Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[Resolve]

Morgan Stanley (MS) Shares Display Strength Ahead of Earnings Release

The stock market is eagerly awaiting the start of the quarterly earnings season. Traditionally, it kicks off with reports from major players in the financial sector, including Morgan Stanley (MS). The bank's earnings report is scheduled for tomorrow, Thursday, before the opening of the main trading session.

According to Yahoo Finance, analysts expect:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.62, indicating a 43.4% increase compared to the previous year;
→ Revenue to reach $14.8 billion, reflecting a 14.7% rise year-on-year.

Meanwhile, MS’s share price may also be influenced by internal organisational changes at Morgan Stanley. The bank has created a new division to enhance client relations and appointed a new head of wealth management.

MarketWatch notes that the upcoming earnings season could be the strongest in three years (based on FactSet data), with the financial sector likely to be the largest contributor to profits this season. Furthermore, a technical analysis of Morgan Stanley’s (MS) stock chart suggests that market participants are optimistic.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

European Currencies Correcting After Sharp Decline

At the beginning of the week, the US dollar managed to reach new highs against certain currencies. For instance, the EUR/USD pair hit a recent low of 1.0200, sellers of GBP/USD tested the support at 1.2100, and the USD/JPY pair is stubbornly trying to stay above 158.00.

EUR/USD
The US employment report released last Friday provided significant support to the US dollar. The increase in new jobs at 256K, against a forecast of 164K, and the drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, versus the expected 4.2%, suggest that a change in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may be anticipated in the near future.

The upcoming inauguration of President Donald Trump and the associated threats of new trade wars are putting additional pressure on EUR/USD.

On Tuesday, sellers of the EUR/USD pair managed to break the current year’s low at 1.0220. The price quickly bounced back, forming a reversal pattern, a "hammer." Technical analysis of EUR/USD indicates a potential continuation of the upward correction if buyers manage to hold above 1.0340. However, if the price drops below 1.0230, the recent low could be revisited.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

How to Trade with the On-Neck Pattern

Analysing price movements and identifying trends are crucial aspects of financial markets, and traders often rely on trading indicators and candlestick patterns for informed decision-making. In the realm of trading, the On-Neck pattern may serve as a significant setup for traders. This article delves into the understanding of the On-Neck pattern in day trading and explores its strategic implications.

What Is an On-Neck Pattern?

The On-Neck is a two-candlestick formation that usually appears in a downtrend and signals a trend continuation. It consists of a tall down candle followed by one that gaps down on the open but closes at or near the previous candle’s close. The term "On-Neck" refers to the horizontal line formed by the identical or nearly identical closing prices of the two candlesticks, resembling a neckline.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

S&P 500 Index Rises to Psychological Level

The US stock market experienced an upswing following the release of inflation data yesterday. According to ForexFactory:
→ The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations at 2.9%.
→ The monthly Core CPI came in at 0.2%, below analysts' forecast of 0.3%.

Market participants interpreted this as a positive signal, leading to the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) gaining over 1% in the first 30 minutes after the data release.

As reported by Reuters:
→ Concerns about inflation eased, reviving hopes for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut, buoyed by a strong start to the earnings season (which we will cover in more detail later);
→ However, the rally may be short-lived, as inflation in the US remains uncomfortably high and could increase further due to aggressive tariff and tax policies under the new Trump administration;
→ Analysts caution that the Federal Reserve's rate is likely to remain unchanged for some time.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

USD/JPY Hits One-Month Low

The USD/JPY pair fell to its lowest level in a month during today’s Asian session, dropping below 155.5 yen per US dollar for the first time since 19th December.

As Reuters reports:
→ The yen’s strengthening was driven by hawkish comments from Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, which prompted markets to bet on a potential interest rate hike next week.
→ A significant majority of surveyed economists anticipate the BOJ will raise rates at one of its two meetings this quarter, with most favouring a January hike.

The BOJ’s decision on rates may depend on market stability following Donald Trump’s return to the White House next Monday. His inauguration speech will be closely watched by policymakers worldwide to gauge his likely political direction.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Machine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market Analysis

Machine learning is transforming the currency trading landscape, offering innovative ways to analyse market trends. This article delves into how machine learning algorithms are reshaping forex trading. Understanding these technologies' benefits and challenges provides traders with insights to navigate the currency markets potentially more effectively, harnessing the power of data-driven decision-making.

The Basics of Machine Learning in Forex Trading

Machine learning for forex trading marks a significant shift from traditional analysis methods. At its core, machine learning involves algorithms that learn from and provide signals based on data. Unlike standard trading algorithms, which operate on predefined rules, these algorithms adapt and improve over time with exposure to more data.

Machine learning forex prediction algorithms analyse historical and real-time market data, identifying patterns that are often imperceptible to the human eye. They can process a multitude of technical and fundamental factors simultaneously, offering a more dynamic approach to analysing market trends.

