1) time is 15.00 to 20.00 CET 1) it's your first discretionary trade today (you can't trade discretionary outside this system)
2) your entry and your take profit are >=10 ticks away from any pivot lines
3) you've looked at "correlated" chart (3 months to 1 hour): can't go long/short if most correlated markets are heavily overbough/oversold
4) the 225-period ma is in favor by > 10 ticks
5) the 15-period ma gets crossed by price (in favor) after being on the other side >= 4 minutes
Ok, here it goes: I am getting my 4 minutes above the fast moving average. But let's hope it's not the first 4 minutes of a huge rise, because I will take the next bearish crossover as a SHORT signal.
Not good: this rise on the CL is too big and it could be the start of the long awaited uptrend. Small on the ES, because it's been up all day. Small on the GBP which is good for a SHORT.