THT's Methods that WIN

[THT]

In relation to the post #100 directly above

This is just one of the active cycles present in the markets - there are many more!

I can't give away too much on the planetary side - people spend £10,000's and 10,000's of hours on it, I can't give it away for free and as I have no intention of selling anything, I just can't give too much away

This chart is a planetary combination, starting from the 1987 crash LOW and all I have done is taken 15 degree movements of it - Remember Ganns emblem? 120 and 180 are definitely on it! They represent the TRIANGLE and the SQUARE look at the turns on those points!

This cycle completes its full 360 degree journey from the 1987 crash low around 2031 which should be a half decent LOW to trade off - the reason for this is because BOTH the 120 and 180 (2 different harmonics of the 360 degree CIRCLE) both come to harmony at 360 degrees

In Gann's promotion material (some of you may have it) he makes mention in a quick tiny sentence about "CORNERSTONE" This is a Freemason term, and in that chart below BOTH the 120 and 180 points are perfect examples of what he meant by cornerstone - they even look like the corner foundation!

At some point I will update the chart with dates to its 360 degree completion and remember this is NOT the main cycle of the markets, its one of them, but NOT the main one - the MAIN ones TOP OUT in 2034

 

[THT]

I've posted this elsewhere on the Internet, so I may as well share on here with you guys

Ignore the line chart - this has NOTHING to do with price

The CYCLE is the KEY - 8 year Low to Low cycle due VERY soon

Notice the PLUNGE prior to the cycle low - that is a wealth builder move

Now we have 3 scenarios here:

1. The cycle fails and no meaningful moves happen - this is ALWAYS a possibility
2. The cycle INVERTS - IF this were to happen, then we should see a very steep RALLY up to the date (basically reverse the cycle expectation)
3. The cycle is going to work and we should see price start to plunge in the weeks/months ahead as per previous cycles

Lets watch and see what actually unfolds - probability is on the side of the cycle working, seen as it has a 100% hit rate covering 50+ years and the lack lustre price action over the past few years, but lets see

PS - the line chart is CLOSES only and if you look back too far the software automatically converts it to a line chart as I wanted to show you as much of the cycle repeats as was possible

 

[THT]

Here's an example of a multi-Time-Frame method, using a lot of the tricks shown in this thread that ANYONE can use

Remember we can use an Indicator to TIME the market and especially market reversals - See the thought process below............

PS - I am off travelling for a few months - If you have ever wondered why the worlds great temples and structures such as the pyramids were built, I would research them, there is no way ancient "man" built them, they might of done the labouring work, but there is absolutely no way they thought up the concepts to build - these temples are PRECISION designed and built, we'd struggle to replicate even today! - Anyway, a lot of these temples and especially the Pyramids are riddled in maths that shows up in the markets

This trading example shows you how like a precision built temple you can do the same - TOP DOWN analysis, but BOTTOM UP building, like the foundations of a house, it ALL starts from the lower time-frames

In the future, I will most likely just post a few examples per year, if that - I started this thread to show you how to win, what the markets are doing and the timing/planetary links - But depending on how I feel I may do more or less, for the time being this will be the last for a while

So this is a current live trade.....................................

My Top Down analysis brought this share to my attention the other month

WEEKLY Chart = There's a VERY clear liquidity channel established since 2020 from which price has bounced from when its hit it
Focus on the LAST dip into it
2RSI was <25% = possible cycle LOW and TURNING point (In hindsight, this is EXACTLY what transpired)
"IF" the liquidity zone is still working, then the laws of probability say it should produce some sort of "bounce"/reversal from it, that we might be able to profit from

You could either buy the breakout above the low bar on a weekly basis or drill down to lower time-frames to see if we can get in better (I did the latter)

DAILY Chart = MOST people would be petrified of BUYING in early Sept because price was on a very hard and clear decent - The green line is the line from the WEEKLY TF chart

Right at the line we have 2RSI <25% which matches the WEEKY 2RSI position = 2 time-frames same position = another HIGH probability zone AND TIME for a pop higher

You could have got in on a breakout of the low bar, once it hit the 10SMA or drop down to a lower time-frame to see if any better entry was available

