babymonkey
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1.2975 looks like a good place for a stop to me. Good luck Leia!
Re: EUR USD short (counter trend)
T3 (trailing stop) taken out @ 1.29 75 (+115 pips: R=3)
net risk 40*3 = -120pips
net reward +40, + 190 + 115 = +345pips. final R = 2.8
T3 (trailing stop) taken out @ 1.29 75 (+115 pips: R=3)
net risk 40*3 = -120pips
net reward +40, + 190 + 115 = +345pips. final R = 2.8
Attachments
GBP CHF short
daily trend is down (4H is up!)
price has however indicated on the 4H chart (price action candle formation is 'shooting star-esque') a rejection of higher prices at this time
the level co-insides with the last daily high, and may represent the beginning of a daily channel between 1.48 20 to 1.50 50
I have placed an order to short @ 1.49 85, stop 1.50 65 (risk -85pips), split into two parts
T1 @ R1 = 1.49 00
T2 = recent daily (channel) low 1.48 25 (R=1.7)
daily trend is down (4H is up!)
price has however indicated on the 4H chart (price action candle formation is 'shooting star-esque') a rejection of higher prices at this time
the level co-insides with the last daily high, and may represent the beginning of a daily channel between 1.48 20 to 1.50 50
I have placed an order to short @ 1.49 85, stop 1.50 65 (risk -85pips), split into two parts
T1 @ R1 = 1.49 00
T2 = recent daily (channel) low 1.48 25 (R=1.7)
Attachments
Re: GBP CHF short
Order has opened and price has seen 1. 49 45 (+40)
The 4hour time-frame has a clear resistance level @ 1. 50 35, which I am moving my stop to, reducing my level of risk by 30 pips
Order has opened and price has seen 1. 49 45 (+40)
The 4hour time-frame has a clear resistance level @ 1. 50 35, which I am moving my stop to, reducing my level of risk by 30 pips
Attachments
Re: GBP CHF short
To protect my capital I have moved my stop to breakeven @ 1.49 85, despite not quite achieving R1
Price has moved to within 10pips of my initial target (1.49 10 +75pips) and then moved higher
To protect my capital I have moved my stop to breakeven @ 1.49 85, despite not quite achieving R1
Attachments
EUR AUD short
daily and 4H indicators are short
price has retraced 50% of last weeks (4H) down move and the last two 4H candles indicate rejection of higher prices at this time (stuck between 20 an d50 ma's dynamic resistance, 50sma is acting as resistance)
I have therefore placed a sell order if price goes to 1.23 70, with a stop above these highs at 1.24 10 (risk 40pips)
My three targets are
T1 = R1 =+40pips @ 1.23 30
T2 = recent lows @ 1.22 85 (+85pips or R2, if seen)
T3 = trailing stop or 1.21 60 (first of these to be hit)
daily and 4H indicators are short
price has retraced 50% of last weeks (4H) down move and the last two 4H candles indicate rejection of higher prices at this time (stuck between 20 an d50 ma's dynamic resistance, 50sma is acting as resistance)
I have therefore placed a sell order if price goes to 1.23 70, with a stop above these highs at 1.24 10 (risk 40pips)
My three targets are
T1 = R1 =+40pips @ 1.23 30
T2 = recent lows @ 1.22 85 (+85pips or R2, if seen)
T3 = trailing stop or 1.21 60 (first of these to be hit)
Attachments
Attachments
Attachments
Re: GBP CHF short
Price has broken lower and whilst not a swing high, I see 1.49 60 as a robust 4H resistance level that I am moving my stop on my remaining position to (+25pips)
Price has broken lower and whilst not a swing high, I see 1.49 60 as a robust 4H resistance level that I am moving my stop on my remaining position to (+25pips)
Attachments
Re: EUR AUD short
Both my time-frame trend indicators remain short and the 4hourly chart has printed a number of consecutive bars indicating rejection of higher prices at this time
I have placed a new order to short this pair at 1.24 10 with a stop at 1.24 45 (risk 35pips) and three potential take profit targets of
R1 = +35pips @ 1.23 75
T2 @ 1.23 30 (+80pips = R2)
and a trialing stop on the third part
(although price has dipped below my entry level on the present 'live' 4 hour candle bar, this occurred before I placed my order, so at the moment I am not in this position)
Both my time-frame trend indicators remain short and the 4hourly chart has printed a number of consecutive bars indicating rejection of higher prices at this time
I have placed a new order to short this pair at 1.24 10 with a stop at 1.24 45 (risk 35pips) and three potential take profit targets of
R1 = +35pips @ 1.23 75
T2 @ 1.23 30 (+80pips = R2)
and a trialing stop on the third part
(although price has dipped below my entry level on the present 'live' 4 hour candle bar, this occurred before I placed my order, so at the moment I am not in this position)
Attachments
Re: EUR AUD short
Pipped in and stopped out. This pair is obviously not going to turn around at this level after all!
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Re: GBP CHF short
trailing stop to 4H swing high of 1.49 25, locking in 60pips on this second part of the trade
Attachments
Re: GBP CHF short
T2 achieved and both positions closed out.
Whilst not the best of risk:reward set ups (only 160 pips reward for -85 pips risk, which is less than R=2, further diluted as I took half the position off at R1, so its really (+160 +85) / 2 = 122 pips reward for 85 risk, R = 1.4) it was an obvious trigger on the daily chart at a confluent level and worth the low R
Further once triggered I very quickly reduced the risk (by moving the stop) to 1.50 40, risk of 55pips, making the 122 reward acceptable R=2)
T2 achieved and both positions closed out.
