Intraday Trading the Forex market to make consistent profit

yes. i see your two arrows highlight confluence of dy and in res, with an encouraging lr set

Hi MM,

I found this thread last night and just finished it today. It's great to see your progress! Can you elaborate on what dy stand for?

Thanks

J
 
Hi MM,

I found this thread last night and just finished it today. It's great to see your progress! Can you elaborate on what dy stand for?

Thanks

J

sorry yes dynamic,ie a s/r line that changes level with time, perhaps showing a mean that price may temporarily revert to, ie retest
 

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Forexmospherian, you mentioned earlier in this thread that you adjust your LRs accordingly and dynamically depending on how the robots act in the markets. Would you mind shedding some light about how you change the values on the Lrs and how you know when to change them?

Looking forward for your reply :)
 
Forexmospherian, you mentioned earlier in this thread that you adjust your LRs accordingly and dynamically depending on how the robots act in the markets. Would you mind shedding some light about how you change the values on the Lrs and how you know when to change them?

Looking forward for your reply :)

Hi drammen

You are correct on one part - I do fine tunes some of my 9 LRs according to market conditions and also according to different broker platforms.

One part of my method depends on what I call key times and time windows. For maybe 80% of the time there are six key times every hour and 2 main time windows. These seem to be connected to automated transactions - whether by liquidity providers or even HFT players etc - but they are common . At some periods of the week or trading months - times change and therefore if I notice over the last 2-4 hrs my faster Lrs are not lining up with the sudden changes in direction on tick charts and the one minute chart - I will fine tune the setting ie I might take a 60 setting down to 52 or up to 75 etc.

I rarely play around with the longer Lrs - but they need setting changes of over 50 and in some cases over 100 to see a difference.

Different broker platform charts may need different setting as well - I have noticed this more with members here who have shared their charts - like Major Magnum etc who maybe using LRs at 3 or 4 different brokers as found certain setting working better with certain brokers.

Many might say - its just curve fitting - but if you are short term intraday and trading more in the "now" - you can use the last hours movements as a guide to how accurate your LR settings are. Obviously in real slow periods in tight ranges with real noise of just 2- 4 pip movements - then you cannot fine tune the set up as well as you can say 8am to 9 30 am or 2 30 pm to 4 00 pm UK times - ie key busy periods .

Hope this helps and please feel free to share any of your sets ups for me to check out etc etc

Good Trading

Regards


F
 
Hi F, I just recently started studying your thread. I think it's great and I really appreciate you giving us your time to share you system. Your logic make perfect sense to me. I have gone through about 10% of your thread, but there is some terminology I'm not familiar with. So at the risk of sounding ignorant, I have a few questions.

1) Can you tell me what "PA" and "Coalface" mean?

2) What are you referencing with "Time window"?

3) LR2, are you referring to Linear Regression?

A) Is there anything wrong with setting a 5-7 pip hard stop, just in case I'm not true to myself, and hesitate getting out?

B) The platform I'm on is MT4. I don't think I can close 70% of a trade and let 30% ride. or use a tick chart?

Thanks,
Rockford
 
Hi F, I just recently started studying your thread. I think it's great and I really appreciate you giving us your time to share you system. Your logic make perfect sense to me. I have gone through about 10% of your thread, but there is some terminology I'm not familiar with. So at the risk of sounding ignorant, I have a few questions.

1) Can you tell me what "PA" and "Coalface" mean?

2) What are you referencing with "Time window"?

3) LR2, are you referring to Linear Regression?

A) Is there anything wrong with setting a 5-7 pip hard stop, just in case I'm not true to myself, and hesitate getting out?

B) The platform I'm on is MT4. I don't think I can close 70% of a trade and let 30% ride. or use a tick chart?

Thanks,
Rockford

Hi Rockford

1) PA - price action - ie movements of candles / bars etc etc higher highs and higher lows or opposites for down - "coalface" - tick charts and one minute chart movements - every new moves as a beginning - that start is found best by drilling down to a tick / 1 min chart

2)Time windows - ie 9 mins either side of the 30 min and 60 min frame changes - 80% + of all my trades start in TW's

3) Yes - LR's are linear regression indicator - normal setting 14 - I use as low as 2 on special platform and normally from 15 to 700

4) Unless you are really experienced to try and catch new trades on a 5 / 7 pips stop is very difficult - ie riding a unicycle and juggling 3 balls etc. Start with say 8 -12 pip stops and the work on your timings etc. The more experienced and skilled you become - its possible on some pairs with just 0 5 pip spreads to have stops at 3 pips - ie super tight and then a 13 pip move can be a RR of 3 or 4 and on 1% stake thats a great return in say 5 -15 mins

