An ECB meeting and Greek developments dominate the day's schedule, which is distinctly light on major market moving economic data, even if some attention will be given to the overnight Singapore Exports report (within which the monthly data highlight underlying weakness, notwithstanding the base effect driven rise in the y/y rate), ahead of final Eurozone CPI, US jobless claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing survey. Otherwise there is another raft of US corporate earnings, among which Citigroup, EBay, Goldman Sachs, Google & UnitedHealth are likely to be the highlights, along with govt bond auctions from France and Spain potentially totalling EUR 15.65 Bln. With respect to Greece, the narrative of ballooning volumes of Pyrrhic victories for the creditor nations and Tsipras continues, with the latter now urgently needing to form a new government or cede power to a technocratic regime, given that opposition parties have already signalled that they will not participate in a Tsipras/Syriza led grand coalition. The ECB will at the very least need to offer some grains of hope with respect to the ELA lending to Greece, either by reducing haircuts or promising an increase in total volume should further measures such as the EFSM bridging loan, and an ESM sponsored recapitalization turn into reality, rather than an agreement "aim". The ECB's assessment of prospects for the Eurozone economy will doubtless be left unchanged, though doubtless couched in terms that highlight a more elevated level of uncertainty due to the Greek crisis. The Q&A will doubtless focus on a) the alleged row between Draghi and Schaeuble; b) doubts about the future of the Eurozone; c) the ECB's role in the crisis; d) Greek debt sustainability - per se it is likely to be a very bumpy ride for Draghi & Co.
from Marc Ostwald