Whilst not the best of risk:reward set ups (only 160 pips reward for -85 pips risk, which is less than R=2, further diluted as I took half the position off at R1, so its really (+160 +85) / 2 = 122 pips reward for 85 risk, R = 1.4) it was an obvious trigger on the daily chart at a confluent level and worth the low R
Further once triggered I very quickly reduced the risk (by moving the stop) to 1.50 40, risk of 55pips, making the 122 reward acceptable R=2)
Attachments
watch list for week commencing December 17th
20 pairs are aligned on the 4 hour and daily time-frames this weekend. Due to the success of the EUR USD (post #595)and GPB CHF (post #603) counter trend trades, I am adding to some of the pair forecasts a 'level of interest' for counter trend trades too:
long EUR USD need 4h Sw Hi (CT @ 1.31 80)
long GBP USD need 4h Sw Hi (CT 1.61 80 / 1.62 16 / 1.63 00)
long AUD USD 1.05 20
long USD JPY 82.80
short USD CAD 0.98 75 / 0.99 00
long EUR GBP 0.80 95 (CT 0.81 50)
short EUR NZD (CT 1.55 30 (1.54 40) 1.58 00)
long EUR JPY 108.00
long EUR CAD need 4h Sw hi
short GBP CHF (CT 1.48 20)
short GBP NZD 1.92 15 / 1.93 50
long CAD JPY 83.80
long AUD JPY 87.80
long NZD JPY 69.60
long GPB JPY 133.00
long CHF JPY 89.40
long NZD CAD need 4h Sw Hi
short CAD CHF need 4h Sw Lo
long NZD CHF (CT 0.77 80 / 0.76 60)
short AUD NZD 1.25 60
all of the JPY pairs have strong trends, which if they retrace could provide a high number of different opportunities to join the overall trend (up)
20 pairs are aligned on the 4 hour and daily time-frames this weekend. Due to the success of the EUR USD (post #595)and GPB CHF (post #603) counter trend trades, I am adding to some of the pair forecasts a 'level of interest' for counter trend trades too:
long EUR USD need 4h Sw Hi (CT @ 1.31 80)
long GBP USD need 4h Sw Hi (CT 1.61 80 / 1.62 16 / 1.63 00)
long AUD USD 1.05 20
long USD JPY 82.80
short USD CAD 0.98 75 / 0.99 00
long EUR GBP 0.80 95 (CT 0.81 50)
short EUR NZD (CT 1.55 30 (1.54 40) 1.58 00)
long EUR JPY 108.00
long EUR CAD need 4h Sw hi
short GBP CHF (CT 1.48 20)
short GBP NZD 1.92 15 / 1.93 50
long CAD JPY 83.80
long AUD JPY 87.80
long NZD JPY 69.60
long GPB JPY 133.00
long CHF JPY 89.40
long NZD CAD need 4h Sw Hi
short CAD CHF need 4h Sw Lo
long NZD CHF (CT 0.77 80 / 0.76 60)
short AUD NZD 1.25 60
all of the JPY pairs have strong trends, which if they retrace could provide a high number of different opportunities to join the overall trend (up)
Attachments
USD CHF long
daily indicators are short, 4 hour long
price has reached a daily Support / Resistance level and printed a daily rejection candle (hammer formation)
Due to the size of this candle I have placed an order short at the 50% candle re-tracement level at 0.91 35, with a -65 risk stop loss at 0.90 70
three targets are R1 = +65pips@ 0.92 00
prev SR @ 0.93 80 (+245 pips, R=4)
trailig stop (or 0.95 00 if seen)
daily indicators are short, 4 hour long
price has reached a daily Support / Resistance level and printed a daily rejection candle (hammer formation)
Due to the size of this candle I have placed an order short at the 50% candle re-tracement level at 0.91 35, with a -65 risk stop loss at 0.90 70
three targets are R1 = +65pips@ 0.92 00
prev SR @ 0.93 80 (+245 pips, R=4)
trailig stop (or 0.95 00 if seen)
Attachments
eur short
the eur usd is at significant (weekly) support resistance level and has been consolidating throughout the festive period
If price moves towards the highs again and prints a 4 hour or daily 'short' trigger candle I will enter short with a stop just above the recent highs and psychological 'round number'
As usual three targets will be used, the first at R-1, second at the recent daily swing low and the third will be a trailing stop (or weekly Support / Resistance level)
the eur usd is at significant (weekly) support resistance level and has been consolidating throughout the festive period
If price moves towards the highs again and prints a 4 hour or daily 'short' trigger candle I will enter short with a stop just above the recent highs and psychological 'round number'
As usual three targets will be used, the first at R-1, second at the recent daily swing low and the third will be a trailing stop (or weekly Support / Resistance level)
Attachments
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eur usd weekly [email protected] -
eur usd daily.gif -
eur usd short trigger.gif
Re: eur short
Order opened and first two targets achieved
trailing stop moved down two times (ahead of Friday pms NFP, which may reverse recent trend)
Order opened and first two targets achieved
trailing stop moved down two times (ahead of Friday pms NFP, which may reverse recent trend)
Attachments
eur gbp long
weekly and daily trend is up
price has reversed (steeply) and printed a four hour trigger
I have placed an order long in two parts. The first target is R1 and the second a return to the recent daily highs
I am aware of NFP later today and the fact that price has not moved all the way down to the ascending trendline, to thoroughly test and reject it (ie we may now be in a down move)
weekly and daily trend is up
price has reversed (steeply) and printed a four hour trigger
I have placed an order long in two parts. The first target is R1 and the second a return to the recent daily highs
I am aware of NFP later today and the fact that price has not moved all the way down to the ascending trendline, to thoroughly test and reject it (ie we may now be in a down move)