Personally I dont recommend MT4 platforms

Yes they are great for adding lots of EA 's etc etc and flashing lights etc etc - but best charts I know cost money from $100 to 200 a month . However Ctrader and Dukoscopy charts are fairly good

Please remember my method is fairly complex and ideally you need to be of at least an intermediary level with 12 -18 months of trading experience behind you before really attempting to take it on

It can take 4 -9 months to get to a competent level using it - but I am happy to help traders who want to try it out and know more

Good Trading


Regards


F
 
Trading in uncertain times and alternative methods to safe guard you

After the events of January 15th - and a massive 3000 / 3500 pip drop on the Swissy many traders have become very worried - especially when they hear from others that besides losing their Capital - they can actually owe the Brokers additional 10's of thousands etc etc.

How do you safeguard yourself when you are Forex trading from these occasional Black Swan event ??

First of all check out the charts on the main pairs you trade - and go back 10 -20 - even 30 yrs . A 3000+ pip move in under an hour is really very rare.

Yes - you can have 150 - 300 pip quick drops in 20 mins etc with sudden unexpected world events - and yes you can have pairs move 500 -1000 + pips on a total day - but with those occasions you do have time to exit or get out of your bad positions.

Events like January 15th - might happen again in next year or two - or never happen again for 15 or 30 yrs - thats really the unknown etc.

First thing - does your broker have a negative balance cover - and will not chase you if you get wiped out. Both my brokers do - Dukascopy and Fxpro .

If they are proper ECN brokers they cannot offer you guaranteed stops - as it outside their control from what I understand - its only on market maker spread betting brokers who use their own books etc that maybe can do that - and i dont know if any offer a negative balance guarantee - worth checking out.

However there are other ways - especially once you become experienced and understand your own method - inside out and have done a complete SWOT analysis on it .

For me - I no longer play with a $150 -200k account of pre 2009 / 10.

Nowadays I have 2 broker accounts with the maximum in either of $70k and withdraw monies very regularly via bacs - I am not interested in compounding from my normal 2 - 10 lots max up to 25 or 50 lots - as I did that back over 5 years ago - and it did my head in - and I realised I could not hack it using my own funds.

I dont mind losing say $300 on a scalp - even $500 is acceptable - but the idea of $1500 or $2k down in drain in 2 - 10 mins - well unsettled me. Ok It was my financial wall - On the good side i might have a lot larger wins - ie $3k or even $5k on a good scalp - - but I was scared - and I am being honest - and in those days I did not know all I know today.

So normally I might scalp on up to 6 lots and leave 2 lots a pip on 30% stakes

2 lots ie $20 a pip is really like 0.2 % of my capital and 6 lots still under 1%

But in real cash terms on a 7 pip stop I could lose over $400 - that's my downside on average when I trade .

If I had have been caught in the UChf or EChf - I would have had anything from say $45 to 70k - a lot of money ( remember negative balance guarantee so no worry of losing more than my capital).

Now that's a lot of money - but in relative terms its only 10 good weeks to maximum 4 months of trading profits - hardly the end of my world - but still not an event you want.

Ok - what can you do to safe guard you capital if you are full time and working with capital over $50k +.?

Well according to my own records and stats - and I do have loads from the approx 7 yrs full time - on bad periods I only average over 62% win ratio on batches of 100 trades and in good periods up to 87 wins on 100 trades.

Lets average it low at say 65% then

I have had 7 consecutive loses ages ago but nowadays it rare to have over 5 in a row - and most of them might only be with only minus 2 or 3 pips not 5 or 7 pips.

I would stop for the day if I had 6 consecutive losses before say Midday and do a major review - I accept 1 and 2 - dont like 3 in a row - normally have an hour off and come back in another period after news etc.

So with those stats - based on multi thousands of live trades - why do I only risk under normally 1% of capital - ???

Exactly - I am in charge of my own destiny and I always look and think outside the box.

So if I am prepared to lose up to say $400 on a bad trade - although normally I try and keep it under $250 - lets say thats my stake size limit ie max 5 lots

Now I can trade 5 lots on a lot less capital - but I dont want it being say 10 or 15% of my capital at my brokers - its no problem really when you know your downside and your risk probability.

So if I just placed say $7k in a safe ECN broker - with negative balance guarantee thats might my maximum exposure.

