Curious about something that is tosh?
You make a declaration, that fixed strategies can't be successful for long (declaring your belief). I ask you whether adaptive strategies have the same flaw. You then ask for an example (requesting info) of an adaptive strategy but suggest that it is snakeoil (stating your bias). I answer, but don't give you the answer you want (feedback). Because the answer doesn't satisfy you, you then say that you think it's a load of tosh (dismissive), but ask me to feel free to prove you wrong (manipulative). Now you're all ears (requesting info again) and admit you might be wrong (humble).
So from declarations of certainty, to requesting info, to stating bias, to being dismissive, to being manipulative and back to being curious and open to being wrong.
And you think that there is no such thing as an adaptive strategy?
I don't believe that the direction and timing of market movements will fit easily into a formula in excel for you, but that's just my belief and shouldn't stop you trying. I encourage testing everything you can. Lots of things are backtestable, some things aren't. Does that automatically mean those that aren't are bad? I wouldn't go as far as the OP to say backtesting is useless, but forward testing is more useful to me.