lurkerlurker
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LL,
I get the feeling you are too tight with money. Not saying you are stingy or anything but you need to have a little bit money and excellent money management system + DISCIPLINE. However, you've got the have some money and be a little riskay with it.
I wouldn't go into a trade and then take 1 pip or 5 pip profits. (Unless it's FX 1min trades I know some people do it). In this game especially if you are a starter learning the ropes. That is bad strategy imo. You give 5 pips to your broker and take 1 pip and sweat for your self. Doesn't add up.
Here is a potential money management program for you - ( Just an idea )
Put £1K in there for starters. This should be money you lose. Consider it history. Why have you taken your £240 out of CMC. Is it 5% interest on 240 really worth the fuss. This tells me a lot about your psychology and whilst it's good to value money - on my approach given you want to trade it's very tight. Too tight.
I transferred the funds because even if I were to find the perfect system tomorrow, I couldn't rely on myself to implement it. I need about 1 week break from real trading, maybe more, in order to put my losses behind me. The losses have come thick and fast the last week, so I need time off from live trading. Furthermore, it will most likely take me 2 weeks to devise a system I would risk capital on. Inflation is 3%. Why leave £240 in an account at zero growth? A withdrawal request takes three lines of typing. A deposit is the same. Even if that money spends 10 days in my bank, it is earning more interest there than zero.
When you go into battle you must first prepare your self to die. Then you truly start living. You can't expect to hunt and not be hunted. It's all about pscyhology. You want to win a lot but not lose at all. Don't mean to sound arrogant but that's purely me and my approach. Fear of losing money will hold you back from making it. Also the thought of having lost it will wreck you for future trades if you are chasing what's no longer yours etc etc. It discolours judgement.
Anyhow,
Risk 2% - 20pt limits should give you 50 plays on your £1000. ( I think 10 pts is too small and 30 pts for your capital may be too much - but it's your call. 20pts is just my rec)
This means at two bets a day should give you 1 months capital assuming you don't make any money and all your trades are losses. I must confess most people take years of trying and learning and hence you can understand people losing £000s of pounds at say £1000 p/month pop.
You must know what is the cost of your actions before you commit your self.
Expect and be ready for worst possible outcome. In one months time you will have lost £1000 on these risk margin of 2%. Once you come to terms with that you can start to trade.
When I fix up a system which works on paper, I guess I could absorb another thousand trying to trade it.
I'm assuming if 50% of your calls are right you should make some pips. Remember markets can go up or down. Two choices. If you don't stick to your plan ( as we all don't sometimes ) market moves sideways and you get whipsawed well you'll be out quicker than a month. I'd guess you should have 2 months training to get up to speed.
This was a setup sent to me by t2w blogger 'CYOF'. Really great helpful guy. It's called system expectancy. On a spread sheet put all your trades - losses - wins and amount etc.
ie Average Win / Loss / Number of trades.
AW = 10.79
AL = -5.14
W% = 51%
L% = 49%
T = 400.00
Expectancy= 232.24
This will tell you how much your average loss and wins are as well as number of trades.
Everyday end of day update these. You can see immediately if your Wins are > Losses.
Obviously if these stats aren't going in the right direction you need to address your system or actions - as you are doing. But you must know this informtion.
You'll have a weekly factual report on your trading.
1 You need to ensure AW rise.
2 ALosses fall.
3. Your Win / Lose % ratio moves positive.
There are people out there who win 30 - 40 calls and lose 70 - 60 % of their bets and still win over all because they let their winners run and cut their losses early. ( I'm still trying to master this one ).
I used to do that at end of week. I don't know why I stopped. Perhaps when I started having losing weeks!
Finally, I feel guilty in that when too many people give you too much advice and perhaps some conflicting or contradcitory you may get over loaded. At the end of the day do what you think is right for you. What works. What yyou feel happy doing.
There is a lot of information to absorb, but knowledge is power. The differences of opinion are quite interesting also. One person thinks I should stop this as "futures trading isn't for everyone". Another thinks I should ignore trading for a week (without saying why), and you think I should commit another grand to this.
Interesting probabilities.
I think I should put the £240 back when I have a system with positive expectancy on paper. That gives me 7 bad trades. That is at least a week at 1 trade per day. If I lose £20 a day consistently for 7 days, adding more capital won't help in the short term. If that happens, then I need to go back to the drawing board before committing even more capital. Which means more paper trading, and more psychology work.
Thanks for the advice though - it is likely I will need another thousand or so before I can start turning a profit.