Thanks for your prompt reply stevet.
I must say that I do agree with most of what you say in relation to short term trading. I would also point out that if I were in a position to trade full time then I would also trade short term as I agree that it offers the most profit potential. However, us little guys have to start somewhere, and using a small stake to trade part time is the way that many on here (I presume) learn about trading.
I would comment as follows on some of your points:-
the period of time of a trade is not directly related to the profit potential - if a market is range bound for days etc - repeated intra day trades in one day may offer far far greater profit potential than one longer term trade - it does not mean it would -
Agreed. A short term trader is better positioned to take advantage of this situation and therefore has more profit potential.
but i am just trying to say that there is no relation between profit expectancy and time period of the trade
Disagree here. This is where timescale comes in. If you trade a 1 min chart and a 1 day chart of the same instrument, your profit targets (ie number of points, pips, ticks whatever) would be much larger on the daily than the minute. Equally, your stop level, or amount you are prepared to see the market go against you before getting out will be far higher on the daily. You therefore trade with smaller positions on the daily. I am not trying to say that longer term trading has greater £'s or % of capital profit potential, merely that it requires larger points profit targets/ stop tolerances which reduces the risk of holding positions overnight etc as you are looking for much bigger moves than v short term trades.
stops are not a safety level that means if your stop does or does not get hit - that you traded safely and with skill
you have to figure that on every trade you take, that your stop will not get hit, so setting a stop prior to the trade is ignoring the fact that the market changes by the second
if you feel that you need to set a stop, you should not take the trade, since the market should move your way the moment you take a trade, and you should exit a trade when the market has not done as you anticipate - and that might be just that is does nothing -
Again, I agree that this is perfectly acceptable if you are an accomplished, disciplined, short term trader who is able to constantly monitor and exit positions at the touch of a button.
Personally, If I enter a position, I may not look at it again for several hours so I have a predetermined stop at a level which I consider that if the market moves to that position, I have made a wrong decision and I am taken out automatically. In these circumstances, I would never consider trading without a stop. I would also exit a trade if the market isn't doing as expected. However, timescale again means that this is much longer ie a couple of days rather than say a couple of minutes.
tradng longer term may feel more easy or more comfortable or less dangerous - but in reality - you are just kinda reducing the number of your trades you make, so that you feel with a wide stop that you are doing the right thing, but in effect you are not learing how to make a profit as you are not trading enough to learn, you are learning how to accrue losses safely!
and although it may appear losses accrue more slowly, the fact is that it is real difficult to make those or any losses back - hence in intra-day trading - you know you must make money each and everyday - and you also have the chance to
Agreed, losses and YES profits accrue more slowly as the number of trades is vastly reduced. That doesn't mean that longer term trading can only lead to losses, it just means that % profits can't be accrued as quickly if using a succesful methodology. Good profits can still be made though. Sure 500% plus per annum is extremely unlikely trading longer term but say 80 to 100% per annum I think is achievable. If I can do that, I may be able to join the big boys in a few years!
Where your aim to make money every day, my aim is to make money every month- again a timescale issue.
I think we agree on most things. The point I am trying to make is that the same (or at least very similar) trading methodologies can be applied to any time scale and produce profitable strategies and that short term, intra day trading of futures is not THE only way to trade successfuly?
Cheers for now
Darren