Daily Report on March 16, 2017 by Capital Street FX
Daily Report on March 16, 2017
Tracing higher closes on Wall Street overnight, Asian shares rose strongly on Thursday with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index jumping 1.1 percent to the highest level since June 2015. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.2 percent and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index climbed 1.6 percent while South Korea’s Kospi added 0.7 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index and New Zealand’s S&P/NZX 50 Index increased 0.2 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively.
Gold surged considerably to more than one-week highs on Thursday on the back of the dollar having plunged steeply after Fed raised rate but signaled no pick-up in the pace of tightening. Gold futures prices for April delivery jumped around 2% to trade at $1225.00 an ounce as the greenback lost ground versus most of its peers even after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 0.75 percent to 1.00 percent.
This was the second rate hike in three months, a move supported by steady economic growth, strong job gains and prospect that inflation is heading towards the central bank’s target goal. However, Fed did not signal any plan to accelerate the pace of monetary tightening with Fed Chair Janet Yellen emphasizing that future rate increases would be "gradual."
Crude oil prices extended its rally in early Asian trading on Thursday after official data showed U.S. inventories had eased from record highs. Weekly data published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed U.S. crude stocks fell for first time after nine straight increases last week. Crude stockpiles fell 237,000 barrels in the week to March 10, in a marked contrast to analysts’ forecast for an increase of 3.7 million barrels.
Australian unemployment was reported to unexpectedly climb in February as the economy shed jobs. The Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday posted jobless rate of 5.9% last month which rose to a 14-month high as the total number of people with jobs fell by 6,400 in February. Economists had expected the labor market to add 15,000 jobs in order to maintain the unemployment rate at 5.7%.
Technicals
EURNZD
EURNZD rebounded from the long-term MA50 and is challenging the short-term MA20. Recent up moves have brought the market back to the bullish zone. ADX index is inching lower, suggesting a weakening former downtrend. Continual uptrend may send the price back to the highest level since Monday at 1.54500.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 1.53500, take profit at 1.54500, stop loss at 1.53000
GBPJPY
GBPJPY dropped back to a major support at 139.000 which it has tested for several times in more than one week. The pair has been under downward pressure from two MAs hanging above the price action. The market fell into the bearish market and the price may fall to as low as 138.500.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 139.000, take profit at 138.500, stop loss at 139.250
BRENT
Brent crude pulled back from a fixed support at 51.60 where it also faced a dynamic support that is the short-term MA20. The commodity market has entered the bullish territory with RSI index moving past the 50 line. ADX is also on a rise, suggesting strengthening current uptrend.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 52.15, take profit at 53.00, stop loss at 51.80
EURO 50
Having been supported by two moving averages which are tracing higher below the price action, the stock benchmark is heading to retest a fifteen-month high at 3441.00, logged last Friday. However, with strong bullish momentum as indicated by rising RSI and ADX indices, the Euro 50 is expected to surge higher than that.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 3430.00, take profit at 3480.00, stop loss at 3410.00