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Daily Report on September 21, 2017
Asian shares slipped while European equity futures jumped on Thursday after the conclusion of policy meetings held by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The MSCI’s broadest dollar-denominated index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 0.5 percent with losses led by Australian shares which lost as much as 0.8 percent.
Japan’s Topix index climbed less than 0.1 percent at the close in Tokyo after having pared wiped out almost all the session’s advance of as as much as 0.7 percent. While the Kospi index shed 0.2 percent, the Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and the Shanghai Composite Index swung between gains and losses. By contrast, futures contracts on Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.4 percent.
The dollar jumped dramatically versus its major rivals on Thursday after the Fed decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected. The central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
The Fed continued to reiterate that interest rates are likely to rise at a “gradual” pace given steady growth and low unemployment which is expected to boost inflation closer to their 2% goal. The central bank signaled that it expects one more interest rate hike by the end of the year with the consideration that hurricane damage are unlikely to affect the economy in the medium term. In its new set of projections, the Fed estimates that three quarter-point rate hikes would be appropriate next year.
Meanwhile, although the Bank of Japan kept its monetary stimulus unchanged on Thursday as expected by economists, the Yen lost ground after a dovish new board member said the effects of the current yield curve program of the Japanese central bank weren’t strong enough which would not be able to bolster inflation higher towards BOJ’s target by the projected time frame of around fiscal 2019.
Technicals
AUDUSD
Fig: AUDUSD H4 Technical Chart
AUDUSD reversed lower from a nearly-two-week high yesterday to tumble below a couple of moving averages. The pair has breached a strong support at 0.79550 which has prevented the price from falling lower since early September. Although the RSI index has plunged into the oversold zone, ADX indicator is witnessing the –DI line crossing over the +DI line, which indicates a strengthening bearish momentum in the market. The support at 0.78800 is within the sight.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 0.79400 to 0.78800 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
USDCHF
Fig: USDCHF H4 Technical Chart
As can be seen from the chart, USDCHF has been supported by a couple of moving averages. The pair did not only breach a significant level at 23.6% Fibonacci retracement but also surpassed a firm resistance at 0.96972. The pair is heading upwards towards another Fibonacci level at 38.2%. Both ADX and RSI indices are rising, showing a strong bull run in the market.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 0.97350 to 0.97800 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
USDCAD
Fig: USDCAD H4 Technical Chart
USDCAD appeared to extend its uptrend following a short consolidation that came after the pair spiked a two-week high yesterday. The pair has been tracing an upbeat rally in general, as indicated by higher lows and higher highs formed on the price chart. A resistance at 1.24200 is expected to be tested as the market is still dominated by buyers.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 1.23500 to 1.24200 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
SILVER
Fig: SILVER H4 Technical Chart
Under the downward pressure exerted by the short-term MA20, the commodity continued to trade lower with its price action falling below a firm support at 17.050. Silver is heading downward to test a significant level at the 38.2% Fibonacci level as the market has been dominated by the sellers. While the RSI index has fallen into the oversold zone, the ADX index is on a rise with a widening gap between the –DI and the +DI lines.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 16.900 to 16.750 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
GOLD
Fig: GOLD H4 Technical Chart
Gold extended its downward rally after having failed to penetrate the short-term MA20. The precious metal fell below a firm support at 1305.00 and has tumbled to the lowest level in nearly a month at 1294.16. While RSI index is heading lower, ADX index is resurging, signaling further downbeat moves for the gold prices.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 1294.00 to 1283.00 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
COPPER
Fig: COPPER H4 Technical Chart
Copper prices have been depressed by a pair of moving averages which helped send the pair below a strong support at 2.9350. The metal price slumped to the weakest level since mid-August and is anticipated to breach the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Another firm support at 2.8750 is expected to be tested.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 2.9200 to 2.8750 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
**************************************************
Technology Shares Lead Losses, S&P 500 Index To End Four-Day Win Streak
U.S. shares turned lower on Thursday as market participants digested the result of the Federal Reserve’s decision to start unwinding its stimulus program last month and signal that the central bank may raise rates at the end of this year.
The S&P 500 shed 0.3% to trade at 2,501.00, falling from a record logged yesterday. The decline threatens to end a four-consecutive-day win streak for the stock benchmark index. Nine of the 11 primary S&P 500 sectors were trading in the negative territory on Thursday, with technology shares leading declines.
