SuddenDeath
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euro is puking now...looks to be much better short
euro daily looks like bear flag breakdown
euro is puking now...looks to be much better short
yes.. thats the theory...
last week when ISEE number came in low it gave a clue that high number of small speculators are short on indices.....so they just held it till expiry so all those options were caused max pain
and popular indices easier to manage with some high weighted stocks like IBM on dow... Russel2K etc were telling a different story and creating divergence....
what happens now is anyone's guess...let the game begin again
yes..small speculators were bearish big time...that's what ISEE indicated....it was a record low number ...remember when I posted last week
that was a clue to two things that - market likely to rally big time and then hold till Opex...they use these news / events like QE3 etc to their benefit....these can be used either way and all the shorts (covering) provided necessary fuel to the fire....
ISEE is kind of contrarian index...
theory may be completely wrong but that's what I could see
no and i wont ask which one.....else you may get angry that I am asking you to troll through 1000s of posts :cheesy:
just kidding...TGIF
from zerohedge
Hedging basic equity positions with options is nothing new. Buying Puts or selling calls to protect or enhance your position is not uncommon. The relative price that is paid (or received) for that protection is the implied volatility - it is the lever with which supply and demand for protection is turned (and is highly anti-correlated with equity movements). Strategies to hedge large equity positions have become more and more complex (as more and more complex instruments have become available).
One such strategy is to buy VIX calls against a long S&P 500 position - the best being that if the long equity position gets in trouble, VIX will rise and the call will lever that gain to offset MtM losses - i.e. a hedge. But VIX calls can be expensive and so, as we noted from Barclays, a more advanced strategy is to buy risk-reversals (long out-of-the-money VIX calls against short out-of-the-money VIX puts) which creates a 'synthetic long volatility position' to hedge the long equity underlying position. Given the leverage of the options, typically this has been done at 30% of notional to reduce the cost of the hedge.
Is This Why VIX Is Behaving So Strangely? | ZeroHedge
Remember this...that was the time to short
I'm getting very good at trading the left hand side of the chart and not so hot on picking entry points that work... which is why I have been sticking to mas crossing together but that doesn't happen every day. I suppose specifically I am thinking:
1) Is there not much point trying to trade pivots unless you have an established trend ie the low, first high thereafter, a higher low and then a higher high.
2) When is a pivot is taken out? by a % or by a whole candle etc
All very subjective of course