Country Ken's Tips and racing discussions

[Countryken]

My personal opinion

Hi Sun,

Here are my personal opinion on your 2 selections.

I do hope that you don't mind me giving my personal
opinion, after all, its a matter of opinions, which is good.

You to feel free to give your opinion on my selections if you wish.


As for - Yorkshire Blue, i do give it a chance, i would rate it as a 7
thats for the win part, as for being placed should it fail to win, i would
rate its chances with a rating of 8.


As for - Fairgame Man, i would rate its chances of winning with a rating
of 51/2 and should it fail to win, being placed is quite hard to predict
as in my personal opinion, its quite a tricky affair, but i could be
wrong, so i do find it hard to give a rating of being placed
as anything can happen, im sure you understand.
This is only my opinion, but i wish you luck Sun.


Cheers
Ken

 

[cj12]

No worries ken we see in the next hour what happens

 

[JillyB]

Congratulation Ken - a good win at Ayr. But I only had 11/8 odds as it was the favourite - but a win nevertheless. :cheesy:

 

[houdani]

Good Morning Everyone,

Even though racing is from lower grade courses, there are
2 that in my opinion are worth a wager.

I also have a personal lay.


3-45 AYR

No. 8. SOUND BREEZE - win bet - rating = 8/10



7-05 BEVERLEY

No. 2. CARIBBEAN DANCER - win bet - rating = 71/2/10



7-05 BEVERLEY

No. 5. EBORARRY - personal lay - as i write its trading at 3.60

For the record, the lay will be a target, to win £20-00

liability would be if im wrong = - £52-00


P.S. Just pop in daily to see the updates. i trust that this is o.k.


Regards
Ken

ken my man you are on fire at the moment,and to my shame i never read todays tips until just now. wouldhave been a nice 6/1ish double. cant complain though,backed firenze friday.im still gonna have a small sulk though.... cheers!

 

[Countryken]

Bank Balance up-date - 18-07-05

1. Previous Bank Balance for - win bets = £500-00

2 win bets today - both won at S.P. of 11-8 and 9-4

£10-00 win on each - total staked = £20-00

Total Returns = £56-25 ( inc stakes )

Total profit for day = + £36-25

Bank Balance for win bets = £536-25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
18-07-05 ( Monday )
------------------------------

2. Bank for personal lay/s = £1000-00

( the reason for starting at this figure is, the liability is
high when laying, i trust that this figure is fine. )


A personal lay today based at 3.6 when this was being
posted, i trust that this is fine.


Laying - to win £20-00 - less 5% - profit made = + £19-00

liability if it won = - £52-00 - result, a winning day


Bank Balance for personal lay/s = £1019


Regards
Ken

P.S. Will inform tomorrow if any bet/s or lay/s.


P.S. I will deduct 5% from successful lay/s, to be a fair figure.

 

[Countryken]

Todays Selection - 19-07-05

Good Morning Everyone,

1 Theres a bet, but sadly the price is odds-on
the best you can get is - 10-11.

I don't choose the horses, its a combination of my handicap
system, which takes in all the form of all the runners
and my personal experience over the years, thought
i just let you know.

Anyway, here is the selection for today


4-45 AYR

No. 2. NEVERLETME GO

The selection is by Green Desert who does produce
good sprinters. The horse she beat which is -
Bonne De Fleur by a hd, meets her on 2 lbs better
terms, but shes quite exposed, as for the selection, she
is still improving and i would be surprised if the
tables are turned around.
The one that could pose a threat is - Highland Cascade

Verdict - it has to be - NEVERLETME GO

Hope im right
______________________________________________________________


Theres no personal lay today.

But one came close to being a personal lay.

I won't be laying it, but if you choose to lay it
i won't put you off, that choice is yours.

If you're laying it, do go small if i may be allowed to
say it, i mean well.

As im writing this, its trading at 3.65

Good luck in what you choose to do.

