Oil Prices Aim For Further Gains

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,432 resistance level. Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $80.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

• Gold price started a steady increase from the $2,400 zone against the US Dollar.
• A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $2,460 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
• Crude oil prices extended gains above the $75.70 and $76.40 resistance levels.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $77.10 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,432 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $2,440 level.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,450. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,480 swing high to the $2,432 low.

The RSI is now near 50 and the price could aim for more gains. Immediate resistance is near the $2,460 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,460.

The trend line is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,480 swing high to the $2,432 low. The next major resistance is near the $2,480 level. An upside break above the $2,480 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,488.

Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,500 level. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,432 zone. If there is a downside break below the $2,432 support, the price might decline further.

In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,415 support. The next major support sits at $2,400. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,365 level.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Surpasses 149 Yen Per Dollar

As the USD/JPY chart indicates, the rate has risen approximately 5.4% above the August 5 low.

On one hand, the yen's weakening against the U.S. dollar is partly driven by rumours that the Bank of Japan might intervene not to support the weak yen (as when the rate was above 160) but to weaken it further. "Intervention history shows that after yen-buying interventions, yen-selling interventions followed to curb excessive yen strength," Reuters reports, reflecting analysts' views.

On the other hand, the dollar strengthened yesterday as robust U.S. economic data all but dispelled fears of a recession.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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TSLA Stock Price Rises by Over 6%

The Tesla (TSLA) stock chart today shows that the price surged by more than 6% during yesterday’s trading session, driven by a strong retail sales report released the same day.

According to ForexFactory, analysts had expected Retail Sales to increase by 0.4% month-on-month. However, the actual data showed a 1.0% rise (for comparison, previous figures indicated a decline of -0.2%).

It seems that market participants interpreted this as a sign that Tesla's sales could also rise, propelling the electric vehicle manufacturer's stock to one of the top performers.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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3 Popular Scalping Strategies

Scalping is a widely-used strategy among day traders worldwide.

Watch the video to dive deeper into each strategy. Ready to test these techniques? Open a trading account at FXOpen and benefit from tight spreads starting at 0.0 pips, low commissions from $1.50, and advanced trading tools. Good luck!



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

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