I've been away in the westcountry since thursday, and it is interesting to see how much strength there has been over the last two days. Yesterdays 2% up day on the ES, closed at highs at 9pm. It looked to me as if a short at the highs at 1208.25 would have been a good play. It only went 1.75 pts against you overnight and 1200 was a good exit.
As for the FTSE this morning, I managed to scalp 37.5 pts, which is ok for a rangey sort of day. I managed to catch the down move at 8:10am, but after that the market seemed to be waiting for the results of the Italian bond auction at 10:15am. With the 10 yr bond achieving yields above 5%, the market finally decided that was bad news and went down to exactly the 5223.5 level. I expect that level will be retested when the US market ipens at 2:30pm. The consumer confidence number is clearly going to be bad. The question is will it be forced up after the initial spike down, or will the market turn red. My guess is they will walk it up, but maybe wait until after the european cash markets close at 4:30pm.