Shares of Nvidia Corp. plunged more than 4 percent after reports that its customer Tesla is working with its rival – chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices – to develop its own A.I. chip for self-driving cars. Meanwhile, shares of Apples remained weak after the technology giant on Wednesday admitted some problems with wireless connectivity for its new Apple Watch 3.
The Fed on Wednesday decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected. The central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 2500.00 to 2490.00 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
*****************************************************
Dollar Reaches Two-month Highs Versus Yen On the back of Diverging Monetary Policies
The dollar jumped dramatically versus its Japanese counterpart on Thursday after the conclusion of policy meetings held by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan which delivered diverging monetary policies.
The greenback shone and soared to the highest level in two months versus the Yen in Asian trading session on Thursday, sending the pair USDJPY 0.17 percent higher to trade at as high as 112.40 yen per dollar. According to the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement released after a two-day meeting starting on Tuesday in Washington, the Fed decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected.
However, the central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
The Fed continued to reiterate that interest rates are likely to rise at a “gradual” pace given steady growth and low unemployment which is expected to boost inflation closer to their 2% goal. The central bank signaled that it expects one more interest rate hike by the end of the year with the consideration that hurricane damage are unlikely to affect the economy in the medium term. In its new set of projections, the Fed estimates that three quarter-point rate hikes would be appropriate next year.
Following the Fed’s statement, Fed fund rate futures rose to a 65 percent chance of a rate hike by December from around 50 percent before the latest meeting. The dollar; therefore, was supported strongly amidst expectations over the central bank raising rates in the near futures.
Meanwhile, although the Bank of Japan kept its monetary stimulus unchanged on Thursday as expected by economists, the Yen turned lower against its major rivals after a dovish new board member said the effects of the current yield curve program of the Japanese central bank weren’t strong enough which would not be able to bolster inflation higher towards BOJ’s target by the projected time frame of around fiscal 2019.
Markets are awaiting a news conference by its governor which is scheduled to be held later in the day.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 112.500 to 112.900 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
****************************************************
AUD/CAD
From 0.97800
Till 0.97450
Option Digital
Direction Put
Expiry GMT 21:00 21/09/2017
Asian shares slipped while European equity futures jumped on Thursday after the conclusion of policy meetings held by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The MSCI’s broadest dollar-denominated index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 0.5 percent with losses led by Australian shares which lost as much as 0.8 percent.
Japan’s Topix index climbed less than 0.1 percent at the close in Tokyo after having pared wiped out almost all the session’s advance of as as much as 0.7 percent. While the Kospi index shed 0.2 percent, the Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and the Shanghai Composite Index swung between gains and losses. By contrast, futures contracts on Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.4 percent.
The dollar jumped dramatically versus its major rivals on Thursday after the Fed decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected. The central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
The Fed continued to reiterate that interest rates are likely to rise at a “gradual” pace given steady growth and low unemployment which is expected to boost inflation closer to their 2% goal. The central bank signaled that it expects one more interest rate hike by the end of the year with the consideration that hurricane damage are unlikely to affect the economy in the medium term. In its new set of projections, the Fed estimates that three quarter-point rate hikes would be appropriate next year.
Meanwhile, although the Bank of Japan kept its monetary stimulus unchanged on Thursday as expected by economists, the Yen lost ground after a dovish new board member said the effects of the current yield curve program of the Japanese central bank weren’t strong enough which would not be able to bolster inflation higher towards BOJ’s target by the projected time frame of around fiscal 2019.
