zupcon
Experienced member
- Messages
- 1,162
- Likes
- 322
Err no, that was me ;-)
You are all interchangable.
Err no, that was me ;-)
When do we start?Do we set up a private chat room using skype?Maximum 5 to 10 members.No stocks , only fx,oil and indexes.
Target: 7 winning trades a week net after losses
Profit target :30 points
Account size :$10,000
Annual target :$100,000( 7trades *30 points *$10 per point *50 weeks)
Trading setup s:Only high probability set ups.
Maximum trades per week :21(14 win /7 loss)
O D T
join propboards.com, theres a chatroom
You are all interchangable.
I'm not talking about demo accounts. As is often the case in life and in trading, if someone can't do it themselves, they'll tell everybody that it's simply not possible. 20% per month is achievable risking 1%, depending on how far down the road you are with your own trading, and you will obviously need the right market conditions which your strategy will excel in. Also, you have to be in a position to be able to let this capital grow through compounding, so find a way to do it, i have.
100% a year – it's nothing special IMO.
Few months ago I made more than £6000 in less than 24 hours on £10000 account.
Must point out this was a demo account.
After that haven't heard from SB company that was hassling me to open real account with them.:clap:
There's another consideration too.
Time = Money or not if you disagree.
You oft hear that 20% a year is a great return but that's never backed up with the time invested which I think is another important parameter.
On one extreme, you could have a trader that just looks at the markets over the weekend and enters his orders for the week on a Sunday night. On the other hand, you could have a day trader that's spending 8 hours a day watching the order flow and trading accordingly.
In the 2 scenarios ? Is it fair to say that 20% return is 'great' or should the time employed also be a factor ?
I know scaling comes into it- but if you ignore scalability - how should time be considered ?
The easiest way to get that sort of return is to buy a lottery ticket. You could win €5m from a €1 ticket. However, the vast majority of players will lose money - the probabilities are against you. Rather than the best case scenario it is better to focus on probable returns and drawdown.
I have noticed from this site:
Few people make money
Most people trade forex in direct competition with the big institutions and without an edge.
Any idiot could have made good returns from position/short-term investing in the stock markets in 2009.
So why are most posts about daytrading forex?
The easiest way to get that sort of return is to buy a lottery ticket. You could win €5m from a €1 ticket. However, the vast majority of players will lose money - the probabilities are against you. Rather than the best case scenario it is better to focus on probable returns and drawdown.
I have noticed from this site:
Few people make money
Most people trade forex in direct competition with the big institutions and without an edge.
Any idiot could have made good returns from position/short-term investing in the stock markets in 2009.
So why are most posts about daytrading forex?
Nobody has an edge in forex,not even the big boys.
What a ridiculous thing to say.
I meant that crooked edge of inside information etc that wall street heavily relies on
It most definitely does not require rocket science, it does not take some elusive quant algorithm you need to invest lots of PhD work hours and millions into hardware on first, no, all it takes is a simple, robust system that is compoundable.
It doesn't even need a high win rate NOR a high Risk : Reward ratio.
What is perfectly sufficient to achieve the stated objective is by trading a system that - on average, as always - wins "only" 50% of the time...
offers a Risk : Reward of 1 : 2...
a system that is based on very conservative and extremely feasible assumptions in other words...
a system that gives you say 2 trades / day...
which in reality is again extremely conservative just for the sake of this argument (in reality one should be able to get lots more signals with a system that has such parameters than my example of only two)...
a system that has you risking no more than 1% of your account per trade, which again is extremely risk averse...
You now have a system with which on average you have one losing trade per day, which loses you one percent of your equity, and one winning trade, which wins you two percent of your equity, and that leaves you with a net profit of 1% for your trading day.
Make on average 1% per day, and, just to err on the conservative side again, we will not compound that, but downplay the possible results, and end the month up 20%.
Now lets enter the power of compounding, which is the short term traders by far greatest weapon in their arsenal.
Compounding 20% gains per month for a full year, translates into overall gains for your book at year's end of a mind boggling, staggering 1000% !!!
Keep that up for a few years and you are well set to achieve absolutely whatever objectives you may have for yourself, trade a system that you can compound, and there are absolutely no limits - outside of yourself and your own potential inner fears and limitations - at all to keep you from achieving whatever you may wish for.
Of course one needs to keep in mind that with growth of your assets your returns will diminish over time.
Making 1000% / year is extremely feasible with say 50K, but somewhat less so if you've managed to compound up to 100 mill, let alone if you're up to trading with 1 billion.
The very best of the hedge funds with assets of around there can therefore be very satisfied already with an average annual compound rate of return of around 30% p.a
But even there the odd superperformance is still feasible, as Taleb proved with his one billion dollar hedge fund that returned 110% last year.
Or just have a look at TraderDaily and their top earning traders list of 2008, eg top dog John Paulson, who is running 9 daughter funds of cumulatively around 29 billion - one of his funds started out at 130 million in 2007, and he turned that into 3.2 Billion within ONE single year - earning himself a total of 3 billion cash in the process.
THAT is ALL trading is about, NET PROFITS that are COMPOUNDABLE.
You do not need the Holy Grail.
You do not need to be able to predict what markets do next.
All you need is to tweak the only aspects of trading we have influence over, when we enter, and when we exit, in a way that offers us a positive expectancy.
All you need is a simple, robust and above all Compoundable System with a Winning Percentage of no more than 50%, a Risk : Reward of no more than 1 : 2, Trade Opportunities of a lonely 2 trades per day, and Position Sizing that has you risking no more than a paltry 1% that any self-respecting, gunslinging gambler would probably laugh his head off at, in order to achieve whatever you want, and be it the sky !
=================================================================================
EDIT for further clarification:
PS, we are talking ON AVERAGE here...
that means some days you may have 5 losses in a row, the next day you get 3 winners in a row, followed by another loss the day after, and then followed yet again by another 4 winners the day after that, etc etc...
OF COURSE one does not have exactly 2 trades / day, one a winner, one a loser, that is just what you on AVERAGE end up at with a system that is right only 50% of the time, and only has a risk/reward of 1:2.
Any idiot could have made good returns from position/short-term investing in the stock markets in 2009.