60 Min Chart = Green WEEKLY Liquidity zone line shown

The LOW bar was made with an RSI DIVERGENCE - you could of bought the LOW BAR!
You could of bought on breaking the moving averages - because if your thinking and analysis is correct they WILL REVERSE (and we were RIGHT)
You could of bought the #123 (not labelled) off the LOW which is also an Elliott Wave #1,2 - buying the breakout of the #2 [#123] swing HIGH or as I did I bought the swing low #3 with the 2RSI <25%, the stop was under the LOW

Then you get the stop to BREAKEVEN ASAP

Due to the potential for the trade, you HAVE to give price action a bit of room - Ignore the Indicators now, I do not use them for trade management - I trailed a stop 2 SWING LOWS back - when the M formation occurred, it took out the PRIOR swing LOW, but NOT 2 SL's back - Don't ask me why this is, but you just often find this happens, wash and rinse of the last swing low, clears stops is the theory, but if you're a very big player, you probably don't even have a stop in place, anyway

I do NOT have a trailing stop 2 swing lows back NOW - That's insane to do now with recent price action - I am now protecting a % of open profits and my stop is in between the 20 and 30 SMA

I usually trade multiple UNITS - which means once price moves x sell 1 unit, keep the remaining units trailing - I didn't in this case which is of massive benefit to me so far - The "thinking" was price was in a position to bounce nicely and far, so we'll see what we get out of it on a full position

I hope you can see the potential of these methods

Happy Trading and have a great Christmas and New Year

I'll most likely login now and then from where I am in the world as I'll have Internet

 

[THT]

Should have posted this at the weekend too, but the travel plans got in the way

Triggered this am before I switched the computer on - but it shows the concept - I missed this trade, although you could have traded the TREND trades on a 15 min chart AFTER the bounce off the extended angle line

 

[THT]

Quick flying visit back to the UK, before I'm off on another trip - If you are Interested in Temples and the like, I would highly recommend reading and watching Graham Hancock - He (and me) is of the opinion that humanity is much older than what you are told by the so called "experts", everything points to humans being highly highly advanced 25,000 years back - hearsay is hearsay, facts are facts and when you start stacking up the facts, that is what opens your minds

I remember reading I think from Elliott Wave International analysis that if the government thought it the best idea to rejig the economy, was to give us all a high end Jaguar motor car, they'd [the govt] be stupid enough to do it - Don't believe what you are told, RESEARCH things of Importantance for yourself

Now back to trading...............................................

I've not been able to exploit this as much as I would have if I was had been glued to a screen rather that travelling

GOLD - Sequence speaks for itself - Higher time-frame analysis to try to predict expected DIRECTION

WEEKLY = BULLISH but could go either way, probability suggests up but its not 100%

DAILY = bullish - 2RSI oversold and in the buy zone, 15RSI bullish above 40 & 5Stoch oversold in buy zone = EXPECT a bull move UP
and although I am writing this after the fact in hindsight, that is exactly what occurred and if you've read the thread, will know this is something I have mentioned many many times

You could buy the DAILY bar or trade lower time-frames

HOURLY = IF our higher time-frame analysis is right, what "should" happen?

Well we "should" see price REGAIN the 10 SMA, then we should see a bullish cross of the 10/20 & 30 SMA's. then we should see BULLISH price action forming higher highs and higher lows - the STEEPNESS of the SMA's should move upwards towards 1-2 O'clock position on an imaginary clock face on our chart

This happened EXACTLY as it should

So How do you trade it?

