Long 1.9854, stop at the mo 1.9818
Hi guys,
My view on cable today is to take a break. Just to much work to do. I came across this piece of news which reflects my view and I thought was an interesting read.
USD Buoyed Against Eur, JPY by Korman Tam
At 4:30 AM UK Q1 GDP y/y (exp 2.8%, prev 2.8%)
UK Q1 GDP q/q (exp 0.7%, prev 0.7%)
At 10:00 AM US April Existing Home Sales (exp 6.14 mln units, prev 6.12 mln units)
The dollar remains buoyed against the euro and yen following yesterday’s upbeat US housing data, with new home sales posting its steepest gain in 14-years. Sentiment over central bank interest rate decisions continues to be the primary driver in the foreign exchange market, as expectations for a Fed rate cut this year are slowly diminishing, ultimately supporting the greenback.
The OECD released its semi-annual Economic Outlook this week and called for global central banks, with the exception of Japan, to “err on the side of tightness” given lingering inflationary pressure. Further, it urged the Fed to refrain from shifting to an easing stance until early 2008, citing “more persistent than expected” inflation in the US. The OECD anticipates two more rate hikes from the ECB to 4.25% and sees further possible tightening from the BoE throughout the remainder of this year as well. Also, to highlight the growing disparity between the economies of the US and the rest of the world, the OECD cut the growth forecast for the US while simultaneously upwardly revising the growth rates for the Eurozone, UK, Japan and Australia.
Traders will turn their attention US April existing home sales, due out at 10:00 AM. Markets are expecting home sales to improve to 6.14 million units, versus 6.12 million units from March. Stabilization in the US housing market provides
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GBP Steady Near Highs
The sterling maintains its strength versus the greenback following this week’s hawkish Bank of England minutes, which revealed a unanimous vote to hike rates by 25-bp in its last meeting and discussion for 50-bp tightening as well. In the coming session, traders will shift focus to UK growth data with the release of Q1 GDP at 4:30 AM New York time. First quarter growth is seen unchanged at 0.7% from the previous quarter and on an annualized basis steady at 2.8%.
Cable continues to consolidate near its highs around 1.9850, with resistance seen at 1.9875, backed by 1.99 and 1.9930. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 1.9960, backed by 2 and 2.0050. On the downside, support begins at 1.9830, followed by 1.98 and 1.9765. Additional floors are eyed at 1.9715, followed by 1.9675 and 1.96.
Good luck everyone...