Technicals
AUDUSD
Fig: AUDUSD H4 Technical Chart
AUDUSD reversed lower from a nearly-two-week high yesterday to tumble below a couple of moving averages. The pair has breached a strong support at 0.79550 which has prevented the price from falling lower since early September. Although the RSI index has plunged into the oversold zone, ADX indicator is witnessing the –DI line crossing over the +DI line, which indicates a strengthening bearish momentum in the market. The support at 0.78800 is within the sight.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 0.79400 to 0.78800 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
USDCHF
Fig: USDCHF H4 Technical Chart
As can be seen from the chart, USDCHF has been supported by a couple of moving averages. The pair did not only breach a significant level at 23.6% Fibonacci retracement but also surpassed a firm resistance at 0.96972. The pair is heading upwards towards another Fibonacci level at 38.2%. Both ADX and RSI indices are rising, showing a strong bull run in the market.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 0.97350 to 0.97800 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
USDCAD
Fig: USDCAD H4 Technical Chart
USDCAD appeared to extend its uptrend following a short consolidation that came after the pair spiked a two-week high yesterday. The pair has been tracing an upbeat rally in general, as indicated by higher lows and higher highs formed on the price chart. A resistance at 1.24200 is expected to be tested as the market is still dominated by buyers.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 1.23500 to 1.24200 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
SILVER
Fig: SILVER H4 Technical Chart
Under the downward pressure exerted by the short-term MA20, the commodity continued to trade lower with its price action falling below a firm support at 17.050. Silver is heading downward to test a significant level at the 38.2% Fibonacci level as the market has been dominated by the sellers. While the RSI index has fallen into the oversold zone, the ADX index is on a rise with a widening gap between the –DI and the +DI lines.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 16.900 to 16.750 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
GOLD
Fig: GOLD H4 Technical Chart
Gold extended its downward rally after having failed to penetrate the short-term MA20. The precious metal fell below a firm support at 1305.00 and has tumbled to the lowest level in nearly a month at 1294.16. While RSI index is heading lower, ADX index is resurging, signaling further downbeat moves for the gold prices.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 1294.00 to 1283.00 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
COPPER
Fig: COPPER H4 Technical Chart
Copper prices have been depressed by a pair of moving averages which helped send the pair below a strong support at 2.9350. The metal price slumped to the weakest level since mid-August and is anticipated to breach the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Another firm support at 2.8750 is expected to be tested.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 2.9200 to 2.8750 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
**************************************************
Technology Shares Lead Losses, S&P 500 Index To End Four-Day Win Streak
U.S. shares turned lower on Thursday as market participants digested the result of the Federal Reserve’s decision to start unwinding its stimulus program last month and signal that the central bank may raise rates at the end of this year.
The S&P 500 shed 0.3% to trade at 2,501.00, falling from a record logged yesterday. The decline threatens to end a four-consecutive-day win streak for the stock benchmark index. Nine of the 11 primary S&P 500 sectors were trading in the negative territory on Thursday, with technology shares leading declines.
Shares of Nvidia Corp. plunged more than 4 percent after reports that its customer Tesla is working with its rival – chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices – to develop its own A.I. chip for self-driving cars. Meanwhile, shares of Apples remained weak after the technology giant on Wednesday admitted some problems with wireless connectivity for its new Apple Watch 3.
The Fed on Wednesday decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected. The central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Put Option from 2500.00 to 2490.00 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
*****************************************************
Dollar Reaches Two-month Highs Versus Yen On the back of Diverging Monetary Policies
The dollar jumped dramatically versus its Japanese counterpart on Thursday after the conclusion of policy meetings held by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan which delivered diverging monetary policies.
The greenback shone and soared to the highest level in two months versus the Yen in Asian trading session on Thursday, sending the pair USDJPY 0.17 percent higher to trade at as high as 112.40 yen per dollar. According to the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement released after a two-day meeting starting on Tuesday in Washington, the Fed decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in a range of 1 percent to 1.25 percent as widely expected.
However, the central bank announced that it would start shrinking its $4.5 trillion balance sheet next month and trimming its massive holding of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities that it acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.
The Fed continued to reiterate that interest rates are likely to rise at a “gradual” pace given steady growth and low unemployment which is expected to boost inflation closer to their 2% goal. The central bank signaled that it expects one more interest rate hike by the end of the year with the consideration that hurricane damage are unlikely to affect the economy in the medium term. In its new set of projections, the Fed estimates that three quarter-point rate hikes would be appropriate next year.
Following the Fed’s statement, Fed fund rate futures rose to a 65 percent chance of a rate hike by December from around 50 percent before the latest meeting. The dollar; therefore, was supported strongly amidst expectations over the central bank raising rates in the near futures.
Meanwhile, although the Bank of Japan kept its monetary stimulus unchanged on Thursday as expected by economists, the Yen turned lower against its major rivals after a dovish new board member said the effects of the current yield curve program of the Japanese central bank weren’t strong enough which would not be able to bolster inflation higher towards BOJ’s target by the projected time frame of around fiscal 2019.
Markets are awaiting a news conference by its governor which is scheduled to be held later in the day.
Trade suggestion
Buy Digital Call Option from 112.500 to 112.900 valid until 20:00 GMT September 21, 2017
****************************************************
AUD/CAD
From 0.97800
Till 0.97450
Option Digital
Direction Put
Expiry GMT 21:00 21/09/2017