Multiple options - buy the X over the moving averages! I know terrible eh or you could have bought the regain of the 20 SMA or buy pullbacks on the 2RSI/5Stoch or buy breakouts of previous swing highs as shown on the hourly chart

There's 7 trading days there - which is just over a trading week - you only need 2.3% per WEEK net return to DOUBLE an account - you can clearly see the method works - all you need to do is design a way to exploit the moves

Where do you place your stop? LOGICAL places - prior swing lows or 2 swing lows BACK etc

Trade 2 units - sell 1 unit quick for profit, trail the 2nd up, this DILUTES the return, but might help your mind-set etc

Don't be greedy, you could just go in on the first bullish signal with a full position and hold, trailing up a WIDE stop, however, you prefer

There were 12 trades on this charge using the buy the breakout method - 3 or them failed = 75% win rate If you risked 0.5% of your account per trade to make 0.5% then you came out with a 3% gain in 7 days, which is your 2.3% target

Obviously in the real world, you'd of trailed up stops so some of those winners would be returning much more than 0.5% but you get the maths and you might have even used 1% risk - I'm just showing you how to beat the game, it isn't hard and yet 95% of those that try end up ballsing it all up

Right another wash load going on, flights booked to my next destination (Hello South America) and time to brush up on some Spanish

 

[THT]

So far the market has defied the SP500 Composite Cycle index - This is perfectly normal - the Comp cycle gives a best probability direction, its not 100% exact to the turn and sometimes its just wrong - this is why you just do not trade it blindly, you build in safeguards, namely PRICE ACTION must do certain things for it to confirm, that has not happened yet

WEEKLY Indicators have bearish divergence building - again you cannot rely 100% on that, its just a warning at present

We are most likely waiting for US Elections

The last cycle tops out 15th Nov 2024 as marked by the pink dots up from the relevant cycle - lets see if the market is working off that cycle or something else

Edit - Its early here! 2nd to last cycle, the YELLOW cycle is the last

 

[Almarok]

Hi,

congratulations on your considerable expertise and studies regarding Cycles, Gann, etc.... I wanted to add that in this video from January 28, there is
a prediction by Larry Williams in which he predicts a sharp decline especially in 2026. I therefore wished to know your thoughts on this.

For 2025 Larry Williams still predicts a fairly bullish year, as years ending with 5 are often bullish, according to the Ten-Year Cycles theory with reference
to: Tides in the Affairs of Men by Anthony Gaubis and Edgar Lawrence Smith.

 

[THT]

Hi,

congratulations on your considerable expertise and studies regarding Cycles, Gann, etc.... I wanted to add that in this video from January 28, there is
a prediction by Larry Williams in which he predicts a sharp decline especially in 2026. I therefore wished to know your thoughts on this.

For 2025 Larry Williams still predicts a fairly bullish year, as years ending with 5 are often bullish, according to the Ten-Year Cycles theory with reference
to: Tides in the Affairs of Men by Anthony Gaubis and Edgar Lawrence Smith.

Hi - Thanks for the comment

Yes I watched that Youtube Video too

Larry Williams is brilliant, I love his work - he is fiercely against planetary cycles though, so it was Interesting seeing him use the 18.6 yr cycle in that video! For others not familiar with this, this is the moons north node cycle and was the basis for WD Gann's Financial Timetable and Louise McWhirters work in the 1900's

I don't tend to predict the yearly move, more over a generic outlook, but I do have views on this coming period as It's been on my radar for the past 12/13 years

Remember these DOWN cycles, are classed as DOWN even if they go sideways

1. 2025 we have a planetary cycle that is usually a low point - whether this works this time I'm not 100% confident due to what I write next..............
2. In 1st quarter 2026 we have the "BEAST" cycle - 666 WEEKS (This typically causes a bit a chaos to prices, but not detrimental!)
3. But in 2026 we also have the big war cycle as well - this is the ideal timing through to 2028, but it can come anytime - Whenever there's a big USA war, prices ALWAYS crash hard, but then they ALWAYS recover
4. Yes year 5's are very bullish generally
5. My composite Index is overall DOWN until 2028 as per Larry's, but from 2024

In the grand scheme of things we are in the UP cycle, down cycles in UP cycles don't tend to do too much damage, obviously they correct things, but nothing like 2000/09 etc - more like 1987, 1987 was in a overall UP cycle

Regarding the WAR cycle - This is a bit more "open" to Interpretation as we can class what is happening in Ukraine and Israel as meeting the basic criteria (huge amounts of USA funding weapons is good enough for me) BUT, this war cycle has ALWAYS resulted in USA troops on the ground, the IDEAL time for this to hit is May 2026, and the timing window goes in 2028, so we have to have a wide loose period of time for that cycle, as in the past sometimes things happen right on the expected date (1942 was the last time with Pearl Harbour being attacked right on that date) but they can also happen towards the end of the cycle window too

