Kevin546
You will be converted yet
......... would be interested to see how 123/RH compare to your strategy, we are all looking to learn something
One Eyed Shark
I will try and do your question some justice
I hope Joe Ross will not mind my using his chart from this weeks scan as we are discussing Hooks and comparing ideas for discussion which promotes his work after all.
The chart in question is a daily one but as I day trade lets view it as an intraday chart. Remember I trade from price alone so I do not have considerations as to volume and would have to accept comments made regarding volume as correct as my knowledge is limited at best.
Ok there is a TTE shown which was the entry position provided by the earlier Hook seen 3 bars before and is a break out from what could be considered a congested area.
This chart is clearly in an up trend and although it gave the appearance of a failing with a trendline break followed by a bounce off the underside of this trend line, this for an intraday position would be a very quick deal because the trend remains intact. In fact and although I do not and cannot show this as fact I often feel these situations are where those who can control the market intent create this false picture in order to encourage shorts only to allow them to be taken out when they push the price on when they enter again buying in lower.
Anyway I mention this just to illustrate that the trend has already been tested and after 2 main attempts has pushed on further as illustrated by my blue lines. There are of course several entry positions for me on this chart but I will discuss just the TTE area to keep things on the issue at hand.
The blue line below the Hook displays areas of support for the trend and it is the trend that remains my main concern with the strategy I employ. Congestion forms within trends and I do not see this as an area to be avoided just to be aware of the limitations of the deal should resistance to the trend win out. However entering before the resistance means that should the price break out of the congestion and the trend continue you have a good position.
Therefore I see and entry before the Hook at the base line. I realise this has more risk attached to it because it has been taken during congestion when the trend appears to have stuttered and maybe tested. But once again it is an opportunity to re-join a trend and it is better to be trading with the trend than against it. However I would argue that the best time to enter a trend using my strategy is at the first opportunity after a trendline has been broken or a signal from an extended trendline. So from this chart an entry closer to the left hand side edge would be more appropriate.
In order to try and show what I mean if you look at the 2nd chart I have removed a lot of the chart to try and display a down movement, imagine that what came before was a down trend.
The light brown line displays the extended trend line approach. This is not an ideal example because of the base support as that is an area where I would enter a buy. In order to try and explain this method disregard the base support and view the bars around the 1/17 as the 1st time the price ventured this low. You now see that the down trend line was broken to the upside, this alerts me to the possibility that the down trend is being challenged and may be tested again. The price is seen to fall back below this line but then bounces back up, I would enter a buy as close to the base of these bars indicated by the up brown line. If the extended trendline was not seen then the simple grey trendline comes into play and this is like your Hook concept because this method makes use of a 1-2-3 formation. The price breaks up over this line and passes the earlier point on the trendline. The price retraces and produces support for the up trend indicated by the up grey line. Given these circumstances I would enter as close to the base on the next bar, in other words when I am satisfied the bars are in an up moving cycle in line with the existing trend according to the time frame that I am trading.
I hope this explains where I am at. Until a few weeks ago I had never seen or heard of the Hook my method was developed around Trends, support and resistance as identified by the extended trendline and what I observed by watching real time price development and acceptance. I know that my entry point is against the true concept of a trend change signal because you should wait for point 2 to be taken out.
Regards
Kevin