Daily Report on March 09, 2017 by Capital Street FX
Daily Report on March 09, 2017
Tracing declines in Asian trading session, European shares opened lower, weighed down by energy companies and utilities. The Stoxx Europe 600 index lost 0.2 percent in early trade while Hang Seng China Enterprises Index in Hong Kong led losses in Asia, falling the most since December 15th, 2016. Supported by a softening Yen, Japanese equities were lone gainers.
Gold fell to the lowest in five weeks on Thursday to trade below $1205.00 an ounce in early European trade – the level not seen since early February on the back of the greenback rallying after Payroll processor ADP reported that the U.S. private sector added 298,000 jobs in February. The result was well above forecasts for an increase of 190,000 and also the largest increase in private sector hiring since March 2006. Furthermore, January’s figure was revised up to show an increase of 261,000 jobs from the previous report of 246,000.
Markets were waiting for government employment report for February due on Friday. A strong reading would cement speculations of a rate increase at the Fed’s March 14-15 meeting and spur the dollar higher. A stronger currency tends to make dollar-nominated assets like gold less affordable for buyers holding other currencies while higher rate causes gold less appealing as the precious metal offers no yield.
Elsewhere, China National Statistics Bureau on Thursday reported the country’s producer price inflation accelerated to its fastest pace in nearly nine years in February while consumer inflation, by contrast, cooled more than expected to its slowest pace since January 2015. Spurred by a rally in prices of steel and other raw materials, the producer price index (PPI) jumped 7.8 percent in February from a year earlier, beating analysts’ forecast of a 7.7 percent gain.
However, China's consumer inflation rate slowed to 0.8 percent last month due to a decline in food prices following the long Lunar New Year celebrations. Economists had expected the CPI to rise 1.7 percent after an acceleration of 2.5 percent in January.
Technicals
USDJPY
USDJPY resumed its rally after a short correction on Monday. The pair is struggling at a resistance at 114.900 and appears to continue heading upwards with the support of two MAs hanging below the price action. Both RSI and ADX indices are pointing up, suggesting further advances.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 114.900, Take profit at 115.300, Stop loss at 114.700
AUDUSD
AUDUSD has breached the support at 0.75000, extending its slide to a second day and sending the price to the lowest level since January 17. As the market has entered the oversold zone, the downtrend may be short-lived. The support at 38.2% level is within the sight.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 0.74900, Take profit at 0.74500, Stop loss at 0.75100
Coffee
Coffee prices reversed lower at the resistance at 142.20 with the bullish force being depressed by the short-term MA20 which was hanging above the price action. RSI also pulled back to head lower, suggesting a stronger bearish momentum. A support at 139.40 is expected to be retested.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 141.00, Take profit at 139.40, Stop loss at 141.70
FTSE 100
FTSE 100 index has crossed over the long-term MA50, which indicates a strong downtrend. As well as the RSI index move past the 50 line, the index is expected to fall lower as the bear is dominating in the market. In the event of continual downtrend, the index may fall as low as 7260.00.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 7290.00, Take profit at 7260.00, Stop loss at 7305.00