So regarding 2026 - details on the chart - my calcs aren't off Larry's cycles, they are PLANETARY - As you can see from the chart, this chart projection was made up back on 7th May 2015

If you go back to 2013(May time), the cycles hits, but they only moved the market by a few % - hopefully this time around we'll see a decent move on the weekly chart

EDIT: In point 1 noted above, as we have the chart above, the planetary cycle I refer to last arrived during the same overall UP cycle in 1994 - right at the point of the blast off upwards to the 2000 highs - going to be interesting to see what happens this time around - If there is ANY type of low come Oct 2025, I will be buying it heavily

 

[Almarok]

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (in csv format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.):

S&P 500 from 1789 until today: free data

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (for Excel, in format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.): https://stooq.com/q/d/?s=%255Espx&c=0 write at the top left (in the box: Symbol np): ^SPX and then click on: Kwotuj and then click at the bottom left on: Historical...

www.trade2win.com

You can get the Indexes of the whole World, by writing in the box: Symbol np


DJI (Down Jones Industrial) since 1896

SPX (S&P 500)

Nasdaq

FTSE (United Kingdom)

DAX (Germany)

Nikkei (Japan)

FTSE MIB (Italy)

etc...

there are also Commodities, Stocks, etc...

P.S.: obviously the data since 1789 has been adapted and added to the S & P 500 to allow the study of Long Term Cycles, as explained here:

S&P 500 from 1789 until today: free data

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (for Excel, in format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.): https://stooq.com/q/d/?s=%255Espx&c=0 write at the top left (in the box: Symbol np): ^SPX and then click on: Kwotuj and then click at the bottom left on: Historical...

www.trade2win.com

 

[THT]

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (in csv format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.):

S&P 500 from 1789 until today: free data

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (for Excel, in format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.): https://stooq.com/q/d/?s=%255Espx&c=0 write at the top left (in the box: Symbol np): ^SPX and then click on: Kwotuj and then click at the bottom left on: Historical...

www.trade2win.com

You can get the Indexes of the whole World, by writing in the box: Symbol np


DJI (Down Jones Industrial) since 1896

SPX (S&P 500)

Nasdaq

FTSE (United Kingdom)

DAX (Germany)

Nikkei (Japan)

FTSE MIB (Italy)

etc...

there are also Commodities, Stocks, etc...

P.S.: obviously the data since 1789 has been adapted and added to the S & P 500 to allow the study of Long Term Cycles, as explained here:

S&P 500 from 1789 until today: free data

Here you can download free data of the S&P 500 from 1789 until today (for Excel, in format: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.): https://stooq.com/q/d/?s=%255Espx&c=0 write at the top left (in the box: Symbol np): ^SPX and then click on: Kwotuj and then click at the bottom left on: Historical...

www.trade2win.com

Thanks - Always handy to have freely available price data for multiple markets

 

[THT]

ARE YOU STRUGGLING?
​

Then go back to basics - Do NOT try to beat the market, second guess or try to buy lows

You DO NOT have to know where the market is going - you just FOLLOW it - Leave trying to time the market to Idiots like me

IGNORE the INDICATORS in these 2 charts, you DON'T need them

What do you SEE in this chart? (GOLD market)

This is what I see:

• Lower prices, followed by rising prices, followed by sideways prices, followed by rising prices, followed by sideways prices followed by rising prices
• Overall the trend is UP
• The Swing File ZigZag chart from late 2022 = RISING highs AND lows = BULL TREND

Do we want to be trying to short this market? ERHHH NOOOOOOO!

Do we want to be buying LONG this market? ERHHH YESSSSSSSSSS!

What's the EASIEST WAY?