VIEW FULL ARTICLE VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

FTSE 100 Index May Reach 8500

As shown on the chart of the UK stock index FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen):
→ It has risen by over 3% in three days;
→ It is near the record high set in May last year and may reach the psychological level of 8500 points.

Bullish sentiment has been supported by yesterday's news of GDP recovery – according to media reports, the economy grew by 0.1% in November 2024 (compared to a previous decline of 0.1%), primarily driven by the dominant services sector.

Technical analysis of the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) chart shows that since mid-2024, the index has predominantly fluctuated within the 8000–8400 range, only briefly moving beyond it, which was accompanied by spikes in the RSI indicator.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Analytical Gold Price Predictions for 2025 and Beyond

Gold has long captured the attention of investors seeking defense in turbulent times. This article explores the evolving trends and analytical predictions shaping gold prices between 2025 and 2030, diving into factors like central bank demand, geopolitical tensions, and supply challenges. With insights from analysts and data-driven projections, discover what could influence the value of this precious metal in the years to come.

Gold Price History
Gold has been a cornerstone of economic systems and wealth preservation for millennia. Revered for its scarcity and intrinsic value, the precious metal has been used as a form of currency, a symbol of wealth, and a reserve asset across different civilisations. Its unique qualities, such as durability and resistance to corrosion, have made it a preferred choice for monetary systems until the modern era introduced fiat currencies.

In the 20th century, gold retained its prominence through the establishment of the gold standard, where currencies were directly linked to gold reserves. Although this system was eventually abandoned, gold has continued to play a significant role as a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainties, maintaining its relevance in global markets.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Under Pressure, USD/CAD Powers Higher

GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2320 zone. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4500 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today
· The British Pound started another decline from the 1.2320 resistance zone.

· There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2205 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.

· USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4400 support zone.

· There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.2320 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.2270 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair even traded below 1.2250 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2100 level. The recent swing low was formed at 1.2160 and the pair is now consolidating losses.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Prices Poised for a New Trend

Although today is a public holiday in the US (Martin Luther King Jr. Day), financial markets are unlikely to remain calm, as traders and investors will be closely watching the inaugural speech of Donald Trump, the 47th President-elect, scheduled for 20:00 GMT+3.

Trump's speech could impact gold prices in USD, particularly if it addresses:
→ Monetary policy: With current Federal Reserve rates trending lower, non-yielding assets like gold may become more attractive.
→ International trade: If Trump’s remarks on tariffs are particularly bold, gold’s status as a “safe haven” asset could boost its appeal.
→ The dollar's value: Policies aimed at strengthening the USD and reducing national debt may influence gold prices inversely.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: CAD, GBP, and JPY Markets, Gold, and Corporate Earnings

In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!

In this episode:

- What does the latest employment data mean for the British pound and the Bank of England’s policy direction?
- Will December’s inflation data influence the Bank of Canada’s upcoming interest rate decision? Find out how this could impact the USD/CAD pair.
- Will the BOJ raise rates again? Discover the potential impacts on the USD/JPY pair.
- Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are driving gold prices. Learn what to watch for in XAU/USD trading.
- Big names like Netflix, 3M, Procter & Gamble, and Johnson & Johnson are releasing their quarterly results. Check their expected performance and market implications.

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.



Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

How Can You Use a Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern in Trading?

The spinning top candle is a key tool in technical analysis, highlighting moments of market indecision. This article explores what spinning tops represent, how they differ from similar patterns, and how traders can interpret them to refine their strategies across various market conditions.

What Does a Spinning Top Candlestick Mean?

A spinning top is a candlestick pattern frequently used in technical analysis. It consists of one candle with a small body and long upper and lower shadows of approximately equal length. The candle’s body symbolises the discrepancy between the opening and closing prices during a specified time period, while the shadows indicate that volatility was high and neither bulls nor bears could take control of the market.

This pattern signifies market indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have gained dominance. It suggests a state of equilibrium between supply and demand, with the price oscillating within a narrow range. The spinning top may indicate continued sideways movement, particularly if it appears within an established range. However, if it forms after a bullish or bearish trend, it could signal a potential price reversal. Traders always look for additional signals from confirming patterns or indicators to determine the possible market direction.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Amid Increased Volatility

As revealed by the technical analysis of the 4-hour Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the ATR indicator has been above 125 since the start of 2025, in contrast to late 2024 when it was mostly below this level. This reflects heightened volatility in the US stock market due to:

→ Trump’s inauguration: The president has already signed an executive order withdrawing the US from the World Health Organization. Market participants anticipate further decisions in the near future that could significantly impact the nation’s economy.

