brutusdog
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LOL !
OMG, you don't say...
Where did I say anything else ?
I said we are only risking 1% per trade, NOT your example of a fixed sum.
First you look where your trade will be invalidated, distance from your entry to your stop loss then gets translated into a position size that equals 1% of your capital. NO mention ANYWHERE of a fixed sum.
Fixed fractional position sizing, you always risk 1% of your equity, ie you continuously get bigger as your account grows.
It is really pretty irrelevant how you skew your expectancy, fixed targets, trailing stops, or whatever, but if there is a trader here who has never in his life managed to come up with a system that ON AVERAGE ends up with 50% winners, and a Risk / Reward of 1 : 2, then I honestly suggest they have their heads examined while immediately ending their trading career, it ain't going nowhere anyway.
Reading stuff like the above really helps me understand why 95% of traders don't make it.
You could easily even come up with a mechanical system that ON AVERAGE has 50% winners and a risk / reward of 1 : 2.
And for the third time on this thread:
Anyone who calls themselves a trader, yet honestly believes that ON AVERAGE, - lol, did everybody finally grasp that now -, gains of 1% / day are NOT feasible, go get themselves another job, while everybody else can feel free to interview some exchange members or people trading at prop firms. Many there exceed the ON AVERAGE 20% / month as per my example, and have returns of up to 50% on a REGULAR basis there.
Of course the latter is in most cases not compoundable, but still good for several millions / year, and in the few cases where it is compoundable up to certain sums when returns will start diminishing, it is good for creating real fortunes.
Besides, what this thread and the specific example is REALLY on about is showing how simple and conservative expectancy systems are all that is needed for getting rich trading, that a perfectly feasible way to compound yourself to a positive fortune can be achieved with a win rate of around one third of your trades, and risk : rewards of 1 : 3.
ON AVERAGE again, of course.
The over complication of this subject is exactly the problem, the primary concern for any winning trader over time is risk to reward nothing else. Get this right and i doesnt matter if you lose as over time you will win, there need not be any stress attached to trading. Thats how accounts grow. This thread is another example of the reasons traders fail, or never even make it to trading live....