I can easily trade on 3 or even 5 lots with tight stops - ie like I normally do

OK 7 bad trades will wipe out half the capital or more - but in real cash terms it still only a few thousands of loss - like say a total of 3 or 4% on my larger balance not now at the brokers

My daily target is 50 pips. Some days I struggle to make 50 pips - other days like this last Thursday and Friday - it was fairly easy on trades with stops in profit and nice rally's

Whats the difference - well my maximum exposure now need only be less than $10k on any day - even if we have bigger black swan event than we did on the 15th of January - I can live with that - and even take risks of trading on the hour and exact half hr time frames ;-)

Look forward to hearing other ideas - please don't do anything I do - unless you fully understand FX and all its risk etc.

Remember - I am a very experienced FX intraday trader - I dont make money selling courses or blogging - I make money trading - day in day out ;-)


Good Trading

Regards


F
 
After the events of January 15th - and a massive 3000 / 3500 pip drop on the Swissy many traders have become very worried - especially when they hear from others that besides losing their Capital - they can actually owe the Brokers additional 10's of thousands etc etc.

How do you safeguard yourself when you are Forex trading from these occasional Black Swan event ??

First of all check out the charts on the main pairs you trade - and go back 10 -20 - even 30 yrs . A 3000+ pip move in under an hour is really very rare.

Yes - you can have 150 - 300 pip quick drops in 20 mins etc with sudden unexpected world events - and yes you can have pairs move 500 -1000 + pips on a total day - but with those occasions you do have time to exit or get out of your bad positions.

Events like January 15th - might happen again in next year or two - or never happen again for 15 or 30 yrs - thats really the unknown etc.

First thing - does your broker have a negative balance cover - and will not chase you if you get wiped out. Both my brokers do - Dukascopy and Fxpro .

If they are proper ECN brokers they cannot offer you guaranteed stops - as it outside their control from what I understand - its only on market maker spread betting brokers who use their own books etc that maybe can do that - and i dont know if any offer a negative balance guarantee - worth checking out.

However there are other ways - especially once you become experienced and understand your own method - inside out and have done a complete SWOT analysis on it .

For me - I no longer play with a $150 -200k account of pre 2009 / 10.

Nowadays I have 2 broker accounts with the maximum in either of $70k and withdraw monies very regularly via bacs - I am not interested in compounding from my normal 2 - 10 lots max up to 25 or 50 lots - as I did that back over 5 years ago - and it did my head in - and I realised I could not hack it using my own funds.

I dont mind losing say $300 on a scalp - even $500 is acceptable - but the idea of $1500 or $2k down in drain in 2 - 10 mins - well unsettled me. Ok It was my financial wall - On the good side i might have a lot larger wins - ie $3k or even $5k on a good scalp - - but I was scared - and I am being honest - and in those days I did not know all I know today.

So normally I might scalp on up to 6 lots and leave 2 lots a pip on 30% stakes

2 lots ie $20 a pip is really like 0.2 % of my capital and 6 lots still under 1%

But in real cash terms on a 7 pip stop I could lose over $400 - that's my downside on average when I trade .

If I had have been caught in the UChf or EChf - I would have had anything from say $45 to 70k - a lot of money ( remember negative balance guarantee so no worry of losing more than my capital).

Now that's a lot of money - but in relative terms its only 10 good weeks to maximum 4 months of trading profits - hardly the end of my world - but still not an event you want.

Ok - what can you do to safe guard you capital if you are full time and working with capital over $50k +.?

Well according to my own records and stats - and I do have loads from the approx 7 yrs full time - on bad periods I only average over 62% win ratio on batches of 100 trades and in good periods up to 87 wins on 100 trades.

Lets average it low at say 65% then

I have had 7 consecutive loses ages ago but nowadays it rare to have over 5 in a row - and most of them might only be with only minus 2 or 3 pips not 5 or 7 pips.

I would stop for the day if I had 6 consecutive losses before say Midday and do a major review - I accept 1 and 2 - dont like 3 in a row - normally have an hour off and come back in another period after news etc.

So with those stats - based on multi thousands of live trades - why do I only risk under normally 1% of capital - ???

Exactly - I am in charge of my own destiny and I always look and think outside the box.

So if I am prepared to lose up to say $400 on a bad trade - although normally I try and keep it under $250 - lets say thats my stake size limit ie max 5 lots

Now I can trade 5 lots on a lot less capital - but I dont want it being say 10 or 15% of my capital at my brokers - its no problem really when you know your downside and your risk probability.

So if I just placed say $7k in a safe ECN broker - with negative balance guarantee thats might my maximum exposure.