1. BUY long the BREAKOUT of SWING HIGHS on the Swing file ZigZag chart AND/OR
2. BUY long the BREAKOUT of ROSS HOOKS when price is ABOVE the 10SMA

As you as you get drawn into looking at the optimum LOWS you "could" of bought, you need to start adding 2 or so losses into the mix, as you would have also bought some of the FAILED swing lows

I've left this GOLD example unmarked - quickly go through it to see the Ross Hooks and zigzag swing highs

DO NOT GUESS - If the market is going to be BULLISH, then price WILL/HAS to/100% GUARANTEED make higher highs and higher lows and RISE

Create methods to participate!

Here's USDJPY Forex pairing Daily chart

This time I've marked the buy points with a pink DOT and stop placement are the pink horizontal line - I've not market them all

Same principles and reasoning - Ignoring the Indicators once again, we don't really need them for this method

Applies to ANY liquid market and ANY time-frame

In terms of STOP placement - the CLOSER to entry = the greater chance of being stopped out, you could have a daft stop of many points to give a position room to move, then once up a decent amount move the stop to break-even and gradually raise the stop

I've said this before, in bull markets swing lows 1 swing back often get hit, taken out and then the bull move continues, 2 swing lows back being hit is rare - it does happen, but its not as common as the previous swing low being hit

Here's a cherry picked 1 min chart to prove the concept works on any market, any time-frame:

Same PRINCIPLES

Gann to an extent and definitely Livermore used to trade like this, but they risked 10% of equity or more on a position!

Which is why they made millions

 

[THT]

There's no secrets out there, apart from the planetary side and they are only secret because you've not investigated them - They come in real handy when things go pop in the economy, but 98% of the time, you don't even need to know about them or understand them

In the USDJPY daily chart above, you would have seen the Double Bottom and subsequent rally - Gann said "Buy all Double Bottoms" - but do they all work?

NO they don't, so just buying them adds risk - I don't like risk, I like as much certainty as is possible to obtain

This is when we add in using Indicators

WEEKLY Time-Frame = Gann LOST MOTION Double Bottom - Its called Lost Motion because price just edges past the prior swing low and then retraces - Anyway, The STOCHASTIC Indicator created a double bottom and a BULLISH DIVERGENCE to price action in the buy/oversold zone = POSSIBLE price rally

and If that happened (which it did) you'd expect the Indicators to do as they have done since

Anyway, If this price rally occurs as we want it too, it will do certain things on the LOWER time-frames that we can TRADE

DAILY Time-Frame

So on the Daily the high risk trade is to buy a REGAIN of the 10SMA - This might not be to your liking, as price can do as it did - You could buy the 123 [not marked] breakout or the low bar of the #3, but that was a wide range bar - remember we have no idea what is going to turn up, however, we did get the required bounce as expected from our analysis on the WEEKLY chart

If you look back at the 1st leg of the DB back in June - The WEEKLY STOCH was OS in the buy zone - you wouldn't of bought the weekly as there was no way of knowing if a significant bounce would happen - it did, but you did not know that at the time - What we did know at the time was that IF the HTF STOCH was going to cause a significant bounce, we might get something on the DAILY chart and definitely the 60 min chart

As it happened price action gave us trades on the daily chart too - but those opportunities did NOT materialise on the DAILY TF on the leg 2 of the lost motion Double Bottom

60 Min Time-Frame

Makes things a hell of a lot more easier to see and trade from doesn't it! when price action starts making formations that HAVE to happen in bullish markets as previously explained in the post above

You don't need to be smart to become a professional trader - SMA's in PERFECT ORDER, price pulls back, BUY the BREAKOUT, Stop under the last swing low, when price gets 1R above entry move stop the BREAKEVEN, the TRAIL a stop up - you can at that point sell a portion of the position should you wish for cash flow etc, up to YOU

Your first trade can also be trailed up 2 swing lows back or protecting x% of open profits for multiple R returns

Obviously if you are trading 60 min price action, you don't even need to know about the higher time-frames, but these moves HAPPENED as a RESULT of the higher-time frame positions - The probabilities of this happening based on the HTF price action and market formations, were very large - this is as close as you get to virtually guaranteed trade potential

JUST LOOK for the tell tale signs of TRENDS because if they are happening, you are GURANTEED 100% to get swings as per the 60 min chart above that you can profit from