→ Earnings season: Companies are releasing reports, prompting analysts to revise forecasts. For instance, a Jefferies analyst downgraded Apple’s (AAPL) stock rating and lowered the price target from $211 to $200, citing potentially weak revenue figures. Apple’s quarterly report is due on 30 January.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

European Currencies Strengthen Following Donald Trump's Inauguration

The start of this trading week was marked by a sharp pullback in the US dollar. According to reports from The Wall Street Journal, the newly inaugurated US President, Donald Trump, does not intend to impose tariffs immediately after taking office. This news supported the EUR/USD pair in retesting the critical 1.0440 level, helped GBP/USD buyers push the price above 1.2300, and saw USD/JPY temporarily dip below 155.00.

GBP/USD
Technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair indicates the potential for a continued upward correction, as the daily timeframe still reflects the relevance of the "hammer" pattern from 13 January. If the price rises above the 1.2340–1.2300 range, further gains towards 1.2480–1.2400 are possible.

A resumption of the downward trend may occur if the price falls below yesterday's low of 1.2160. Upcoming macroeconomic indicators will play a crucial role in determining GBP/USD's direction. Key events to watch:

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Brent Oil Price Drops from 2025 High

If you follow FXOpen’s publications, you may recall how in 2024, we repeatedly analysed the XBR/USD chart and drew several key parallel lines. For example, in our publication at the end of November.

This is significant because the uppermost of the three lines drawn last year acted as resistance, where the current peak of 2025 was formed, as shown by the arrow.

Price fluctuations in the context of these three lines can be interpreted as follows:
→ The middle line suggests the zone where the fair value of a barrel is likely to be. This is supported by the fact that at the beginning of 2025, the price consolidated near the middle line around the $76 mark;
→ The rise to the upper line indicated an overbought market condition.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Martingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading Strategies

Martingale and Anti-Martingale trading strategies are contrasting approaches to risk management. While one doubles down on potential losses to recover with a single effective trade, the other scales up on potentially effective trades and reduces positions when suffering losses. Both have their strengths and challenges, making them intriguing options for traders.

In this article, we’ll break down how each strategy works, so you can decide which or none suits your trading style.

What Is Martingale Trading?
The Martingale trading strategy originated in the casino industry in the 18th century. In the 20th century, French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy introduced it into probability theory. Later, it was adapted for trading.

At its core, the strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after every loss. The idea is simple: one eventual effective trade will offset previous losses and generate a net return.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Starts Increase While USD/JPY Corrects Gains

EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0350 resistance. USD/JPY is correcting gains and now consolidates below 156.00.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today
· The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0360 resistance zone.

· There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.

· USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 157.00 and 156.60 levels.

· There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 155.90 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0265 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0310 resistance zone against the US Dollar.

The pair even settled above the 1.0350 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0435 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0434 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0266 swing low to the 1.0434 high.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Oracle Stock (ORCL) Surges Amid Trump’s Initiative

Stargate – an initiative unveiled by Donald Trump on his second day as president – represents a collaborative project between OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle to advance artificial intelligence infrastructure in the United States. The project’s partners also include Microsoft, MGX, Arm, and NVIDIA.

The initiative involves an initial $100 billion investment to construct a data centre in Texas, with total funding potentially increasing to $500 billion over four years. Additionally, President Trump has revoked an executive order from his predecessor, Joe Biden, issued in 2023, which aimed to mitigate risks associated with AI development.

Financial markets responded with a rally in tech stocks, with Oracle’s stock (ORCL) gaining over 7% in a single day.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

Chinese Stocks Decline Amid Tariff Threats

According to Bloomberg, President Donald Trump raised the possibility of imposing tariffs on China during his second day in office.

“We’re considering a 10% tariff on China,” Trump announced during a White House event on Tuesday, indicating February 1 as a potential start date.

During his election campaign, Trump had mentioned tariffs as high as 60%, and the prospect of transitioning from campaign rhetoric to real action is driving bearish sentiment.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

High-Frequency Trading (HFT) in Forex and Stocks

High-Frequency Trading (HFT) has garnered significant attention due to its transformative impact on markets, reshaping the way they operate, influencing liquidity, price discovery, and overall efficiency. In this FXOpen article, we focus on high frequency forex and stock trading, its definition and its specific applications, pointing out the opportunities and challenges that this trading method presents.

High-Frequency Trading: An In-Depth Analysis

High-frequency trading represents a dynamic and swiftly evolving facet of the financial world. Understanding the basic HFT concept can help traders develop and employ advanced trading strategies.

Definition

At its essence, high-frequency trading is characterised by the swift execution of a substantial number of orders within exceptionally brief time intervals, often measured in milliseconds or microseconds. Traders engaged in HFT within the market leverage robust algorithms and state-of-the-art technology to scrutinise extensive sets of market data, facilitating swift and informed trading decisions. At the heart of HFT is its ability to harness even the slightest price differentials, allowing traders to take advantage of market inefficiencies that may elude traditional counterparts.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.