I can easily trade on 3 or even 5 lots with tight stops - ie like I normally do

OK 7 bad trades will wipe out half the capital or more - but in real cash terms it still only a few thousands of loss - like say a total of 3 or 4% on my larger balance not now at the brokers

My daily target is 50 pips. Some days I struggle to make 50 pips - other days like this last Thursday and Friday - it was fairly easy on trades with stops in profit and nice rally's

Whats the difference - well my maximum exposure now need only be less than $10k on any day - even if we have bigger black swan event than we did on the 15th of January - I can live with that - and even take risks of trading on the hour and exact half hr time frames ;-)

Look forward to hearing other ideas - please don't do anything I do - unless you fully understand FX and all its risk etc.

Remember - I am a very experienced FX intraday trader - I dont make money selling courses or blogging - I make money trading - day in day out ;-)


Good Trading

Regards


F
You do know its ok if you blow your demo account ,you wont owe anything back ...just fill out the form and get another one
And dont you worry nobody here will do what you do ...they are to busy trading to be blogging all day
 
After the events of January 15th - and a massive 3000 / 3500 pip drop on the Swissy many traders have become very worried - especially when they hear from others that besides losing their Capital - they can actually owe the Brokers additional 10's of thousands etc etc.

How do you safeguard yourself when you are Forex trading from these occasional Black Swan event ??

First of all check out the charts on the main pairs you trade - and go back 10 -20 - even 30 yrs . A 3000+ pip move in under an hour is really very rare.

Yes - you can have 150 - 300 pip quick drops in 20 mins etc with sudden unexpected world events - and yes you can have pairs move 500 -1000 + pips on a total day - but with those occasions you do have time to exit or get out of your bad positions.

Events like January 15th - might happen again in next year or two - or never happen again for 15 or 30 yrs - thats really the unknown etc.

First thing - does your broker have a negative balance cover - and will not chase you if you get wiped out. Both my brokers do - Dukascopy and Fxpro .

If they are proper ECN brokers they cannot offer you guaranteed stops - as it outside their control from what I understand - its only on market maker spread betting brokers who use their own books etc that maybe can do that - and i dont know if any offer a negative balance guarantee - worth checking out.

However there are other ways - especially once you become experienced and understand your own method - inside out and have done a complete SWOT analysis on it .

For me - I no longer play with a $150 -200k account of pre 2009 / 10.

Nowadays I have 2 broker accounts with the maximum in either of $70k and withdraw monies very regularly via bacs - I am not interested in compounding from my normal 2 - 10 lots max up to 25 or 50 lots - as I did that back over 5 years ago - and it did my head in - and I realised I could not hack it using my own funds.

I dont mind losing say $300 on a scalp - even $500 is acceptable - but the idea of $1500 or $2k down in drain in 2 - 10 mins - well unsettled me. Ok It was my financial wall - On the good side i might have a lot larger wins - ie $3k or even $5k on a good scalp - - but I was scared - and I am being honest - and in those days I did not know all I know today.

So normally I might scalp on up to 6 lots and leave 2 lots a pip on 30% stakes

2 lots ie $20 a pip is really like 0.2 % of my capital and 6 lots still under 1%

But in real cash terms on a 7 pip stop I could lose over $400 - that's my downside on average when I trade .

If I had have been caught in the UChf or EChf - I would have had anything from say $45 to 70k - a lot of money ( remember negative balance guarantee so no worry of losing more than my capital).

Now that's a lot of money - but in relative terms its only 10 good weeks to maximum 4 months of trading profits - hardly the end of my world - but still not an event you want.

Ok - what can you do to safe guard you capital if you are full time and working with capital over $50k +.?

Well according to my own records and stats - and I do have loads from the approx 7 yrs full time - on bad periods I only average over 62% win ratio on batches of 100 trades and in good periods up to 87 wins on 100 trades.

Lets average it low at say 65% then

I have had 7 consecutive loses ages ago but nowadays it rare to have over 5 in a row - and most of them might only be with only minus 2 or 3 pips not 5 or 7 pips.

I would stop for the day if I had 6 consecutive losses before say Midday and do a major review - I accept 1 and 2 - dont like 3 in a row - normally have an hour off and come back in another period after news etc.

So with those stats - based on multi thousands of live trades - why do I only risk under normally 1% of capital - ???

Exactly - I am in charge of my own destiny and I always look and think outside the box.

So if I am prepared to lose up to say $400 on a bad trade - although normally I try and keep it under $250 - lets say thats my stake size limit ie max 5 lots

Now I can trade 5 lots on a lot less capital - but I dont want it being say 10 or 15% of my capital at my brokers - its no problem really when you know your downside and your risk probability.

So if I just placed say $7k in a safe ECN broker - with negative balance guarantee thats might my maximum exposure.

