ok.... here is my quid in the pot.....
Trading is all about time scale and respectable money management if you ask me (and STICKING with the way YOU want to trade and modifying it accordingly....... we aint all the same after all.... are we??)
I KNOW quite a few traders (they are paid v.well for doing it) and they go 2 years with negative p&l sometimes... they then either get canned or turn it around...... people on here seem to think that they can just start punting away with their "strategy" (usually a copy of someone else's who took years to get there) and expect the money to start rolling in (mates of mates do it all the time).... the old dogs tell them....... "it aint that easy, dont rush it, just be patient, learn/read/study/PERSEVERE"... "no, no, i am fking gifted mate... i am going to rinse it"..... what happens? a couple of winners or even a few months of winners, selling oil / ftse when it is falling daily and you hear this.... "mate, i've made a fortune, i knew i was special"..... a month later....... "mate, i blew it all, oil just couldnt go below 50dollars so i put on 200 quid a tick and dropped my mother down the ****ter".. sound familiar?
..... i reckon, that if you apply what you have read/been taught/worked at, you can make respectable money, but it takes PERSA-***ING-VERANCE!!!! You might then be able to make 10% - 20%....... and dont come back saying, i turned 2grand into 4grand...... bla bla bla. Convert your 2grand into what it really traded for you, then do the math.
The markets really do kill those that are greedy. All the traders I know that make money (some not every year) just keep pluggin away. Chipping that block down. Trading is for the mature in mind and serious in nature. I have many examples. One of the best i know..... i was mentored by a guy... he was churning money on a daily basis trading forward interest rate swaps. One day, after 3yrs of returns, it stopped working (give or take a month or 2 to figure it out) ...... what did he do? He sat back, thought about it, (he beat kasparov at chess when young and is now in top 10 uk poker player) and started all over again, dropped the strategy that didnt work anymore and worked out a new one, just for him, put it in play, kept his job and is still makign money today. That is a TRADER.
Another guy i know, had guaranteeed bonuses fallign out of his a-hole. Came to a bank, punted the eurodollar curve (and everything else), made reasonable money, left, set up a hedge fund and dropped a massive bollok. But again, what has he done? started again, taking teh gains he had made and pocketed them.........
What else..... ow yeah,...... where i work now, there are 40 or so traders..... some are DOWN ON THE YEAR...... it is ok guys..... you can be down on the year..... next year, they will still be here and coz they persevere and are learning all the time, will probably rinse it. They are mature, long in the tooth, seen it all before types...... YOU DONT MAKE MONEY EVERY YEAR....... but just persevere...... manage what money you have and one day, it might pay off.... and when it does POCKET SOME OF IT, ....... SERIOUSLY....... POCKET A % OF YOUR GAINS..... IT'S FKING CRUCIAL..
so jt..... you love trading..... right? keep at it my man, just keep at it. It doesnt take months to become a trader, it takes years, lots of'em (talking to everyone when i say this). And if your "strategy" starts to fall apart..... re-evaluate, re-evaluate and tinker with.... ignore other peoples strategy, your mind will develop a strategy that suits you!!!! That is why the "trader_dantes's" and "options" and "hoggums" of t2w do ok..... IT IS THEIR STRATEGY. IT AINT YOURS, AND IT PROBABLY WONT WORK FOR YOU!! SERIOUSLY. YOU ARE NOT HIM. YOU DO NOT THINK THE SAME.
Make a strategy YOURS.
I dont know any traders that buy / sell at the same time. NOT ONE.
Big rant. Any questions welcome.
And to answer the question........ consistent profits? Sure, everyone can have a period of consistent profits....... but consistent profits into infinity??? Not likely.
PS. Got a question for you? Why do 90% (or whateva) need not apply?
It's like the marines...... they dont have the minerals.
Of those guys i speak of above.... they do the following.......
they are waiting for the markets at 6.30-7am.... EVERY DAY
they work til 9pm at night..... EVERY DAY
they dont look for the quick buck....
and they do that YEAR IN, YEAR OUT. How dedicated are you?
so.... if you have never been dedicated to something.. sport, womanising, man-ising and done well at it..... it is unlikely you have the correct attitude to make money trading. You do need to be obsessive/passsionate/facsinated....... coz the guys on the other side of the market are.