Chicken Curry said:
Thanks for your comments Ken.
I guess what I am really asking is, do you think that a hit rate in excess of 25% is realistically achievable ?
I will probably "paper trade" this method and see how it goes for a while.
Thanks again
Chicken Curry,
I don't know if you know this, ( im not going off the subject ) most leading tipsters
get around 16 - 20% strike rate, there could be some that do much better then
mentioned ( i have not heard of any myself )
Regarding if you can get a strike rate of 25% is quite possible, but certain
factors must be taken into account, e.g. the betting forecast of the Racing
Post is a good guide.
Lets say you only do maiden stakes, stakes, listed races and group races
( keep away from clamiers ) you then look for your 3-1 shots, personally,
i would rather it be the fav or 2nd fav in the betting forecast, then the next
price should have a gap of at least 2 pts and the next at least 3 pts, what
this says is that the odds compilers ( who study form ) are saying is, that
in their opinion the likely winner should come from that 3 ( its a matter of
self opinions - you might have your own )
The next step is to see how many paper tipsters have napped the selection
( personally, i would prefer to see at least 2 ) don't forget, these people are
paid well and they must try and supply winners as then their papers will
sell more ( who wants to buy a paper where the tipster has a poor record
of giving winners - watch out who are doing well too )
I once again hope that this is helpful - good luck
Ken