I can easily trade on 3 or even 5 lots with tight stops - ie like I normally do

OK 7 bad trades will wipe out half the capital or more - but in real cash terms it still only a few thousands of loss - like say a total of 3 or 4% on my larger balance not now at the brokers

My daily target is 50 pips. Some days I struggle to make 50 pips - other days like this last Thursday and Friday - it was fairly easy on trades with stops in profit and nice rally's

Whats the difference - well my maximum exposure now need only be less than $10k on any day - even if we have bigger black swan event than we did on the 15th of January - I can live with that - and even take risks of trading on the hour and exact half hr time frames ;-)

Look forward to hearing other ideas - please don't do anything I do - unless you fully understand FX and all its risk etc.

Remember - I am a very experienced FX intraday trader - I dont make money selling courses or blogging - I make money trading - day in day out ;-)


Good Trading

Regards


F

F

Thanks for the post about the negative balanced cover, I was not aware of it.....

I guess I need to check my term and conditions....

So what you saying is this: if we have $100000 in the account, and something like that happens, and we go under $300000, we will lose the 100000 and do not have to refund the broker with the remaining $200000, is that right?

I had the idea that if the funds were not available in the account the broker will automatically close the trade, it seems it is not the case.....need to do more search.

In your case what is the point to have all the $70000 in the account, would not be enough to have only 20% in the broker account and the rest in a saver platform?
to lose 20% you need to have 20 consecutive losses at 1% per trade, which is very unlikely .....for example in my case I had only 5 losing days in the last 20 trading days..... and even if I had 20 consecutive losing trades I would move another 20% from my saver platform....to me it make more sense this way....
 
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Hi Rockford

1) PA - price action - ie movements of candles / bars etc etc higher highs and higher lows or opposites for down - "coalface" - tick charts and one minute chart movements - every new moves as a beginning - that start is found best by drilling down to a tick / 1 min chart

2)Time windows - ie 9 mins either side of the 30 min and 60 min frame changes - 80% + of all my trades start in TW's

3) Yes - LR's are linear regression indicator - normal setting 14 - I use as low as 2 on special platform and normally from 15 to 700

4) Unless you are really experienced to try and catch new trades on a 5 / 7 pips stop is very difficult - ie riding a unicycle and juggling 3 balls etc. Start with say 8 -12 pip stops and the work on your timings etc. The more experienced and skilled you become - its possible on some pairs with just 0 5 pip spreads to have stops at 3 pips - ie super tight and then a 13 pip move can be a RR of 3 or 4 and on 1% stake thats a great return in say 5 -15 mins

Personally I dont recommend MT4 platforms

Yes they are great for adding lots of EA 's etc etc and flashing lights etc etc - but best charts I know cost money from $100 to 200 a month . However Ctrader and Dukoscopy charts are fairly good

Please remember my method is fairly complex and ideally you need to be of at least an intermediary level with 12 -18 months of trading experience behind you before really attempting to take it on

It can take 4 -9 months to get to a competent level using it - but I am happy to help traders who want to try it out and know more

Good Trading


Regards


F

Hi F, thanks for getting back with me.

1) Just so I understand, are you referring to "coalface" as a new beginning? ie a retrace to the 50% fib, then reversing?

2) Time window, that's very interesting. Do you feel that the time window is significant because that's when a lot of other traders are initiating trades?

3) Is there anywhere on your thread where you explain how you're using linear regression?

4) I have recently been using a 10 pip stop, and I've noticed if I make a point to enter on a pullback that most times I at least pick up the spread, and even if it's a loser entry, I don't get crushed.

I'm not big on indicators, the less I have to look at the better. Lately I've been using a strength meter. Do you use one?

Thanks,
Rockford

P.S. I may not agree with everything someone says, but it blows my mind how anyone would take time out of their day to to knock someone for attempting to help another. And, if trader isn't a scalper, why are they here reading your thread.
 
This negative balance protection may not work in black swan events like the SNB's , take for example FXCM :

"From FXCM's agreement :"you may not be responsible for debit balances directly resulting from trading activity, except in the case of a force majeure as detailed in Section 26.6; "


"26.6 Force majeure: Since we do not control signal power, its reception or routing via Internet, configuration of your equipment or reliability of its connections, we shall not be liable for any claims, losses, damages, costs or expenses, including attorney’s fees, caused directly or indirectly, by any breakdown or failure of any transmission or communication system or equipment or computer facility or trading software, whether belonging to us, our Affiliates, you, any market, or any settlement or clearing system when you trade online (via Internet) or for any cause preventing us from performing any or all our obligations, any act of God, war, terrorism, malicious damage, civil commotion, industrial acts, any Exceptional Market Event, or acts and regulations of any governmental or supra national bodies or authorities which in our opinion prevent an orderly market in relation to your Orders (a “Force Majeure Event”). Upon the occurrence of a Force Majeure Event, we shall use commercially reasonable efforts to resume performance and we may give you written notice. Upon occurrence of a Force Majeure Event, all of our obligations under these Terms of Business shall be immediately suspended for the duration of such Force Majeure Event. Additionally, we may take any one or more of the following steps:
(a)
alter normal trading times;
(b)
alter the Margin requirements;
(c)
amend or vary these Terms of Business and any Transaction contemplated by these Terms of Business,
insofar as it is impractical or impossible for us to comply with our obligations;
(d)
close any or all open Transactions, cancel instructions and orders as we deem to be appropriate in the circumstances; and/or
(e)
take or omit to take all such other actions as we deem to be reasonably appropriate in the circumstances having regard to the positions of yours, ours, and other customers."
 
http://forexmagnates.com/covered-brokers-forgive-negative-balance-following-chf-crisis/


Well FXPro and Dukascopy have no problem keeping to their promises - and so do many others on the list

It is important that you chose a ECN broker who advertises they features and as integrity.

Unfortunately FXCM and IG are just not to be trusted

So Fugazsy - yes find a good broker and then you can relax more.

I had back over $200k with GFT UK in 2009 / 10 - but realised I could not hack it above 20/ 25 lots - so had to change completely my plans and no longer compound etc etc

I dropped to approx $70k believing I would still at times uses 12 -15 lots per pip - but nowadays I prefer not to have sweaty palms and palpations - ( especially at my age ;-) ) and keep under 8 -10 lots maximum and then withdraw profits regularly.

You do get to a "comfort level stage" - I know mine and when I scalp on 4 -6 lot stakes I have the comfort of knowing I have taking many multi thousands of live trades at this level -and its still possible to earn an excellent monthly cash return - way above what I was earning in my peak in the business world

Regards


F
 
Hi F, thanks for getting back with me.

1) Just so I understand, are you referring to "coalface" as a new beginning? ie a retrace to the 50% fib, then reversing?

2) Time window, that's very interesting. Do you feel that the time window is significant because that's when a lot of other traders are initiating trades?

3) Is there anywhere on your thread where you explain how you're using linear regression?

4) I have recently been using a 10 pip stop, and I've noticed if I make a point to enter on a pullback that most times I at least pick up the spread, and even if it's a loser entry, I don't get crushed.

I'm not big on indicators, the less I have to look at the better. Lately I've been using a strength meter. Do you use one?

Thanks,
Rockford

P.S. I may not agree with everything someone says, but it blows my mind how anyone would take time out of their day to to knock someone for attempting to help another. And, if trader isn't a scalper, why are they here reading your thread.

Hi Rockford

On any forum there will always be traders who will disagree with everything others might say - and on this forum - there are loads of dissers and I suppose I am lucky that I dont have 100's of old time members on my back for some reason etc.

I can understand some traders who have spent thousands of pounds / dollars learning and getting no where and then taking 3-5 years of hard work to finally crack it - not wanting to give their secrets away to newer / intermediate type traders - as they think - why should they get a free leg up - let them go through another 2-4 years of hard study and ups and downs

I will answer you other questions a bit later on in the day - as its Sunday morning and I am out for a couple of hrs soon - but then back in for most of the day

Regards


F
 
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http://forexmagnates.com/covered-brokers-forgive-negative-balance-following-chf-crisis/


Well FXPro and Dukascopy have no problem keeping to their promises - and so do many others on the list

It is important that you chose a ECN broker who advertises they features and as integrity.

Unfortunately FXCM and IG are just not to be trusted

So Fugazsy - yes find a good broker and then you can relax more.

I had back over $200k with GFT UK in 2009 / 10 - but realised I could not hack it above 20/ 25 lots - so had to change completely my plans and no longer compound etc etc

I dropped to approx $70k believing I would still at times uses 12 -15 lots per pip - but nowadays I prefer not to have sweaty palms and palpations - ( especially at my age ;-) ) and keep under 8 -10 lots maximum and then withdraw profits regularly.

You do get to a "comfort level stage" - I know mine and when I scalp on 4 -6 lot stakes I have the comfort of knowing I have taking many multi thousands of live trades at this level -and its still possible to earn an excellent monthly cash return - way above what I was earning in my peak in the business world

Regards


F

F

yes but even in you case where you trade a percentage of 70K per trade, would it be better to have only 20% of that in the broker account and the rest into your bank account?
 
