TheBramble
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You are responding to a post from over 6 years ago. He doesn't have any money left by now.
Hi Tyger,My suggestions:
1. Think of a novel idea. . .
Hi Tyger,
I fear most people will struggle to get beyond your first suggestion. It's a bit like saying, 'think of a novel idea for a book, write it, get it published, sell millions of copies, sell the film rights too - and then retire rich.' If you've got any ideas about how we can get around that wee little problem - then you'll definitely be on to something!
Tim.
I have personally known 3 people who have made a living, during at least a couple of years, trading. One of them retired rich after 4 years of trading all in. The other 2 have up and returned to a regular job. I was only inspired by the one who became rich. There is something about a successful person that separates them from the rest. A quality that you can't quite put your finger on but makes them stand out. It is a rare quality for sure, inspirational. It rare for any person to go to the top of their field be it trading or anything else. I wish us all such a situation but the truth is that only a few will achieve greatness.
Cheers
I estimate that, as of Sept 2013, Algorithmic trading (see Wiki article) comprises around 75 - 80% of all trades. These computer programs are written by guys with Maths or Physics doctorates.
So how are you going to compete?
Option 1. Insider knowledge/other illegal means
Option 2. Practice discretionary/intuitive trading until you develop sufficient expertise to be able to compete (est 10,000 – 15,000 hours work – see Matthew Syed’s book, Bounce). I actually think it would be quicker to become a golf pro or tennis pro.
Option 3. Develop your own trading ideas and test them (I use Excel). Creativity and original thought are already there as part of the brain's toolbox. Using these tools you can compete without getting a science PhD or spending 15,000 hours watching charts.
Beware snake oil salesmen. There are myriad websites and companies offering trading systems with seemingly fantastic profit opportunities. None of these are real. The big Banks and trading companies make huge profits every year. So who do they make these profits from? Answer: The people who lose money trading - ie the estimated 1 million people in the UK who trade or spreadbet. I estimate that 0.1% of these individuals consistently make profits - the rest lose money. Why? Two main reasons - either they don't have the expertise to compete with the Maths and Physics PhD graduates working for the banks, or they buy a system that promises huge returns but is in fact a scam.
My suggestions:
1. Think of a novel idea.
2. Test it to see if it works. If it doesn't, go back to step 1.
3. Paper trade it to check you haven’t made a mistake.
4. Start live trading small amounts to check it works in real life.
5. Gradually increase your position size.
6. Provided that your position size remains a tiny portion of total market volume, then you can avoid the feedback loops inherent in Complex Adaptive Systems. So, keep it small – trade multiple stocks/futures (which will provide some robustness anyway) and don’t tell anyone else what you’re doing!
You have to remember that you are more likely to earn more by studying and becoming qualified in a trade or profession. Very FEW make it in trading -for every success there are thousands of losers, a point often overlooked by those who point to people who become "rich" through trading. Envy of people who became rich (even if this is true and verifiable) is not a path to success. Being successful is often the result of years of failure, almost making it; and-for the few,success. More importantly, you need to enjoy what you are doing for its' own sake -not for some dream of a lazy mans route to riches.
Can you give it your all, knowing that failure is a very likely outcome and success, a slim, even remote, possibility?
Someone (Hedge Fund Manager) said 90% of people lose 90% of their capital within 90 days. There is a high possibility (statistically) that you will be one of them. Think on it.
Another 1 post wonder promoting his dodgy website.
When you start out with this, its hard to know what you dont know. From my own experience, I would start on bigger timeframes like the Daily and Monthly charts so that you can leave your trades to do their thing rather than being sucked into them
i am 20 yrs old and am interested in trading and am willing to learn how to become a trader and be successful at it. can anyone help me out please?