Then when you have mastered this, you can then try to add another method to your trading bow

 

[THT]

Last one for a while - I'm back off looking at Temples for a while, have Internet access so might check in now and again, but this could be the last one for a long time

I've mentioned about doubling an account for ages now - Hopefully you can see from waiting and being patient, you can find multiple opportunities during the week

To double an account all you need is a NET 2.3R profit per WEEK based on trading 44 weeks

Do NOT try to PREDICT the market, just trade WHAT YOU SEE

Here's Gold from yesterday - I don't normally trade gold when the FED makes announcements and especially not when rate decisions happen - but this set-up happened hours from the announcement, so I was happy to trade

DAILY TF = Mixed, Indicators in positions for a bounce, BUT, price pullback is right in that no mans land of it could go higher or it could go lower - This on the daily TF is not a trade for THT

But as you can see when we drop down to a 15 min chart we have price action, forming one of our setups (2 methods in fact) - lets just stick to the breakouts of the highs - around midday the SMA's are bullish, we've got higher highs and more importantly higher lows as price tracks sideways with a bullish slant = Buy the breakout

Regardless of what the DAILY TF showed us, this is a HIGH PROBABILITY set-up

We buy the price breakout of the BLUE line - when price moves like it did, its safe to trail a stop 2 BARS back or the SMA's (up to you)

The RED lines show where you could have put your stop (again its your choice)

Trade what you SEE, not what you think, because you have no clue what x million other traders are doing and you never will

As you can see this 1 trade made the required 2.3R on most of those stop placements apart from the widest one which produced a 1:1

Remember - If price is going UP, its going to form these types of formations most of the time, GUARANTEED and vice versa for shorting and price going down, as you can see in the middle of the night here in the UK gold reversed and set-up shorting opportunities - I didn't trade because I need the old beauty sleep and there's no-way I'm letting trading dictate my life, I shut up shop at 4.30pm and although I might occasionally trade past that time to monitor positions, there's no way on Earth I'm rising in the middle of the dead of night to make money - I'm most definitely NOT that type of person

Catch up later in the year - I am thinking of not trading at all next year, something that I'll decide whilst on my travels, which will mean that I won't be posting as much either, which I'm sure some of you will be very thankful of LOL

For those that read the thread - Thanks for reading & and safe trading

 

[THT]

Not sure that I've shared this here before - This shows a perfect balancing of price and time - whether it materialises is another thing, but "IF" price is hovering close to the assumed level around the time, then a top could be formed

Ignore the lines apart from the PINK rising angle AND the RED horizontal line - Notice the Intersection of P&T on that DATE

That is a perfect balance of the 44.7% fall from 2011 (44.7 is the INVERSE of 2.236 and 2.236 is the Sq root of 5)

This is GOLD

PS this chart is a screen shot from the SUMMER - its NOT up to date

 

[Almarok]

If it is helpful, in this video Andrea Unger (4-time World Trading Champion) demonstrates that in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, starting in 1920, if the first 6 months of the year are up, they will be up in the second half of the year, and in this article describing the same topic, it is reported that the success rate is 75%:

Dow Jones: Come usare le performance dei primi sei mesi del 2024 per fare Trading nella seconda parte dell’anno – Analisi tecnica e trading system

The Dow Jones strategy tested over 100 years of history you should know!

 

[THT]

If it is helpful, in this video Andrea Unger (4-time World Trading Champion) demonstrates that in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, starting in 1920, if the first 6 months of the year are up, they will be up in the second half of the year, and in this article describing the same topic, it is reported that the success rate is 75%:

Dow Jones: Come usare le performance dei primi sei mesi del 2024 per fare Trading nella seconda parte dell’anno – Analisi tecnica e trading system

The Dow Jones strategy tested over 100 years of history you should know!

Interesting stats

Stock market almanac run stats on their 6 month MACD Oct-Apr buy and hold strategy which out-performs the market or most USA markets, its not that great on the SP500 for some reason

The way I trade and Invest doesn't rely on these types of stats - but its interesting to add to the memory bank