Hi All,
Its been a long while since I last posted.... been travelling, new job etc... But have been keepin an eye on the board. Nice to see a few new bodies and of course the old ones. (My Username changed). Disapointed to see a few of my fav posters have disapeared but probably due to 1 of 2 things. They have been soo successful last 6 months that they are sitting on some beach sipping singapre slings, or they have been wiped out and given trading the heave ho. Personally I think the second reason is more likely as I have been quite successful last 6 months but dont think I could give up trading whatever figures I had in my bank account.
Right enough philos talk... lets get dwn to business.
Today.... Dwn day. We are forming(ed) a major toping of the Index... I see this not only on Dow but FTSE, DAX. I think the hitting of 11160 yesterday was critical to form this major top... (Double top). If I was honest I would say that I was expecting a diverging top... hence my entry levels of my shorts, but in the long run double top is a lot better.
Was slightly annoyed yesterday that I had jumped on the shorts too early but hey if anyone trades the markets using almost exclusively volume like I do, you will know that the last two days was almost impossible to ascertain a level for entries due to the such low volume, and the VMA spikes followed by a tight consolidation within 10-20 points to level of the VMA again.
Again the low volume that has seen this push higher is another warning sign for you bulls.
Downside..... I dont quite see the 400 point drop in the next week or so like some bears due to the huge buying surges that occurred last week at levels 10920 - 60, but hey thats another 200 points down and could all be down to this Friday (Options expiration day - big players protecting their positions!!!)
After Friday, it could be a whole new market going down, down, down once the options have expired, and the institutions probably renew their contracts at level 10500.
Anyway thats my 2 bit for today.. have a good trading day... ( Feel for you MOMBASA but you should be ok if you still short. Am sure you will be able to come out equal in next couple of days!!)