I knew you would come out on this F so thanks for publishing information that a lot of traders are interested in

I had withdrawn most of my cap from markets as I was focused 200% on a new job I had (had....not now !!)..............so on reflection I have been fortunate - like you I know of many friends who have lost money .......hopefully they may see some back .......but they cant trade now without risking more new capital.....

My wife is not impressed in me considering making a comeback........so I need to make some hard decisions .......it doesn't matter how damn good you are a trader if the bloody "bookmaker" you are using loses your damn money or freezes you out you have 100% of nothing ..and black swans are black swans.........no matter when they happen

I accept everything you are saying but I do need to think hard about this ...........my mental game has to be 100% committed to play .........

welcome hearing other peoples comments

N
 
Rockford..........relax and take it easy...........rome wasn't built in a day ........you have all the time in the world to become a good trader....and people like F will help you

N
 
After the events of January 15th - and a massive 3000 / 3500 pip drop on the Swissy many traders have become very worried - especially when they hear from others that besides losing their Capital - they can actually owe the Brokers additional 10's of thousands etc etc.

How do you safeguard yourself when you are Forex trading from these occasional Black Swan event ??

First of all check out the charts on the main pairs you trade - and go back 10 -20 - even 30 yrs . A 3000+ pip move in under an hour is really very rare.

Yes - you can have 150 - 300 pip quick drops in 20 mins etc with sudden unexpected world events - and yes you can have pairs move 500 -1000 + pips on a total day - but with those occasions you do have time to exit or get out of your bad positions.

Events like January 15th - might happen again in next year or two - or never happen again for 15 or 30 yrs - thats really the unknown etc.

First thing - does your broker have a negative balance cover - and will not chase you if you get wiped out. Both my brokers do - Dukascopy and Fxpro .

If they are proper ECN brokers they cannot offer you guaranteed stops - as it outside their control from what I understand - its only on market maker spread betting brokers who use their own books etc that maybe can do that - and i dont know if any offer a negative balance guarantee - worth checking out.

However there are other ways - especially once you become experienced and understand your own method - inside out and have done a complete SWOT analysis on it .

For me - I no longer play with a $150 -200k account of pre 2009 / 10.

Nowadays I have 2 broker accounts with the maximum in either of $70k and withdraw monies very regularly via bacs - I am not interested in compounding from my normal 2 - 10 lots max up to 25 or 50 lots - as I did that back over 5 years ago - and it did my head in - and I realised I could not hack it using my own funds.

I dont mind losing say $300 on a scalp - even $500 is acceptable - but the idea of $1500 or $2k down in drain in 2 - 10 mins - well unsettled me. Ok It was my financial wall - On the good side i might have a lot larger wins - ie $3k or even $5k on a good scalp - - but I was scared - and I am being honest - and in those days I did not know all I know today.

So normally I might scalp on up to 6 lots and leave 2 lots a pip on 30% stakes

2 lots ie $20 a pip is really like 0.2 % of my capital and 6 lots still under 1%

But in real cash terms on a 7 pip stop I could lose over $400 - that's my downside on average when I trade .

If I had have been caught in the UChf or EChf - I would have had anything from say $45 to 70k - a lot of money ( remember negative balance guarantee so no worry of losing more than my capital).

Now that's a lot of money - but in relative terms its only 10 good weeks to maximum 4 months of trading profits - hardly the end of my world - but still not an event you want.

Ok - what can you do to safe guard you capital if you are full time and working with capital over $50k +.?

Well according to my own records and stats - and I do have loads from the approx 7 yrs full time - on bad periods I only average over 62% win ratio on batches of 100 trades and in good periods up to 87 wins on 100 trades.

Lets average it low at say 65% then

I have had 7 consecutive loses ages ago but nowadays it rare to have over 5 in a row - and most of them might only be with only minus 2 or 3 pips not 5 or 7 pips.

I would stop for the day if I had 6 consecutive losses before say Midday and do a major review - I accept 1 and 2 - dont like 3 in a row - normally have an hour off and come back in another period after news etc.

So with those stats - based on multi thousands of live trades - why do I only risk under normally 1% of capital - ???

Exactly - I am in charge of my own destiny and I always look and think outside the box.

So if I am prepared to lose up to say $400 on a bad trade - although normally I try and keep it under $250 - lets say thats my stake size limit ie max 5 lots

Now I can trade 5 lots on a lot less capital - but I dont want it being say 10 or 15% of my capital at my brokers - its no problem really when you know your downside and your risk probability.

So if I just placed say $7k in a safe ECN broker - with negative balance guarantee thats might my maximum exposure.