My sincere apology, i forgot to mention the horse

4-15 AYR

No. 4. PATRICIA PHILOMENA - came close to being -
- a personal lay


Regards
Ken

 

[Countryken]

Bank Balance up-date 19-07-05

Previous Bank Balance on win bets = £536-25

Bank Balance on win bets inc 19-07-05 = £526-25



_________________________________________________________


Personal lay/s Bank Balance - no change 19-07-05 = £1019


Ken


______________________________________________________________

 

[Countryken]

Selection for tomorrow the 20-07-05 ( wed )

Good Evening/Morning,

I have a selection for tomorrow the 20-07-05 ( wed )



8-15 SANDOWN

No. 2. MARIAS MAGIC - win bet - rating = 71/2/10


Regards
Ken

P.S. Any further bet/s to follow, will be posted
tomorrow at no later then 12-30 p.m.
earlier if possible.

 

[Countryken]

Latest up-date for today the 20-07-05 ( wed )

Good Morning Everyone,

I have further bets for today the 20-07-05 ( wed )



8-00 LEICESTER

No. 5. POLITICAL INTRIGUE - win bet - rating = 71/2/10

This colt is making her handicap debut, its on
a mark of 80 which is fair, H Cecil the trainer
has not had a good season for quite a few years
now, but he would be quite disappointed if
this colt does not put in a bold show from her
present mark.



8-30 LEICESTER

No. 2. ZAYN ZEN - win bet - rating = 7
No. 13. OUT OF INDIA - win bet - rating = 7

( both should be backed )


Good luck in what you choose to do.


Regards
Ken

 

[Countryken]

Bank Balance up-date 20-07-05 ( wed )

Previous win bets Bank Balance = £526-25

Total bets for today the 20-07-05 = 4

Total winners today = 2

winning prices = 7-2 and 5-4

Bank Balance on win bets inc today the 20-07-05 = £553-75

Bank Balance on personal lays - the same = £1019

Regards
Ken

 

[magichands]

Salty now has 'banned' under his unsername,
i think you'll find he's been banned which is understandable, he had other posts removed which he should have learned from,
you just can't break the rules,
goodbye and good riddance to Salty

 

[Countryken]

Todays Selections on the 21-07-05 ( Thurs )

Good Morning All,

I trust that all or most of you are fine and well.

Just 2 horses in 1 race to be backed.



3-50 SANDOWN - Twin win

No. 5. MUSTAJED - win - rating = 61/2/10
No. 6. OUR TEDDY - win - rating = 6/10


P.S. My personal ratings, any horse rated below 6
will not qualify for a bet.


Good luck

Regards
Ken

 

[Countryken]

I Forgot to but---------------

Hi,

I totally forgot to say that theres no lay, but
in saying that, my handicap system, with
the form and other aspects that has to be
taken into account ( hope im not boring you please )
which i call it -

THROUGH THE EYES OF THE JOCKEY CLUB HANDICAPPERS

and my experience, what im trying to say is, theres a
horse, its not a personal lay, neither is it close to
being a personal lay, but i must stress that very rare
this sort of a jigsaw race comes along, and you
normally get a horse that stands out on all known
form, it has a chance of winning, yes i have seen
these sort of horses win, but they lose more often
then they win, the horse im talking about is -
- Regent's Secret, its the fav with all bookmakers
and its the fav with Betfair, its trading at 4.3

the odds of it winning is no better then 35/65
so its 65% of a chance of losing the race

So lets see what happens.

Do pardon me in the way i wrote this out, as its
not easy for me to have explained it much better
i did my best.

Why am i telling you this, its cause, personally
im willing to take a chance by laying it, if its
trading more then 4.7, i then won't be laying it.
But it will be low stakes, so my liability will be
around £32 - £36 to win £10-00

The race is - 3-50 SANDOWN

*** So some of you might be also willing to take
a chance, that choice is your choice, that why
im telling you, good luck.

Cheers
Ken

P.S. I like to help in my own way
i hope you can understand.

 

[Countryken]

Bank Balance update on the 21-07-05 ( Thurs )

Previous Bank Balance on win bets = £553-75


Total selections for today the 21-07-05 = 2

Total winners today = 1 - winning price 4-1 s.p.


