MMA
mma said:
* 'Market Wizards' in early 1990 . It's a great book but NONE of the people claim to have made it with $1000 from their own pocket *
Patently false . You need to re read the book.
New Market Wizards - Randy McKay in his first year turned $2,000
into $70,000 ( p75 ) . THAT'S 35 x HIS START UP.
So it's utter nonsense to suggest that this cannot be done . Clearly it can, otherwise it would NOT have spawned 3 MW books.
I'm happy to debate this, do you want to get your copy out?
Randy McKay is featured in 'The New Market Wizards' first published in the US in 1992, not the original 'Market Wizards'. I have a first edition again bought at relatively great expense as an import.
In my copy on p74 (not 75) it does indeed say he managed to 'parlay an initial $2,000 stake into $70,000 in his first calendar year'. I don't doubt at all he did this and I bet many others in his situation did the same. But that is the 'headline grabbing' figure, have YOU read further?
Firstly this is in 1972, what do you think the equivalent of $2000 is in today's money? Well over $10,000. (close to $20k?)
Secondly - he was lent $5000 by his brother (p81) of which he put $3000 away to live on i.e. he didn't have to live off any profits.
Thirdly - he had the use of a FREE seat on the IMM (also p81) how much do you think that would be worth now? i.e. he had zero daily running costs.
Fourthly - He was in at the EARLY days of a FLOOR exchange. A BIG BIG double bonus. 99%+ of floor traders on liffe made money because they could see the flows and rip off the 'paper'. (hope you know what i mean by paper here). Is it any wonder they complained so much when it switched to electronic trading?
P82 - "It's amazing that you could have made so much.........[reply] It is. Part of the reason is that the price inefficiencies were very great in those days because of the tremendous amount of ignorance..."
i.e. they made bid/offer spreads to drive a truck through and they could always be on the right side of it. Shooting fish in a barrel.
Fifthly(?) - P85: "One of my goals was to become a larger trader as quickly as possible, because I felt the business was just too damn easy and that it couldn't possibly last forever. Fortunately I had that insight, because trading is much more difficult now than it was then". P86: " Trading has not only become much harder, but it has changed......timing was not that critical. Now it's no longer sufficient to assume that because you trade with the trend, you'll make money". Said in 1991 and I bet a million he'd say it is even more difficult in 2003.
Sixth - He describes on p83 to p85 getting lucky with one massive trade that propelled him in one go into the really big league. Nothing wrong with that, you make your own luck in this game. (but do markets move like that now?)
Seventh - A MAJOR one this, back on bottom P74: "This pattern of steadily increasing annual gains was broken when McKay decided to switch from trading on the floor to trading at home". i.e. despite his millions and many years experience for a year or so he had great difficulty trading from home.
So, to address your point also DAXTRADER, if more people had well over $10k AND access to an inefficient pit there would be alot more small-to-large trader success stories today.
Maybe you need to re-read that book mma?