I can easily trade on 3 or even 5 lots with tight stops - ie like I normally do

OK 7 bad trades will wipe out half the capital or more - but in real cash terms it still only a few thousands of loss - like say a total of 3 or 4% on my larger balance not now at the brokers

My daily target is 50 pips. Some days I struggle to make 50 pips - other days like this last Thursday and Friday - it was fairly easy on trades with stops in profit and nice rally's

Whats the difference - well my maximum exposure now need only be less than $10k on any day - even if we have bigger black swan event than we did on the 15th of January - I can live with that - and even take risks of trading on the hour and exact half hr time frames ;-)

Look forward to hearing other ideas - please don't do anything I do - unless you fully understand FX and all its risk etc.

Remember - I am a very experienced FX intraday trader - I dont make money selling courses or blogging - I make money trading - day in day out ;-)


Good Trading

Regards


F


F, why don't you trade the currencies futures then?


Regarding the ecn brokers I tested it myself with fxpro both ecn ctrader and mt4 non-Ecn.

It came out trading non ecn is cheaper, commission on ecn is higher than the spread on non ecn. Could you comment on this?
 
And dont you worry nobody here will do what you do ...they are to busy trading to be blogging all day[/QUOTE]

This is the type of myth put out by the Dumb and Dumber traders and I will explain why it shows they must be real novices - ie not been live trading for over 5 years +

Let's compare it to say driving a car.

When you first learn to drive - it can be both mind and energy sapping - ie concentrating and say 2 hrs of driving would make you feel tired.

After you passed your test and been driving a year or two - you have more confidence and can even multi task whilst you are in traffic and on the motorway - ie on a hand's fee phone - setting up your sat nav - changing radio stations / CD' / ipods etc etc as well as eating a sandwich and drinking a coffee and keeping an eye on speed camera's - ie multi tasking

Ok all that at the same time is not advisable and also can be illegal - but the point is what was tough and tiring - becomes easier and 4 -6 hr of driving are no longer tiring slogs - Ok maybe on the M25 - but not down from the south of France into Northern Italy - in fact very enjoyable.

After 5+ yrs plus of driving different cars - you actually can do all of the driving requirements - subconsciously - you dont have to concentrate so much - in fact you can drive say 5 miles and forget even covering the distance - it becomes second nature.

If you are into cars ( like me ) and enjoy track days and even a have a race licence etc - you find out that you can explore the limits of your car - or even a single seater / rally car / etc and do things you would never attempt on normal roads - such as opposite locking and 4 wheel drifts at over 100 mph etc

Could you have done that in your first 6 months of driving - would you even have attempted it ??

Now - back to intraday trading

Once you have been doing it a few years - day in - day out - taken over 1000's of trades on live accounts - it really does get boring - monotonous etc etc.

Only real proper retail ( not commercial ) FX Intraday pro's know this - you actually goes through the motions - just like driving - it becomes easier.

You know you will never get every trade correct - ie target 30 pips and you always hit 30 pips etc. You accept being wrong - even with a good top method - you expect the unexpected ( like driving ) you take precautions - ie MM and procedures ( just like wearing you seat belt and having an air bag ) - you end up not do high fives and cries of joy when you win - and kicking the dog when you lose.

Its different.

Now anyone who says you cannot type comments and take 10 to 20 trades over say 6 -10 hrs - is really a proper plonker - yes a PLONKER .

Ok there are lots of traders who only take one or two trades a day and they then wait for hours for either a win or have their 40 -70 pip stop taken out . They have loads of time to do other things in between - they maybe set an forget.

Similar if I really scalped for just 1 -3 pips an took 50 trades+ a session - i would be tired out after 4 hours and would not have time to do much else.

But - I only take maximum 4 trades per hour ( max ) many hours only 1 or 2 scalps.

Its so easy - and simple - but only after years and years of hard graft and study and adaptation - just like riding a unicycle whilst juggling - so hard - but after 100's of hrs or learning - it becomes fairly easy ;-)

Just like typing - if you are not using more than 2 fingers - you are not trying - but you dont half improve with more practice.

So in conclusion

Intraday FX trading and blooging on one or two threads - is a "piece of cake " to very experienced full time traders - it really is ;)

Am I just more interested in blogging ??

Well if I was I would be on all the sites - I am not on - ie Facebook / Twitter / Instagram / skype rooms / loads of other forums etc etc

The fact that i would still be typing my notes just for me - ( and did for over 6 months ) is how I actually found out it helped me trade - stay focused / assisted in thought patterns etc etc

Do I make money from blogging ??

No at all

Do I make money from Intraday FX trades


SURE DO (y)


Regards


F
 
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