Present Bank Balance on win bets inc today 21-07-05 = £583-75


Bank Balance on personal lays ( no change ) = £1019


Regards
Ken

 

[Countryken]

Just for the record - 21-07-05

Since the 10-07-05 - to and inc today 21-07-05

Total selections given = 19

Total winners for same period = 8 ( strike rate = 42% )


winning S P = 7-2, 4-1, ev , 11-8, 9-4, 7-2, 5-4, 4-1.


Cheers
Ken

P.S. These figures are to my best of memory.

 

[houdani]

Previous Bank Balance on win bets = £553-75


Total selections for today the 21-07-05 = 2

Total winners today = 1 - winning price 4-1 s.p.


Present Bank Balance on win bets inc today 21-07-05 = £583-75


Bank Balance on personal lays ( no change ) = £1019


Regards
Ken

evening ken, im fairly new to the t2w boards but aside from trading ive always enjoyed a bet.ive gotten fairly decent at football fixed odds but although well practised, my horse picking skills are still fairly poor.my problem is, i pick a horse and it doesnt win,then i carry on backing it each time it runs just because i dont want to not be on when it does win. its a completely rubbish strategy and one im going to stop using.im better off leaving the horses to you ken,youre obviously well studied on it.thanks for the two horses yesterday,luckily i doubled them up. missed todays bet(s) but so far ive backed 5 horses youve advised and had 5 winners! youre betting bank is in profit and there arent many people who can carry that off consistently,what the hell salty gibbon was moaning about beats the life outta me, he blatantly knew nothing about horses so his opinion didnt count for diddly anyway. never mind he's gone now and everybody else on this board appreciates the efforts you go to,so happy pickin ken because im happy to follow them!

 

[Countryken]

Thanks

evening ken, im fairly new to the t2w boards but aside from trading ive always enjoyed a bet.ive gotten fairly decent at football fixed odds but although well practised, my horse picking skills are still fairly poor.my problem is, i pick a horse and it doesnt win,then i carry on backing it each time it runs just because i dont want to not be on when it does win. its a completely rubbish strategy and one im going to stop using.im better off leaving the horses to you ken,youre obviously well studied on it.thanks for the two horses yesterday,luckily i doubled them up. missed todays bet(s) but so far ive backed 5 horses youve advised and had 5 winners! youre betting bank is in profit and there arent many people who can carry that off consistently,what the hell salty gibbon was moaning about beats the life outta me, he blatantly knew nothing about horses so his opinion didnt count for diddly anyway. never mind he's gone now and everybody else on this board appreciates the efforts you go to,so happy pickin ken because im happy to follow them!

I thank you for your kind words Houdani

Im glad that i am of some help with my tips.
I will always do my best.

Ken

 

[Countryken]

Todays Selections on the 22-07-05 ( Friday )

Good Morning All,

Here are my selections for today the 22-07-05 ( Friday )



2-45 NEWBURY - Twin win

No. 2. VALANCE - win - rating = 7
No. 8. SHORTBREAD - win - rating = 71/2

( the above 2, try and get best price possible
so should 1 win, it will be a profit )


3-40 YORK

No. 3. DANEHILL WILLY - win - rating = 61/2



5-20 YORK - Twin win

No. 1. SKI JUMP - win = rating = 61/2
No. 7. GREENWICH MEANTIME - win - rating = 7

( again, try and get best price possible so
a profit can be made should 1 win )


Good luck

Have a nice week-end if you can

Bets will be posted by no later then 12-30 p.m. tomorrow

Regards
Ken

 

[Countryken]

Reflection in running 22-07-05----------

No excuses on the performance of the 2 in the
2-45 race - Valance and Shortbread

As for - Danehill Willy, he got quite worked up and
was quite warm in himself, considering under those
circumstances he ran with credit, personally i feel
that if it were not for that, he might have won, he
should go into the note book.

Hope we can get some sort of reward in the 5-20 race.

Keep your spirits up, theres the 5-20 to come, not
to mention tomorrow.

Ken

 

[Countryken]

The 5-20 race - 22-07-05

No excuses for the 2 selections performance in the
5-20 race.

Thats racing.

Ken