counter_violent
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Trouble is when change is due Generals Elections are generally lost rather than won as people vote to get rid of the party in power. And who do they swing to in order to effect that? The next biggest party in terms of number of seats, that's who. And who will that be? Surprise, surprise it's Labour.
We've seen it all before, they came back into power after the last time they were consigned to the wilderness forever as unelectable following a major desertion of members to the new Social Democrats.
Well, One election cycle at a time is how it goes. So I think we can confidently predict that the next G E will be an increased majority and a further move right of center, even though this Govt will be more moderate by it's make up.
So if Labour do split, which is highly likely, the left will eventually peter out, the centrists will take an age to form into anything approaching credible and a further faction of former Labour voters turned UKIP will ensure we stay right of center.
There is zero chance that "Labour" will be the next Govt.