Stevespray
The SB firms are under no obligation to supply spreads anywhere near the underlying if it jeopardises their financial health. Through 2002 if you were trading the Dow, you would often find the spread 100+ points away from the actual market price, with the huge(by today's standards) daily ranges and big moves, people would come charging in taking positions, that the SB firms could clearly see were 'right'. If the Dow for example, broke off in a particular direction, everyone bet on that direction, offering a spread around the underlying would mean a huge loss, as there were few positions of opposing clients to hedge the firm's position, so the spread is moved away. This is because SB firms operate their bank balance as bookmakers do. They have an over-round, if it's 130% as is sometimes the case at the races, then the 100% represents total money in from the punters, the 30% is their profit, no matter which horse comes in. If suddenly a whole heap of money is placed on a horse, the odds are shortened on that horse, with possibly odds being lengthened on other horses, to balance the over-round. Odds are not a reflection of which horse the bookies think is going to win, but a means of balancing the books so that profit is always there. With bookmakers there is no underlying. You bet against the bookmaker's money, which is mostly a pool of other punters' money. The spread quoted by the SB firms moves in a similar way to bookies' odds, in brisk trade the popular indexes' spreads hop about like mad, as the total pool of short/long bets is balanced. If there are too many long bets, the spread moves up to take value out of the market as far as the client/punter is concerned. They must do this or go bust. Well, that's how I understand it anyway.
Steve, are you suggesting that SB firms can only make their money by re-quotes and forced out stops? They wouldn't make enough that way. They just need most people to do what most people do. To do things badly. Bookmakers always make money, only a few punters do. That is not because of deceit, but lack of skill. I don't know the ins and outs of professional sports gambling, but in basic terms they look for value, odds that underestimate the chance of a particular winner. They also know their game, you have to understand the sport you're betting on. Well it's the same in the financial markets. You have to understand how they work, most people that spread bet are clueless. I use spread bets as a trading instrument with all its vagaries, and trade it only when it offers value. I understand the markets I trade. You have to have those skills in place. My losing trades have always been my fault, not because the SB firm suddenly moved the spread into a losing position, running my stops. If you are stupid enough to trade a fast moving market, with excessive spread in relation to the target on the trade, and being therefore dependant on a tight relationship with the underlying, then frankly it's your fault for being a consistent loser. If you are a day trader trying to scalp these tight markets for a few points here and there against a fat spread, you will lose. Day traders need instant execution tight to the underlying. Since the SB firms are not taking your position to the 'market', it has to be hedged on other clients' positions, this causes too much short-term movement by the spread, and of course that's no good for day trading.
Scalping the markets on short-term moves looks easy. And hence attracts alot of hopefuls. When the Internet went mainstream and allowed easy access to the markets, just about every American fancied themselves as a day trader. Most were fleeced on the 'proper' markets because they didn't have the skills. Once fleeced they didn't have an appetite for learning the business. This was not the fault of any brokerage. Most who are new to the financial markets believe it will be easy and put in the commensurate level of effort and study.
The original question on this thread asked if anyone actually makes money spread betting, as 97% apparently don't. If Steve you have failed to make money yourself with SB firms, then you have two explanations; they ripped you off or you were trading the wrong markets, in the wrong time frames with the wrong system. If you have never traded using SB's then your opinion, though interesting, is slightly unhelpful. You are looking for a conspiracy of sorts, which doesn't exist. The SB firms are not the middle-men, rather the opposition, you take money from them. They are not going to give it to you with a compliment slip. Anyone who is new to this business just needs to know that it isn't easy and is not meant to be. Up your game!