I suspect it's more to do with the probable odds or early odds. I think when there are 2 selections it's because they are both "reasonably short priced". But Dave's answer will certainly be worth more than mine because he's been looking at them for longer.rgsharp said:Does the number of selections appear to be linked to the number of runners in a race?
I've also been wondering that. I certainly don't normally bet at full strength around this time of the year, but expect to gain confidence a bit as from early May (I also don't bet much in November of each year for the same reason).rgsharp said:Also, I wonder if the swings are due to the change over from jumps to flat season
I think not, I have seen multiple selections in 7 horse races. I agree with Roberto, I think its more to do with odds.rgsharp said:well done.
Does the number of selections appear to be linked to the number of runners in a race?
Yes, I have also heard this but as I dont profess to know anything about the sport I cannot comment but it certainly makes sense.rgsharp said:Also, I wonder if the swings are due to the change over from jumps to flat season, have you experianced big swings previously Dave? Some Punters (pardon the expression) believe strongly in not backing or reducing stakes during these periods. However, tinkering with "the system" may not be wise, as you have seen.
Richard...
Really? I must say that's not how I read it at all ... I will look again.rgsharp said:With regards to how much to stake, from reading their site it doesn't seem to be a %.
Yes; they say this unambiguously ...rgsharp said:They reckon you only need a 10 point bank to get started
Well ... that wasn't what I've "presumed" at all ... sorry, but why do you interpret it that way, Richard?rgsharp said:so presumably you don't stake 10% of your adjusted bank but stay at set amount ?
Euro_d said:The reply I got from them when I asked the specific question was that you stake (on 3M) 10% of the adjusted bank. They actually stated that the adjustment is per race, which is not always practical.
Yes, I agree that they will certainly get kicked into touch when they dont perform.
That in itself raises the question, when do we decide that they are not performing as opposed to a loosing run?
Richard, what did you use as a criteria in your previous ventures?
Cheers
Dave
Very good point! (Update for anyone interested: no bets today, 18th).rgsharp said:On reflection, this is a fantastic argument to be having because if it didn't work we would have all kicked it in to touch.
"Out one hundred times"neil said:Dave - write out one hundred times
Losing run !
"Loose"- as in "not tight."
"Lose" - as in "lose the race."
A not very scientificly based, gut feeling that it wasn't working or I had fallen for the old Snake Oil Salesman. With regards to the system that did work for a while, interestingly he pulled the plug first. Which is a reflection of how emoitionaly engaged he was about the service that he offered. This always worried me some what, but my Wife found it endearing!Euro_d said:The reply I got from them when I asked the specific question was that you stake (on 3M) 10% of the adjusted bank. They actually stated that the adjustment is per race, which is not always practical.
Yes, I agree that they will certainly get kicked into touch when they dont perform.
That in itself raises the question, when do we decide that they are not performing as opposed to a loosing run?
Richard, what did you use as a criteria in your previous ventures?
Cheers
Dave
Nothing scientific or well-reasoned from me. I started off with £1,500 I wasn't expecting to have and can afford to lose and I'll stop if I lose it all. I'd almost certainly stop if there were three or four consecutive losing months before I'd lost it all, too. But I always like to give things a good, long, fair trial before I abandon them. I know from experience that even the best of "services" can have a bad patch. I'm feeling much more comfortable about this one now that I've cut my staking back to 3%, on the grounds that at least a short bad patch won't cut me out of a system that might actually be reasonably good in the long run. Wishing us good luck later with today's ...Euro_d said:If anyone else has a better idea lets hear it.