I hate to be the MajorDutch Grinch here..
We have 7 'setups' over 2 years.
The question "is this coincidence" could also be
"is this curve fitting?"
"is this statistically insignificant?"
"is this the result of someone looking for a pattern and finding one?"
The answer to all 3 is YES.
The last of my 3 questions is key. If you study cognitive bias you will understand that we often see what we want to see. We do positive testing and not negative testing.
At the end of the day, this sort of system is every retail traders wet dream. A mechanical 'solution' to trading that boils trading down to a series of steps that any idiot could follow.
There is nothing in the OPs post about WHY this would work. Yet, it is the WHY that is most important.
I would wager that MajorDutch didn't trade this system over the past 2 years. I would wager that this thread is the result of manually looking back 2 years or programmatic analysis. There is nothing wrong with that as long as you have a WHY to begin with. If you can't explain why a trading system would yield results, then the chances are you just curve fitted yourself something that works in hindsight.
Any method of trading must be based on some understanding of market dynamics. A valid trading method cannot be based on a simplistic pattern such as this that is used without context.
It just ain't that easy. Sure, we all want a set of simple rules we can follow to trade off in all market conditions. On the surface, that seems easier than learning to read the market. Fact is, learning to read the market is easier than trying to find a combination (out of trillions) of mechanical factors to trade off.
This is not a gift, it's a fncking curse.
Yours,
The Grinch