02/09/2004
Hi,
Bad day for me. Kept a short overnight from yesterday @ 10161.
Spent most of the day hoping that the obvious triangle wasn't happening. Pretty sure that we're in the terminal stage of a C wave. Difficult to define exactly what the pattern is but looks like nested abc.x.abc patterns. Thinking that this final push wasn't going to happen but it did, and looks like a final abc set.
Added in additional shorts as seen on the 5 min chart at *2,3,4,5 and 6 positions. Total down on the day of 11.19%, just under -82 DOW combined points from entry, (in comparison, I made 32.6% in my last full weeks trading).
Looks very overbought in time frames upto hourly with huge ND on the hourly MACD. Hourly ADX has dropped throughout this channel, so I'm reasonably confident that we'll see downside from here.
Afer hours trading looks like Intel surprised to the downside ... and it beats me why this market rose today.
I've got a mental stop-out at around 10350 which will be the upper trend line of the channel seen on the hourly chart, but it'll hurt, a lot. First target in mind is the bottom of the channel around 10100.
Tomorrow's another day. Must remember to watch CM's targets. :idea: