news is saying that equities are rallying on the view that quarterly results of banks will show stabilisation returning to the financial sector. I am a bit worried about shorting GBP/USD when there is that sort of sentiment in the market. The results of these banks will depend not on how much toxic debt they still hold but on how good the traders that are working for these banks are. With such volatile markets, I am guessing there are only a few banks out there with good enough traders to profit of these movements, well the banks that haven't sacked their entire prop desks! Having said that, spreads in fixed income markets have widened and competition has fallen, so the market making operations of these firms are likely to have made a tonne of cash, namely, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. If the USD continues selling off, it means the market believes that the worse is over and we have reached the bottom, I don't buy it